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Arsenal

EnglandPremier League2026-2027

Foresportia analyses Arsenal using its match data and proprietary models: Elo level, recent form, probabilities, observed reliability and verifiable market signals.

Foresportia Elo
1758Premier League rank : 1st
1X2 entropy
1.44Lower = easier to read
Points volatility
0.00Standard deviation over 5 matches
Recent form
3.00Points per match over 5 matches
Model confidence
53.0%Average over 10 predictions

Current analysis: Arsenal

Arsenal are enjoying a positive run, taking 15 points from the last five recorded matches in Premier League. Their defense has held firm: 1 goal conceded against 7 goals scored. More matches this season are needed to confirm this trend.

Premier League · 2026-2027 · 9 matches analyzed

View analyzed match details
Matches analyzed (up to 5)
DateGoals scoredGoals concededPoints
213
103
203
103
103

1. How Foresportia evaluates Arsenal

Summary of indicators actually available in Foresportia data.

1758Foresportia EloPremier League rank : 1st
1.441X2 entropyLower = easier to read
0.00Points volatilityStandard deviation over 5 matches
3.00Recent formpoints / match
53.0%Model confidenceAverage over 10 predictions

2. Next match

Premier League

Newcastle UnitedElo : 1510
VS
Arsenal FCElo : 1749
1X2 probabilities (Foresportia model)
20%28%52%
Newcastle United 20%Draw 28%Arsenal FC 52%
Main signalAway win · 52%
Model confidence46.8%
StabilityRisk
View match details →

3. Prediction reliability for Arsenal

Data updated on 14 November 2026

Reliability trendCumulative monthly history
85.7%
Cumulative monthly historyProfileReliabilityVolume
2024-08RiskInsufficient sample2
2024-09RiskInsufficient sample4
2024-10RiskInsufficient sample6
2024-11RiskInsufficient sample8
2024-12RiskInsufficient sample8
2025-01RiskInsufficient sample9
2025-02Risk36.4%11
2025-03Risk33.3%12
2025-04Risk28.6%14
2025-05Risk29.4%17
2025-08Risk31.6%19
2025-09Risk33.3%21
2025-10Risk36.4%22
2025-11Risk33.3%24
2025-12Risk32.0%25
2026-01Risk28.6%28
2026-02Risk29.0%31
2026-03Risk33.3%33
2026-04Risk35.3%34
2026-05Risk38.9%36
2026-08Risk40.5%37
2026-09Risk42.5%40
2026-10Risk43.9%41
2026-11Risk45.2%42
2024-08Correct and aboveInsufficient sample1
2024-09Correct and aboveInsufficient sample2
2024-10Correct and aboveInsufficient sample3
2024-11Correct and aboveInsufficient sample5
2024-12Correct and above80.0%10
2025-01Correct and above71.4%14
2025-02Correct and above68.8%16
2025-03Correct and above70.6%17
2025-04Correct and above70.0%20
2025-05Correct and above71.4%21
2025-08Correct and above72.7%22
2025-09Correct and above73.9%23
2025-10Correct and above76.0%25
2025-11Correct and above77.8%27
2025-12Correct and above81.2%32
2026-01Correct and above82.4%34
2026-02Correct and above82.9%35
2026-03Correct and above83.3%36
2026-04Correct and above81.6%38
2026-05Correct and above82.5%40
2026-08Correct and above82.5%40
2026-09Correct and above82.5%40
2026-10Correct and above83.3%42
2026-11Correct and above83.7%43
2024-08Stable and aboveInsufficient sample1
2024-09Stable and aboveInsufficient sample1
2024-10Stable and aboveInsufficient sample2
2024-11Stable and aboveInsufficient sample3
2024-12Stable and aboveInsufficient sample5
2025-01Stable and aboveInsufficient sample6
2025-02Stable and aboveInsufficient sample7
2025-03Stable and aboveInsufficient sample7
2025-04Stable and aboveInsufficient sample9
2025-05Stable and above70.0%10
2025-08Stable and above72.7%11
2025-09Stable and above75.0%12
2025-10Stable and above76.9%13
2025-11Stable and above80.0%15
2025-12Stable and above84.2%19
2026-01Stable and above85.7%21
2026-02Stable and above86.4%22
2026-03Stable and above87.0%23
2026-04Stable and above83.3%24
2026-05Stable and above84.6%26
2026-08Stable and above84.6%26
2026-09Stable and above84.6%26
2026-10Stable and above85.7%28
2026-11Stable and above85.7%28
2024-08Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2024-09Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2024-10Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2024-11Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2024-12Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2025-01Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2025-02Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2025-03Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2025-04Ultra stableInsufficient sample2
2025-05Ultra stableInsufficient sample3
2025-08Ultra stableInsufficient sample4
2025-09Ultra stableInsufficient sample5
2025-10Ultra stableInsufficient sample6
2025-11Ultra stableInsufficient sample7
2025-12Ultra stable100.0%10
2026-01Ultra stable100.0%11
2026-02Ultra stable100.0%11
2026-03Ultra stable100.0%11
2026-04Ultra stable100.0%11
2026-05Ultra stable100.0%12
2026-08Ultra stable100.0%12
2026-09Ultra stable100.0%12
2026-10Ultra stable100.0%12
2026-11Ultra stable100.0%12

