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AFC Bournemouth

EnglandPremier League2026-2027

Foresportia analyses AFC Bournemouth using its match data and proprietary models: Elo level, recent form, probabilities, observed reliability and verifiable market signals.

Foresportia Elo
1580Premier League rank : 9th
1X2 entropy
1.52Lower = easier to read
Points volatility
1.20Standard deviation over 5 matches
Recent form
2.40Points per match over 5 matches
Model confidence
53.1%Average over 10 predictions

Current analysis: AFC Bournemouth

AFC Bournemouth are enjoying a positive run, taking 12 points from the last five recorded matches in Premier League. Their attack is productive, with 10 goals scored against 6 conceded. More matches this season are needed to confirm this trend.

Premier League · 2026-2027 · 10 matches analyzed

View analyzed match details
Matches analyzed (up to 5)
DateGoals scoredGoals concededPoints
150
203
303
203
213

1. How Foresportia evaluates AFC Bournemouth

Summary of indicators actually available in Foresportia data.

1580Foresportia EloPremier League rank : 9th
1.521X2 entropyLower = easier to read
1.20Points volatilityStandard deviation over 5 matches
2.40Recent formpoints / match
53.1%Model confidenceAverage over 10 predictions

2. Next match

Premier League

AFC BournemouthElo : 1612
VS
Nottingham ForestElo : 1514
1X2 probabilities (Foresportia model)
45%29%26%
AFC Bournemouth 45%Draw 29%Nottingham Forest 26%
Main signalHome win · 45%
Model confidence50.2%
StabilityRisk
View match details →

3. Prediction reliability for AFC Bournemouth

Data updated on 14 November 2026

Reliability trendCumulative monthly history
76.9%
Cumulative monthly historyProfileReliabilityVolume
2024-08RiskInsufficient sample3
2024-09RiskInsufficient sample5
2024-10RiskInsufficient sample8
2024-11Risk63.6%11
2024-12Risk58.8%17
2025-01Risk55.0%20
2025-02Risk56.5%23
2025-03Risk56.0%25
2025-04Risk50.0%30
2025-05Risk48.5%33
2025-08Risk45.7%35
2025-09Risk44.7%38
2025-10Risk45.0%40
2025-11Risk45.0%40
2025-12Risk41.9%43
2026-01Risk40.4%47
2026-02Risk39.2%51
2026-03Risk37.0%54
2026-04Risk35.7%56
2026-05Risk35.6%59
2026-08Risk35.0%60
2026-09Risk34.9%63
2026-10Risk37.3%67
2026-11Risk38.2%68
2024-08Correct and aboveInsufficient sample0
2024-09Correct and aboveInsufficient sample1
2024-10Correct and aboveInsufficient sample1
2024-11Correct and aboveInsufficient sample2
2024-12Correct and aboveInsufficient sample2
2025-01Correct and aboveInsufficient sample3
2025-02Correct and aboveInsufficient sample4
2025-03Correct and aboveInsufficient sample4
2025-04Correct and aboveInsufficient sample4
2025-05Correct and aboveInsufficient sample5
2025-08Correct and aboveInsufficient sample6
2025-09Correct and aboveInsufficient sample6
2025-10Correct and aboveInsufficient sample7
2025-11Correct and above72.7%11
2025-12Correct and above64.3%14
2026-01Correct and above66.7%15
2026-02Correct and above66.7%15
2026-03Correct and above66.7%15
2026-04Correct and above62.5%16
2026-05Correct and above58.8%17
2026-08Correct and above61.1%18
2026-09Correct and above61.1%18
2026-10Correct and above61.1%18
2026-11Correct and above61.1%18
2024-08Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2024-09Stable and aboveInsufficient sample1
2024-10Stable and aboveInsufficient sample1
2024-11Stable and aboveInsufficient sample1
2024-12Stable and aboveInsufficient sample1
2025-01Stable and aboveInsufficient sample1
2025-02Stable and aboveInsufficient sample2
2025-03Stable and aboveInsufficient sample2
2025-04Stable and aboveInsufficient sample2
2025-05Stable and aboveInsufficient sample3
2025-08Stable and aboveInsufficient sample4
2025-09Stable and aboveInsufficient sample4
2025-10Stable and aboveInsufficient sample4
2025-11Stable and aboveInsufficient sample7
2025-12Stable and above80.0%10
2026-01Stable and above81.8%11
2026-02Stable and above81.8%11
2026-03Stable and above81.8%11
2026-04Stable and above75.0%12
2026-05Stable and above75.0%12
2026-08Stable and above76.9%13
2026-09Stable and above76.9%13
2026-10Stable and above76.9%13
2026-11Stable and above76.9%13
2024-08Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2024-09Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2024-10Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2024-11Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2024-12Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2025-01Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2025-02Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2025-03Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2025-04Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2025-05Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2025-08Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2025-09Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2025-10Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2025-11Ultra stableInsufficient sample3
2025-12Ultra stableInsufficient sample4
2026-01Ultra stableInsufficient sample5
2026-02Ultra stableInsufficient sample5
2026-03Ultra stableInsufficient sample5
2026-04Ultra stableInsufficient sample5
2026-05Ultra stableInsufficient sample5
2026-08Ultra stableInsufficient sample5
2026-09Ultra stableInsufficient sample5
2026-10Ultra stableInsufficient sample5
2026-11Ultra stableInsufficient sample5

