MLS · Scheduled

First AI projection for Philadelphia Union vs FC Cincinnati

First AI projection for this MLS fixture. This early estimate may change closer to kick-off.

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Philadelphia Union

Standing#24

Elo rating1489

Form index66.7%

Last 5 matches
WWWLD

Expected goals1.71

ScheduledVS

FC Cincinnati

Standing#19

Elo rating1551

Form index66.7%

Last 5 matches
DWLWW

Expected goals1.28

Match context to watch
Line-ups to watchBusy schedule

Quick read

  • Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for Philadelphia Union at 45.5%, so caution is advised.
  • Confidence levelRisk
  • Cautious marketDouble chance 1X · 73.1%
  • Likely score2 - 1 (12.70%)
  • BTTSYes · 62.9%
  • Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 62.8%

First AI projection

This early estimate is published ahead of the match. Probabilities may change with recent form, injuries, line-ups, scheduling and newly available data.

Philadelphia Union45.5%
Draw27.6%
FC Cincinnati26.9%

Main pickPhiladelphia Union45.5%

Confidence81.4%

StabilityRisk

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Expected goals and trends

Philadelphia Union1.71
Expected total2.99
FC Cincinnati1.28
62.8%Over 2.5

Over 62.8% Under 37.2%

62.9%BTTS

Yes 62.9% No 37.1%

Double chance

Available markets

1X73.1%
X254.5%
1272.4%

Top 5 likely scores

  1. Likely score 2 - 112.7%
  2. Likely score 1 - 29.2%
  3. Likely score 1 - 19.1%
  4. Likely score 1 - 07.9%
  5. Likely score 0 - 07%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

Philadelphia Union 26.6%FC Cincinnati 17.6%

Draw no bet

Philadelphia Union 62.8%FC Cincinnati 37.2%

Win to nil

Philadelphia Union 19.6%FC Cincinnati 10.6%

Win by 2+ goals

Philadelphia Union 23.3%FC Cincinnati 10.2%

Philadelphia Union vs FC Cincinnati early projection FAQ

What does the first AI projection say about Philadelphia Union vs FC Cincinnati?

The early estimate gives Philadelphia Union a slight edge at 45.5%. This probability may change before the match.

Why can this estimate change?

Recent form, injuries, line-ups, fixture congestion and newly available data will be included in later updates.

Is an early likely score available?

The first calculated scenario is 2 - 1 (12.70%), but this is an early estimate that may change.

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MLS

What the data says about Philadelphia Union vs FC Cincinnati

This MLS fixture comes from a competition where conference dynamics, travel and swings in form can create quick changes in performance.

Before kick-off, Philadelphia Union sits 24th and FC Cincinnati 19th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1489 for Philadelphia Union and 1551 for FC Cincinnati.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 66.7% for Philadelphia Union and 66.7% for FC Cincinnati. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives Philadelphia Union 45.5%, the draw 27.6% and FC Cincinnati 26.9%. The expected-goals model projects 1.71 xG against 1.28, for a combined 2.99.