4. Predictive profile for Arsenal

ContextObserved measureReading
Home performance2.33 pts/matchHigher observed return
Away performance1.98 pts/matchLower observed return

5. Statistical markers for Arsenal

Team values from Foresportia sources, without a reconstructed league average.

Expected goals created at home1.34
Expected goals conceded at home0.61
Expected goals created away1.25
Expected goals conceded away0.58
Goals scored / match (5)1.40
Goals conceded / match (5)0.20

History: 85 verified matches

6. Market signals for Arsenal

MarketAverage probabilityReliabilityVolumeReading
Double chance 1X79.4%86.4%22Major, well-documented signal
Home win63.2%86.7%15Major, well-documented signal
Home draw no bet79.1%83.3%18Major, well-documented signal
Double chance 1274.0%82.9%35Major, well-documented signal
Home clean sheet60.0%100.0%6Promising signal, limited sample

7. Model dynamics & analysis

Foresportia Elo trendTracks the team’s relative level as matches are played.
Arsenal
Average model confidenceShows how the model’s average certainty changes across matches.
Arsenal
xG differential trendCompares expected goals created and conceded to track the balance of chances.
PositiveNegative
Model calibrationCompares published probabilities with the rates actually observed.
Observed ratePerfect

8. Foresportia analysis

For Foresportia, Arsenal mainly combines stronger recent control and a more reliable defensive base. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.

Arsenal is going through a strong control sequence, with 3.00 points per match over the last five matches and an average xG delta of 1.28.

The next detected match is Newcastle United vs Arsenal FC on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Away win” around 52%.

AI verdictHigh predictive reliability

Stable and above: 85.7% success across 28 verified 1X2 predictions.

Verify the complete history →

Continue exploring

Upcoming matches, competition, other teams and verifiable history.

View upcoming matchesBrowse upcoming fixtures and AI analysis.→Explore Premier LeagueLeague calendar, standings and predictions.→Explore teamsBrowse analysis and profiles for other clubs.→Verify our performanceReview Foresportia’s verifiable prediction history.→

9. Arsenal FAQ

What is the next match for Arsenal on Foresportia?

This page shows Arsenal's confirmed next match with the enriched prediction probabilities that are currently available.

How should you read Arsenal's ranking and Elo?

This page includes dedicated charts for Arsenal's ranking and Elo trends, with season separators to make the evolution easier to read.

What does the strongest picks block mean for Arsenal?

It highlights the markets that performed best in the available history for Arsenal, together with sample size, hit rate and average probability.

Arsenal: AI analysis, predictions and Foresportia signals

For Foresportia, Arsenal mainly combines stronger recent control and a more reliable defensive base. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.

Arsenal is going through a strong control sequence, with 3.00 points per match over the last five matches and an average xG delta of 1.28.

The next detected match is Newcastle United vs Arsenal FC on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Away win” around 52%.