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Newcastle

EnglandPremier League2026-2027

Foresportia analyses Newcastle using its match data and proprietary models: Elo level, recent form, probabilities, observed reliability and verifiable market signals.

Foresportia Elo
1575Premier League rank : 9th
1X2 entropy
1.54Lower = easier to read
Points volatility
1.10Standard deviation over 5 matches
Recent form
1.00Points per match over 5 matches
Model confidence
58.1%Average over 10 predictions

Current analysis: Newcastle

Newcastle have taken 5 points from four matches in Premier League. The team have scored 7 goals and conceded 8. It is still too early to judge their form, attack or defense from so few matches.

Premier League · 2026-2027 · 4 matches analyzed

View analyzed match details
Matches analyzed (up to 5)
DateGoals scoredGoals concededPoints
221
203
221
140

1. How Foresportia evaluates Newcastle

Summary of indicators actually available in Foresportia data.

1575Foresportia EloPremier League rank : 9th
1.541X2 entropyLower = easier to read
1.10Points volatilityStandard deviation over 5 matches
1.00Recent formpoints / match
58.1%Model confidenceAverage over 10 predictions

2. Next match

Premier League

Coventry CityElo : Not available
VS
Newcastle UnitedElo : Not available
Main signal—
Model confidenceNot available
StabilityRisk
View match details →

3. Prediction reliability for Newcastle

Data updated on 24 September 2026

Reliability trendCumulative monthly history
100.0%
Cumulative monthly historyProfileReliabilityVolume
2024-08RiskInsufficient sample1
2024-09RiskInsufficient sample5
2024-10RiskInsufficient sample8
2024-11Risk25.0%12
2024-12Risk37.5%16
2025-01Risk41.2%17
2025-02Risk38.9%18
2025-03Risk42.1%19
2025-04Risk50.0%22
2025-05Risk52.0%25
2025-08Risk48.1%27
2025-09Risk50.0%30
2025-10Risk50.0%32
2025-11Risk48.6%35
2025-12Risk47.4%38
2026-01Risk45.0%40
2026-02Risk41.9%43
2026-03Risk39.1%46
2026-04Risk37.5%48
2026-05Risk38.5%52
2026-08Risk37.0%54
2026-09Risk35.7%56
2024-08Correct and aboveInsufficient sample1
2024-09Correct and aboveInsufficient sample1
2024-10Correct and aboveInsufficient sample1
2024-11Correct and aboveInsufficient sample1
2024-12Correct and aboveInsufficient sample3
2025-01Correct and aboveInsufficient sample6
2025-02Correct and aboveInsufficient sample9
2025-03Correct and aboveInsufficient sample9
2025-04Correct and above91.7%12
2025-05Correct and above84.6%13
2025-08Correct and above85.7%14
2025-09Correct and above85.7%14
2025-10Correct and above86.7%15
2025-11Correct and above87.5%16
2025-12Correct and above89.5%19
2026-01Correct and above90.5%21
2026-02Correct and above90.9%22
2026-03Correct and above90.9%22
2026-04Correct and above91.3%23
2026-05Correct and above91.3%23
2026-08Correct and above91.3%23
2026-09Correct and above91.3%23
2024-08Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2024-09Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2024-10Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2024-11Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2024-12Stable and aboveInsufficient sample2
2025-01Stable and aboveInsufficient sample4
2025-02Stable and aboveInsufficient sample6
2025-03Stable and aboveInsufficient sample6
2025-04Stable and aboveInsufficient sample7
2025-05Stable and aboveInsufficient sample7
2025-08Stable and aboveInsufficient sample7
2025-09Stable and aboveInsufficient sample7
2025-10Stable and aboveInsufficient sample7
2025-11Stable and aboveInsufficient sample7
2025-12Stable and aboveInsufficient sample9
2026-01Stable and above100.0%10
2026-02Stable and above100.0%11
2026-03Stable and above100.0%11
2026-04Stable and above100.0%11
2026-05Stable and above100.0%11
2026-08Stable and above100.0%11
2026-09Stable and above100.0%11
2024-08Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2024-09Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2024-10Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2024-11Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2024-12Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2025-01Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2025-02Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2025-03Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2025-04Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2025-05Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2025-08Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2025-09Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2025-10Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2025-11Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2025-12Ultra stableInsufficient sample3
2026-01Ultra stableInsufficient sample4
2026-02Ultra stableInsufficient sample4
2026-03Ultra stableInsufficient sample4
2026-04Ultra stableInsufficient sample4
2026-05Ultra stableInsufficient sample4
2026-08Ultra stableInsufficient sample4
2026-09Ultra stableInsufficient sample4

4. Predictive profile for Newcastle

ContextObserved measureReading
Home performance1.80 pts/matchHigher observed return
Away performance1.23 pts/matchLower observed return

5. Statistical markers for Newcastle

Team values from Foresportia sources, without a reconstructed league average.

Expected goals created at home1.28
Expected goals conceded at home1.01
Expected goals created away0.97
Expected goals conceded away0.98
Goals scored / match (5)1.40
Goals conceded / match (5)2.00

History: 79 verified matches

6. Market signals for Newcastle

MarketAverage probabilityReliabilityVolumeReading
Double chance 1272.7%85.0%20Major, well-documented signal
Both teams to score56.3%71.4%14Success above the average probability
Double chance 1X69.5%65.0%20Confirmed signal
Over 2.553.5%64.3%14Success above the average probability
Double chance X263.6%57.1%14Recurring signal

7. Model dynamics & analysis

Foresportia Elo trendTracks the team’s relative level as matches are played.
Newcastle
Average model confidenceShows how the model’s average certainty changes across matches.
Newcastle
xG differential trendCompares expected goals created and conceded to track the balance of chances.
PositiveNegative
Model calibrationCompares published probabilities with the rates actually observed.
Observed ratePerfect

8. Foresportia analysis

For Foresportia, Newcastle mainly draws value from its home edge. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.

Newcastle still needs to be read through recent form, Elo and its advanced production indicators.

The next confirmed match is Coventry City vs Newcastle United on . Probabilities will appear when an enriched prediction is available.

AI verdictHigh predictive reliability

Stable and above: 100.0% success across 11 verified 1X2 predictions.

Verify the complete history →

Continue exploring

Upcoming matches, competition, other teams and verifiable history.

View upcoming matchesBrowse upcoming fixtures and AI analysis.→Explore Premier LeagueLeague calendar, standings and predictions.→Explore teamsBrowse analysis and profiles for other clubs.→Verify our performanceReview Foresportia’s verifiable prediction history.→

9. Newcastle FAQ

What is the next match for Newcastle on Foresportia?

This page shows Newcastle's confirmed next match. The enriched prediction and its probabilities are not available yet.

How should you read Newcastle's ranking and Elo?

This page includes dedicated charts for Newcastle's ranking and Elo trends, with season separators to make the evolution easier to read.

What does the strongest picks block mean for Newcastle?

It highlights the markets that performed best in the available history for Newcastle, together with sample size, hit rate and average probability.

Newcastle: AI analysis, predictions and Foresportia signals

For Foresportia, Newcastle mainly draws value from its home edge. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.

Newcastle still needs to be read through recent form, Elo and its advanced production indicators.

The next confirmed match is Coventry City vs Newcastle United on . Probabilities will appear when an enriched prediction is available.