MLS · AI predictions

MLS predictions: AI tips and probabilities for every match

1X2 probabilities, double chance, BTTS, Over/Under 2.5 and the most likely correct score for every MLS match — with reliability measured on the season's real results. Back automatically as soon as the new fixtures are out.

Data last updated:

100%Stable predictions and betterwin rate over 6 matches · 2026
76.6%Double chanceUltra high performance mode · 188 matches
72.7%Over/Under 2.5Ultra high performance mode · 22 matches
216Matches verifiedpredictions checked against the real score

Figures recomputed automatically from public history; displayed market stats keep the best available mode with enough volume. Match-by-match detail remains verifiable on past results.

MLS predictions: back next season

MLS is currently between seasons: predictions for the upcoming rounds will appear here automatically once the fixtures are published. Latest Stable or Very stable rated predictions from the 2026 season, against the real score:

18 April 2026Vancouver Whitecaps FC – Sporting Kansas CityVancouver Whitecaps FC win (64%)3-0
5 April 2026Vancouver Whitecaps FC – Portland TimbersVancouver Whitecaps FC win (67%)3-2
5 April 2026Los Angeles FC – Orlando City SCLos Angeles FC win (69%)6-0
4 April 2026Real Salt Lake City – Sporting Kansas CityReal Salt Lake City win (63%)3-1
15 March 2026Los Angeles FC – St. Louis CITY SCLos Angeles FC win (65%)2-0

The full season history, match by match and market by market, is on past results and the interactive MLS page.

The full interactive pageFull fixtures, standings, every market and round-by-round filters.Open the MLS page →

Reliability, badge by badge

Each prediction gets a stability badge before kick-off, then is checked against the real score. Here is the win rate of the highlighted profiles this season — the figure to look at before following a prediction.

Stable and better 100% 6 predictions landed out of 6 matches (Stable and Very stable badges) · 2026 season

Clear favourite with a comfortable margin over the other outcomes.

Correct and better 77.8% 14 predictions landed out of 18 matches (Correct, Stable and Very stable badges) · 2026 season

Solid lean, best cross-checked with the match probabilities.

The breakdown of every profile, including matches rated at risk, stays fully transparent on past results.

Beyond 1X2: BTTS, Over/Under and correct score

The model also covers MLS goal markets. For each market, this page keeps the best available mode among Performance, High performance and Ultra high performance over the 2026 season, with a minimum volume guard.

Double chance76.6%Ultra high performance mode · 188 matches

Cover two outcomes out of three (1X, X2 or 12): the model's safest call.

Over / Under 2.572.7%Ultra high performance mode · 22 matches

More or fewer than 2.5 goals: the model decides from its goal simulations.

BTTS77.8%Ultra high performance mode · 27 matches

Both teams to score: an estimated probability for every fixture.

Correct score37%final score in the top 5 · 216 matches

The 5 most likely scores are simulated; the top one lands 6.5% of the time.

Reading a MLS prediction in 3 steps

1The badge first

From Very stable to Correct, the badge sums up the model's confidence. Its real win rate per profile is shown above: that's the main cue.

2Then the probability

A 55% favourite still loses almost one match in two. Probabilities quantify uncertainty, they don't remove it.

3The right market last

Tight match? Double chance or BTTS are often more relevant than a plain 1X2. The likely score shows the dominant scenario.

The full methodology (Elo, goal simulations, calibration, context) is explained on the AI football prediction page.

Go further

FAQ – MLS AI predictions

Where can I find reliable, free MLS predictions?

This page gathers the AI MLS predictions from Foresportia: 1X2 probabilities, likely score, goal markets (BTTS, Over/Under) and a stability badge for every match, no sign-up. The full history is verifiable on the past results page.

How good is a “Very stable” prediction in MLS?

The stability badge rates each prediction on how clear the favourite is and how clean the context (stakes, rotation, derby). The more stable the badge, the more often the prediction lands.

Are there BTTS and Over/Under predictions for MLS too?

Yes. For every match the model estimates the probability that both teams score (BTTS) and that the game goes over or under 2.5 goals, on top of 1X2 and double chance. Over the 2026 season, the model's Over/Under 2.5 side in Ultra high performance mode landed 72.7% of the time and its favourite double chance in Ultra high performance mode landed 76.6% of the time.

How is the most likely correct score computed?

The model simulates each team's goal distribution (calibrated Poisson/lambda) and derives the five most likely scores of the match. Over the 2026 season, the final score was in that top 5 for 37% of MLS matches.

What do the 1X2 probabilities mean?

For each match three probabilities are estimated: home win (1), draw (X) and away win (2). They sum to 100%. A 60% probability means that, over many similar matches, the outcome would occur about 6 times out of 10.

Can an AI predict a MLS match with certainty?

No. Football is a low-scoring sport where randomness is structural. A serious AI quantifies that uncertainty instead of hiding it: that's the whole point of probabilities and the stability badge.

MLS AI predictions: probabilities, goal markets and verifiable reliability

For every MLS match Foresportia publishes a free AI prediction: 1X2 probabilities, double chance, BTTS, Over/Under 2.5, most likely correct score and a stability badge. Each prediction is archived then checked against the real score, so you can freely verify the model's reliability, season after season, with no sign-up.