Premier League

Premier League predictions

AI predictions, fixtures and verified results

Explore AI-generated 1X2 probabilities, the complete Premier League calendar and historical performance by stability level.

Explore fixtures

Match calendar

Choose a day to view its fixtures, results and available predictions.

October 2026

Fixture onlyPrediction availableResult available
MTWTFSS
1234
56789
13141516
202122
2627282930

Choose a day to view its fixtures, results and available predictions.

Calendar updated

Foresportia transparency

1X2 performance by stability level

Stability badges apply only to 1X2 predictions.

Verifiable history

Success-rate trend — Stable and above

80.4%148 verified matches
Monthly 1X2 prediction success-rate trendMonthly lines can be filtered by stability level. Values and sample sizes are also available in the accessible table.
Monthly 1X2 performance data
PeriodProfileRateVolume
August 2024Correct and aboveInsufficient sample8
September 2024Correct and above92.9%14
October 2024Correct and above94.7%19
November 2024Correct and above88.9%27
December 2024Correct and above85.1%47
January 2025Correct and above83.1%65
February 2025Correct and above84.2%76
March 2025Correct and above83.8%80
April 2025Correct and above84.5%97
May 2025Correct and above82.7%104
August 2025Correct and above84.1%113
September 2025Correct and above85%120
October 2025Correct and above84.6%130
November 2025Correct and above84.4%154
December 2025Correct and above82.4%187
January 2026Correct and above80.3%203
February 2026Correct and above80.1%211
March 2026Correct and above79.3%217
April 2026Correct and above79.3%222
May 2026Correct and above78.8%231
August 2026Correct and above78.5%233
September 2026Correct and above78.3%235
August 2024Stable and aboveInsufficient sample4
September 2024Stable and aboveInsufficient sample8
October 2024Stable and above91.7%12
November 2024Stable and above93.3%15
December 2024Stable and above88.5%26
January 2025Stable and above88.2%34
February 2025Stable and above90.2%41
March 2025Stable and above88.4%43
April 2025Stable and above88.7%53
May 2025Stable and above86.4%59
August 2025Stable and above87.9%66
September 2025Stable and above89%73
October 2025Stable and above89.5%76
November 2025Stable and above89.4%94
December 2025Stable and above85.5%117
January 2026Stable and above82%128
February 2026Stable and above81.5%135
March 2026Stable and above80.4%138
April 2026Stable and above80.1%141
May 2026Stable and above80.1%146
August 2026Stable and above80.3%147
September 2026Stable and above80.4%148
August 2024Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
September 2024Ultra stableInsufficient sample2
October 2024Ultra stableInsufficient sample4
November 2024Ultra stableInsufficient sample5
December 2024Ultra stable100%10
January 2025Ultra stable100%12
February 2025Ultra stable100%13
March 2025Ultra stable100%14
April 2025Ultra stable100%17
May 2025Ultra stable94.7%19
August 2025Ultra stable95.8%24
September 2025Ultra stable96.3%27
October 2025Ultra stable96.6%29
November 2025Ultra stable97.6%42
December 2025Ultra stable93.1%58
January 2026Ultra stable87.7%65
February 2026Ultra stable87.7%65
March 2026Ultra stable86.4%66
April 2026Ultra stable86.6%67
May 2026Ultra stable86.8%68
August 2026Ultra stable86.8%68
September 2026Ultra stable86.8%68

These success rates concern match predictions, not title forecasts.

Premier League · 2026/27

Who will win the Premier League?

Manchester City is the favourite in our simulations, with a 66.9 % chance of winning the title.

Title favourites
Full title probability ranking
#TeamTitle chance
1Manchester City66.9 %
2Arsenal FC26.6 %
3FC Liverpool4.7 %
4Brighton & Hove Albion0.9 %
5Chelsea FC0.3 %
6FC Brentford0.2 %
7Newcastle United0.2 %
8Hull City0.1 %
9Manchester United< 0.1 %
10Aston Villa< 0.1 %
11FC Everton< 0.1 %
12Leeds United< 0.1 %
13AFC Bournemouth< 0.1 %
14AFC Sunderland0.0 %
15Coventry City0.0 %
16Crystal Palace0.0 %
17FC Fulham0.0 %
18Ipswich Town0.0 %
19Nottingham Forest0.0 %
20Tottenham Hotspur0.0 %

0% means no titles in the simulations, not necessarily mathematical elimination.

