Results and reliability

Reliability of our AI football predictions

Foresportia updates its past results daily to provide full transparency on the performance of its AI-driven football analysis models.

Data updated on

Engine version Program 3.9 • P2.12 Production · April 07, 2026 Engine versions

Overall success

1971

Simulated matches

Statistical base displayed on this page.

1585

Correct predictions

Finished matches with known scores.

80.42%

Overall success rate

Measured over volume, not a single match.

Cumulative results over time

Success rate by league

Filter by probability and stability

Filter by league

Detailed results

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Probability threshold explained

The probability threshold defines the minimum confidence required for displayed results. For example, a 50% threshold means only predictions with at least 50% probability are included.

How we verify AI football prediction reliability

This page exists to compare published probabilities with real football results over a large sample. A 60 percent probability is never a promise on one isolated match, but it should remain coherent when you measure it across many comparable fixtures. That is why Foresportia exposes total volume, success rate by league and the impact of stricter probability thresholds instead of showing isolated highlights only.

The verification method is based on settled matches with known scores. We compare the 1X2 outcome that was favored by the model with the observed result, then track how reliability behaves across competitions and filters. This makes it easier to separate raw probability from historically robust probability. Used with the picks history, the daily prediction pages and the league result hubs, this page serves as the core proof layer of the product.

See also: Top AI picks Matches by date Picks history