MLS · Scheduled

First AI projection for Portland Timbers vs St. Louis CITY SC

First AI projection for this MLS fixture. This early estimate may change closer to kick-off.

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Portland Timbers

Standing#11

Elo rating1509

Form index66.7%

Last 5 matches
WWDWL

Expected goals1.69

ScheduledVS

St. Louis CITY SC

Standing#15

Elo rating1523

Form index86.7%

Last 5 matches
WDWWW

Expected goals1.29

Match context to watch
Line-ups to watchBusy schedule

Quick read

  • Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for Portland Timbers at 44.6%, so caution is advised.
  • Confidence levelRisk
  • Cautious marketDouble chance 1X · 72.2%
  • Likely score2 - 1 (12.56%)
  • BTTSYes · 62.9%
  • Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 62.7%

First AI projection

This early estimate is published ahead of the match. Probabilities may change with recent form, injuries, line-ups, scheduling and newly available data.

Portland Timbers44.6%
Draw27.7%
St. Louis CITY SC27.8%

Main pickPortland Timbers44.6%

Confidence81.5%

StabilityRisk

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Expected goals and trends

Portland Timbers1.69
Expected total2.98
St. Louis CITY SC1.29
62.7%Over 2.5

Over 62.7% Under 37.3%

62.9%BTTS

Yes 62.9% No 37.1%

Double chance

Available markets

1X72.2%
X255.4%
1272.3%

Top 5 likely scores

  1. Likely score 2 - 112.6%
  2. Likely score 1 - 29.4%
  3. Likely score 1 - 19.1%
  4. Likely score 1 - 07.8%
  5. Likely score 0 - 07.1%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

Portland Timbers 26.2%St. Louis CITY SC 18%

Draw no bet

Portland Timbers 61.6%St. Louis CITY SC 38.4%

Win to nil

Portland Timbers 19.1%St. Louis CITY SC 10.9%

Win by 2+ goals

Portland Timbers 22.5%St. Louis CITY SC 10.7%

Portland Timbers vs St. Louis CITY SC early projection FAQ

What does the first AI projection say about Portland Timbers vs St. Louis CITY SC?

The early estimate gives Portland Timbers a slight edge at 44.6%. This probability may change before the match.

Why can this estimate change?

Recent form, injuries, line-ups, fixture congestion and newly available data will be included in later updates.

Is an early likely score available?

The first calculated scenario is 2 - 1 (12.56%), but this is an early estimate that may change.

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MLS

What the data says about Portland Timbers vs St. Louis CITY SC

This MLS fixture comes from a competition where conference dynamics, travel and swings in form can create quick changes in performance.

Before kick-off, Portland Timbers sits 11th and St. Louis CITY SC 15th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1509 for Portland Timbers and 1523 for St. Louis CITY SC.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 66.7% for Portland Timbers and 86.7% for St. Louis CITY SC. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives Portland Timbers 44.6%, the draw 27.7% and St. Louis CITY SC 27.8%. The expected-goals model projects 1.69 xG against 1.29, for a combined 2.98.