Updated on · 20,000 simulations

How are these forecasts calculated?

Source: Foresportia · prediction engine · Model domestic_production_title_v2. A probability does not guarantee an outcome.

Completed results are kept. The Foresportia engine simulates remaining games using current team strengths and applies this league’s sporting tiebreak criteria. Rare unresolved ties are shared between the tied teams; disciplinary criteria and additional deciding matches are not simulated. Unrecorded sanctions are not anticipated.

Understand the competition

All about Premier League predictions

Premier League predictions: AI probabilities and 1X2 reading

Foresportia publishes 1X2 probabilities for Premier League. They quantify home win, draw and away win outcomes; they never claim certainty. Every attested match link in the calendar opens its dedicated analysis page.

Premier League reliability and stability badges

The three displayed scopes are explicit: Correct and above, Stable and above, and Ultra stable only. Rates always appear with their verified sample size. These badges apply only to 1X2, not automatically to BTTS, totals, double chance or DNB.

Premier League calendar and upcoming fixtures

The server-rendered calendar currently contains 67 listed matches. Each active date distinguishes fixture-only information, an available prediction or a verified result.

Premier League standings and team pages

The table reconstructed from Foresportia results currently contains 20 teams and is rendered next to the calendar. Team names link only to team pages attested by the Foresportia registry.

BTTS, Over/Under, double chance, DNB and likely score

Additional markets may be available on match pages. They complement the 1X2 view but use their own definitions and are never assigned a 1X2 stability badge implicitly.

Archived results for verifiability

The lifetime performance block is computed from 795 settled matches in the league history, with monthly cumulative snapshots. Predictions are compared with real scores and remain accessible from the verified-results page.

FAQ – Premier League AI predictions

Where can I find today's reliable, free Premier League predictions?

This page gathers the AI Premier League predictions from Foresportia: 1X2 probabilities, likely score, goal markets (BTTS, Over/Under) and a stability badge for every match, no sign-up. The full history is verifiable on the past results page.

How good is an “Ultra stable” prediction in Premier League?

The stability badge rates each prediction on how clear the favourite is and how clean the context (stakes, rotation, derby). The more stable the badge, the more often the prediction lands.

Are there BTTS and Over/Under predictions for Premier League too?

Yes. For every match the model estimates the probability that both teams score (BTTS) and that the game goes over or under 2.5 goals, on top of 1X2 and double chance. Over the 2026/27 season, the model's Over/Under 2.5 side in Performance mode landed 55.6% of the time and its favourite double chance in High performance mode landed 90.9% of the time.

How is the most likely correct score computed?

The model simulates each team's goal distribution (calibrated Poisson/lambda) and derives the five most likely scores of the match. Over the 2026/27 season, the final score was in that top 5 for 47.2% of Premier League matches.

What do the 1X2 probabilities mean?

For each match three probabilities are estimated: home win (1), draw (X) and away win (2). They sum to 100%. A 60% probability means that, over many similar matches, the outcome would occur about 6 times out of 10.

Can an AI predict a Premier League match with certainty?

No. Football is a low-scoring sport where randomness is structural. A serious AI quantifies that uncertainty instead of hiding it: that's the whole point of probabilities and the stability badge.

Who is most likely to win Premier League?

According to the Foresportia simulations for 2026/27, Manchester City is the current favourite. The leading contenders are: Manchester City (66.9 %), Arsenal FC (26.6 %), FC Liverpool (4.7 %), Brighton & Hove Albion (0.9 %), Chelsea FC (0.3 %). Updated on 23/09/2026. These probabilities do not guarantee the final outcome.