MLS · Scheduled

First AI projection for New York City FC vs Nashville SC

First AI projection for this MLS fixture. This early estimate may change closer to kick-off.

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New York City FC

Standing#13

Elo rating1536

Form index53.3%

Last 5 matches
DWWLD

Expected goals1.28

ScheduledVS

Nashville SC

Standing#3

Elo rating1602

Form index66.7%

Last 5 matches
WDLWW

Expected goals1.24

Match context to watch
Draw closeLine-ups to watchBusy schedule

Quick read

  • Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for New York City FC at 33.9%, so caution is advised.
  • Confidence levelRisk
  • Cautious marketDouble chance 1X · 67.8%
  • Likely score1 - 1 (13.19%)
  • BTTSYes · 60%
  • Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 52.3%

First AI projection

This early estimate is published ahead of the match. Probabilities may change with recent form, injuries, line-ups, scheduling and newly available data.

New York City FC33.9%
Draw33.9%
Nashville SC32.2%

Main pickNew York City FC33.9%

Confidence46.4%

StabilityRisk

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Expected goals and trends

New York City FC1.28
Expected total2.51
Nashville SC1.24
52.3%Over 2.5

Over 52.3% Under 47.7%

60%BTTS

Yes 60% No 40%

Double chance

Available markets

1X67.8%
X266.1%
1266.1%

Top 5 likely scores

  1. Likely score 1 - 113.2%
  2. Likely score 2 - 112.4%
  3. Likely score 1 - 212%
  4. Likely score 0 - 010.9%
  5. Likely score 1 - 08.5%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

New York City FC 25.9%Nashville SC 25%

Draw no bet

New York City FC 51.3%Nashville SC 48.7%

Win to nil

New York City FC 14.9%Nashville SC 14.1%

Win by 2+ goals

New York City FC 12.5%Nashville SC 11.5%

New York City FC vs Nashville SC early projection FAQ

What does the first AI projection say about New York City FC vs Nashville SC?

The early estimate gives New York City FC a slight edge at 33.9%. This probability may change before the match.

Why can this estimate change?

Recent form, injuries, line-ups, fixture congestion and newly available data will be included in later updates.

Is an early likely score available?

The first calculated scenario is 1 - 1 (13.19%), but this is an early estimate that may change.

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MLS

What the data says about New York City FC vs Nashville SC

This MLS fixture comes from a competition where conference dynamics, travel and swings in form can create quick changes in performance.

Before kick-off, New York City FC sits 13th and Nashville SC 3rd in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1536 for New York City FC and 1602 for Nashville SC.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 53.3% for New York City FC and 66.7% for Nashville SC. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives New York City FC 33.9%, the draw 33.9% and Nashville SC 32.2%. The expected-goals model projects 1.28 xG against 1.24, for a combined 2.51.