4. Predictive profile for AFC Bournemouth

ContextObserved measureReading
Home performance1.56 pts/matchComparable return
Away performance1.42 pts/matchComparable return

5. Statistical markers for AFC Bournemouth

Team values from Foresportia sources, without a reconstructed league average.

Expected goals created at home0.88
Expected goals conceded at home0.82
Expected goals created away1.20
Expected goals conceded away1.20
Goals scored / match (5)2.00
Goals conceded / match (5)1.20

History: 86 verified matches

6. Market signals for AFC Bournemouth

MarketAverage probabilityReliabilityVolumeReading
Double chance X264.4%82.6%23Major, well-documented signal
Under 2.559.0%77.8%9Promising signal, limited sample
Double chance 1X67.3%65.2%23Confirmed signal
Over 2.554.2%62.5%16Success above the average probability
Both teams to score55.7%61.1%18Recurring signal

7. Model dynamics & analysis

Foresportia Elo trendTracks the team’s relative level as matches are played.
AFC Bournemouth
Average model confidenceShows how the model’s average certainty changes across matches.
AFC Bournemouth
xG differential trendCompares expected goals created and conceded to track the balance of chances.
PositiveNegative
Model calibrationCompares published probabilities with the rates actually observed.
Observed ratePerfect

8. Foresportia analysis

For Foresportia, AFC Bournemouth mainly combines stronger recent control and a more reliable defensive base. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.

AFC Bournemouth is going through a strong control sequence, with 2.40 points per match over the last five matches and an average xG delta of -0.00.

The next detected match is AFC Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Home win” around 45%.

AI verdictHigh predictive reliability

Stable and above: 76.9% success across 13 verified 1X2 predictions.

Verify the complete history →

Continue exploring

Upcoming matches, competition, other teams and verifiable history.

View upcoming matchesBrowse upcoming fixtures and AI analysis.→Explore Premier LeagueLeague calendar, standings and predictions.→Explore teamsBrowse analysis and profiles for other clubs.→Verify our performanceReview Foresportia’s verifiable prediction history.→

9. AFC Bournemouth FAQ

What is the next match for AFC Bournemouth on Foresportia?

This page shows AFC Bournemouth's confirmed next match with the enriched prediction probabilities that are currently available.

How should you read AFC Bournemouth's ranking and Elo?

This page includes dedicated charts for AFC Bournemouth's ranking and Elo trends, with season separators to make the evolution easier to read.

What does the strongest picks block mean for AFC Bournemouth?

It highlights the markets that performed best in the available history for AFC Bournemouth, together with sample size, hit rate and average probability.

AFC Bournemouth: AI analysis, predictions and Foresportia signals

For Foresportia, AFC Bournemouth mainly combines stronger recent control and a more reliable defensive base. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.

AFC Bournemouth is going through a strong control sequence, with 2.40 points per match over the last five matches and an average xG delta of -0.00.

The next detected match is AFC Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Home win” around 45%.