MLS · Scheduled

First AI projection for Toronto FC vs Chicago Fire FC

First AI projection for this MLS fixture. This early estimate may change closer to kick-off.

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Toronto FC

Standing#27

Elo rating1462

Form index40%

Last 5 matches
WDLDD

Expected goals1.31

ScheduledVS

Chicago Fire FC

Standing#10

Elo rating1537

Form index60%

Last 5 matches
WLLWW

Expected goals1.56

Match context to watch
Line-ups to watchBusy schedule

Quick read

  • Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for Chicago Fire FC at 40.8%, so caution is advised.
  • Confidence levelRisk
  • Cautious marketDouble chance X2 · 69.8%
  • Likely score1 - 2 (12.45%)
  • BTTSYes · 62.4%
  • Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 60.5%

First AI projection

This early estimate is published ahead of the match. Probabilities may change with recent form, injuries, line-ups, scheduling and newly available data.

Toronto FC30.2%
Draw28.9%
Chicago Fire FC40.8%

Main pickChicago Fire FC40.8%

Confidence52.6%

StabilityRisk

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Expected goals and trends

Toronto FC1.31
Expected total2.87
Chicago Fire FC1.56
60.5%Over 2.5

Over 60.5% Under 39.5%

62.4%BTTS

Yes 62.4% No 37.6%

Double chance

Available markets

1X59.2%
X269.8%
1271.1%

Top 5 likely scores

  1. Likely score 1 - 2 — 12.4%
  2. Likely score 2 - 1 — 10.3%
  3. Likely score 1 - 1 — 9.8%
  4. Likely score 0 - 1 — 7.9%
  5. Likely score 0 - 0 — 7.8%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

Toronto FC 20.2%Chicago Fire FC 25.3%

Draw no bet

Toronto FC 42.6%Chicago Fire FC 57.4%

Win to nil

Toronto FC 12.3%Chicago Fire FC 17.5%

Win by 2+ goals

Toronto FC 11.8%Chicago Fire FC 19%

Toronto FC vs Chicago Fire FC early projection FAQ

What does the first AI projection say about Toronto FC vs Chicago Fire FC?

The early estimate gives Chicago Fire FC a slight edge at 40.8%. This probability may change before the match.

Why can this estimate change?

Recent form, injuries, line-ups, fixture congestion and newly available data will be included in later updates.

Is an early likely score available?

The first calculated scenario is 1 - 2 (12.45%), but this is an early estimate that may change.

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More football tools and analysis

Check today's matches and updated results, compare standings and team form, then explore more fixtures and AI analysis from this league.

MLS

What the data says about Toronto FC vs Chicago Fire FC

This MLS fixture comes from a competition where conference dynamics, travel and swings in form can create quick changes in performance.

Before kick-off, Toronto FC sits 27th and Chicago Fire FC 10th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1462 for Toronto FC and 1537 for Chicago Fire FC.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 40% for Toronto FC and 60% for Chicago Fire FC. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives Toronto FC 30.2%, the draw 28.9% and Chicago Fire FC 40.8%. The expected-goals model projects 1.31 xG against 1.56, for a combined 2.87.