MLS · Scheduled

First AI projection for D.C. United vs Columbus Crew

First AI projection for this MLS fixture. This early estimate may change closer to kick-off.

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D.C. United

Standing#25

Elo rating1460

Form index46.7%

Last 5 matches
DDWDD

Expected goals1.20

ScheduledVS

Columbus Crew

Standing#21

Elo rating1472

Form index46.7%

Last 5 matches
LDWLW

Expected goals1.76

Match context to watch
Line-ups to watchBusy schedule

Quick read

  • Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for Columbus Crew at 48.5%, so caution is advised.
  • Confidence levelRisk
  • Cautious marketDouble chance X2 · 75.9%
  • Likely score1 - 2 (13.30%)
  • BTTSYes · 62.5%
  • Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 62.1%

First AI projection

This early estimate is published ahead of the match. Probabilities may change with recent form, injuries, line-ups, scheduling and newly available data.

D.C. United24.1%
Draw27.5%
Columbus Crew48.5%

Main pickColumbus Crew48.5%

Confidence54.8%

StabilityRisk

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Expected goals and trends

D.C. United1.20
Expected total2.96
Columbus Crew1.76
62.1%Over 2.5

Over 62.1% Under 37.9%

62.5%BTTS

Yes 62.5% No 37.5%

Double chance

Available markets

1X51.5%
X275.9%
1272.5%

Top 5 likely scores

  1. Likely score 1 - 213.3%
  2. Likely score 1 - 19.6%
  3. Likely score 2 - 18.6%
  4. Likely score 0 - 18.3%
  5. Likely score 0 - 07.2%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

D.C. United 16.5%Columbus Crew 28.2%

Draw no bet

D.C. United 33.2%Columbus Crew 66.8%

Win to nil

D.C. United 9.3%Columbus Crew 21%

Win by 2+ goals

D.C. United 8.4%Columbus Crew 25.2%

D.C. United vs Columbus Crew early projection FAQ

What does the first AI projection say about D.C. United vs Columbus Crew?

The early estimate gives Columbus Crew a slight edge at 48.5%. This probability may change before the match.

Why can this estimate change?

Recent form, injuries, line-ups, fixture congestion and newly available data will be included in later updates.

Is an early likely score available?

The first calculated scenario is 1 - 2 (13.30%), but this is an early estimate that may change.

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MLS

What the data says about D.C. United vs Columbus Crew

This MLS fixture comes from a competition where conference dynamics, travel and swings in form can create quick changes in performance.

Before kick-off, D.C. United sits 25th and Columbus Crew 21st in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1460 for D.C. United and 1472 for Columbus Crew.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 46.7% for D.C. United and 46.7% for Columbus Crew. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives D.C. United 24.1%, the draw 27.5% and Columbus Crew 48.5%. The expected-goals model projects 1.20 xG against 1.76, for a combined 2.96.