Austin FC
Standing#16
Elo rating1430
Form index20%
Expected goals1.49
San Jose Earthquakes
Standing#2
Elo rating1509
Form index26.7%
Expected goals1.38
Quick read
- Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for Austin FC at 37.8%, so caution is advised.
- Confidence levelRisk
- Cautious marketDouble chance 1X · 66.9%
- Likely score2 - 1 (11.89%)
- BTTSYes · 62.4%
- Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 60.5%
First AI projection
This early estimate is published ahead of the match. Probabilities may change with recent form, injuries, line-ups, scheduling and newly available data.
Main pickAustin FC37.8%
Confidence52.2%
StabilityRisk
Expected goals and trends
Over 60.5% Under 39.5%
Yes 62.4% No 37.6%
Double chance
Available markets
Top 5 likely scores
- Likely score 2 - 1 — 11.9%
- Likely score 1 - 2 — 10.9%
- Likely score 1 - 1 — 9.8%
- Likely score 0 - 0 — 7.9%
- Likely score 1 - 0 — 7.6%
Advanced scenarios
Clean sheet
Draw no bet
Win to nil
Win by 2+ goals
Austin FC vs San Jose Earthquakes early projection FAQ
What does the first AI projection say about Austin FC vs San Jose Earthquakes?
The early estimate gives Austin FC a slight edge at 37.8%. This probability may change before the match.
Why can this estimate change?
Recent form, injuries, line-ups, fixture congestion and newly available data will be included in later updates.
Is an early likely score available?
The first calculated scenario is 2 - 1 (11.89%), but this is an early estimate that may change.
More football tools and analysis
Check today's matches and updated results, compare standings and team form, then explore more fixtures and AI analysis from this league.
MLS
What the data says about Austin FC vs San Jose Earthquakes
This MLS fixture comes from a competition where conference dynamics, travel and swings in form can create quick changes in performance.
Before kick-off, Austin FC sits 16th and San Jose Earthquakes 2nd in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1430 for Austin FC and 1509 for San Jose Earthquakes.
Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 20% for Austin FC and 26.7% for San Jose Earthquakes. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.
The 1X2 projection gives Austin FC 37.8%, the draw 29.1% and San Jose Earthquakes 33.1%. The expected-goals model projects 1.49 xG against 1.38, for a combined 2.87.