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Philadelphia Union

United StatesMLS2026

Foresportia analyses Philadelphia Union using its match data and proprietary models: Elo level, recent form, probabilities, observed reliability and verifiable market signals.

Foresportia Elo
1577MLS rank : 29th
1X2 entropy
1.54Lower = easier to read
Points volatility
0.98Standard deviation over 5 matches
Recent form
2.20Points per match over 5 matches
Model confidence
50.4%Average over 10 predictions

1. How Foresportia evaluates Philadelphia Union

Summary of indicators actually available in Foresportia data.

1577Foresportia EloMLS rank : 29th
1.541X2 entropyLower = easier to read
0.98Points volatilityStandard deviation over 5 matches
2.20Recent formpoints / match
50.4%Model confidenceAverage over 10 predictions

2. Next match

MLS

Philadelphia UnionElo : 1586
VS
FC CincinnatiElo : 1546
1X2 probabilities (Foresportia model)
50%27%23%
Philadelphia Union 50%Draw 27%FC Cincinnati 23%
Main signalHome win · 50%
Model confidence57.2%
StabilityRisk
View match details

3. Prediction reliability for Philadelphia Union

Data updated on 06 September 2026

Reliability trendCumulative monthly history
Insufficient sample
Cumulative monthly historyProfileReliabilityVolume
2025-02RiskInsufficient sample1
2025-03RiskInsufficient sample6
2025-04Risk70.0%10
2025-05Risk61.5%13
2025-06Risk64.7%17
2025-07Risk61.9%21
2025-08Risk60.0%25
2025-09Risk64.3%28
2025-10Risk63.3%30
2026-02Risk61.3%31
2026-03Risk54.3%35
2026-04Risk55.0%40
2026-05Risk51.1%45
2026-07Risk53.2%47
2026-08Risk51.9%52
2026-09Risk51.9%52
2025-02Correct and aboveInsufficient sample0
2025-03Correct and aboveInsufficient sample0
2025-04Correct and aboveInsufficient sample0
2025-05Correct and aboveInsufficient sample3
2025-06Correct and aboveInsufficient sample3
2025-07Correct and aboveInsufficient sample4
2025-08Correct and aboveInsufficient sample4
2025-09Correct and aboveInsufficient sample4
2025-10Correct and aboveInsufficient sample4
2026-02Correct and aboveInsufficient sample4
2026-03Correct and aboveInsufficient sample4
2026-04Correct and aboveInsufficient sample4
2026-05Correct and aboveInsufficient sample4
2026-07Correct and aboveInsufficient sample4
2026-08Correct and aboveInsufficient sample4
2026-09Correct and aboveInsufficient sample5
2025-02Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2025-03Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2025-04Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2025-05Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2025-06Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2025-07Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2025-08Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2025-09Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2025-10Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2026-02Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2026-03Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2026-04Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2026-05Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2026-07Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2026-08Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2026-09Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2025-02Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2025-03Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2025-04Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2025-05Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2025-06Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2025-07Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2025-08Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2025-09Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2025-10Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2026-02Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2026-03Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2026-04Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2026-05Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2026-07Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2026-08Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2026-09Ultra stableInsufficient sample0

4. Predictive profile for Philadelphia Union

ContextObserved measureReading
Home performance2.00 pts/matchHigher observed return
Away performance1.28 pts/matchLower observed return

5. Statistical markers for Philadelphia Union

Team values from Foresportia sources, without a reconstructed league average.

Expected goals created at home1.05
Expected goals conceded at home0.75
Expected goals created away1.23
Expected goals conceded away0.92
Goals scored / match (5)2.20
Goals conceded / match (5)1.20

History: 57 verified matches

6. Market signals for Philadelphia Union

MarketAverage probabilityReliabilityVolumeReading
Both teams to scoreNot available%76.5%17Major, well-documented signal
Over 2.5Not available%71.4%14Success above the average probability
Under 2.5Not available%63.6%11Success above the average probability
Double chance 1XNot available%72.7%22Success above the average probability
Double chance X2Not available%57.1%21Success above the average probability

7. Model dynamics & analysis

Foresportia Elo trendTracks the team’s relative level as matches are played.
Philadelphia Union
Average model confidenceShows how the model’s average certainty changes across matches.
Philadelphia Union
xG differential trendCompares expected goals created and conceded to track the balance of chances.
PositiveNegative
Model calibrationCompares published probabilities with the rates actually observed.
Observed ratePerfect

8. Foresportia analysis

For Foresportia, Philadelphia Union mainly combines stronger recent control and a more reliable defensive base. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.

Philadelphia Union is going through a strong control sequence, with 2.20 points per match over the last five matches and an average xG delta of -0.06.

The next detected match is Philadelphia Union vs FC Cincinnati on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Home win” around 50%.

Continue exploring

Upcoming matches, competition, other teams and verifiable history.

9. Philadelphia Union FAQ

What is the next match for Philadelphia Union on Foresportia?

This page shows Philadelphia Union's confirmed next match with the enriched prediction probabilities that are currently available.

How should you read Philadelphia Union's ranking and Elo?

This page includes dedicated charts for Philadelphia Union's ranking and Elo trends, with season separators to make the evolution easier to read.

What does the strongest picks block mean for Philadelphia Union?

It highlights the markets that performed best in the available history for Philadelphia Union, together with sample size, hit rate and average probability.

Philadelphia Union: AI analysis, predictions and Foresportia signals

For Foresportia, Philadelphia Union mainly combines stronger recent control and a more reliable defensive base. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.

Philadelphia Union is going through a strong control sequence, with 2.20 points per match over the last five matches and an average xG delta of -0.06.

The next detected match is Philadelphia Union vs FC Cincinnati on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Home win” around 50%.