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Newcastle

EnglandPremier League2026-2027

Foresportia analyses Newcastle using its match data and proprietary models: Elo level, recent form, probabilities, observed reliability and verifiable market signals.

Foresportia Elo
1528Premier League rank : 13th
1X2 entropy
1.56Lower = easier to read
Points volatility
1.17Standard deviation over 5 matches
Recent form
0.80Points per match over 5 matches
Model confidence
49.9%Average over 10 predictions

Current analysis: Newcastle

Newcastle are going through a difficult run, taking 4 points from the last five recorded matches in Premier League. The team have scored few goals: 4 goals, against 7 conceded. More matches this season are needed to confirm this trend.

Premier League · 2026-2027 · 8 matches analyzed

View analyzed match details
Matches analyzed (up to 5)
DateGoals scoredGoals concededPoints
140
010
203
010
111

1. How Foresportia evaluates Newcastle

Summary of indicators actually available in Foresportia data.

1528Foresportia EloPremier League rank : 13th
1.561X2 entropyLower = easier to read
1.17Points volatilityStandard deviation over 5 matches
0.80Recent formpoints / match
49.9%Model confidenceAverage over 10 predictions

2. Next match

Premier League

Newcastle UnitedElo : 1510
VS
Arsenal FCElo : 1749
1X2 probabilities (Foresportia model)
20%28%52%
Newcastle United 20%Draw 28%Arsenal FC 52%
Main signalAway win · 52%
Model confidence46.8%
StabilityRisk
View match details →

3. Prediction reliability for Newcastle

Data updated on 14 November 2026

Reliability trendCumulative monthly history
100.0%
Cumulative monthly historyProfileReliabilityVolume
2024-08RiskInsufficient sample1
2024-09RiskInsufficient sample5
2024-10RiskInsufficient sample8
2024-11Risk25.0%12
2024-12Risk37.5%16
2025-01Risk41.2%17
2025-02Risk38.9%18
2025-03Risk42.1%19
2025-04Risk50.0%22
2025-05Risk52.0%25
2025-08Risk48.1%27
2025-09Risk50.0%30
2025-10Risk50.0%32
2025-11Risk48.6%35
2025-12Risk47.4%38
2026-01Risk45.0%40
2026-02Risk41.9%43
2026-03Risk39.1%46
2026-04Risk37.5%48
2026-05Risk38.5%52
2026-08Risk37.0%54
2026-09Risk35.7%56
2026-10Risk36.2%58
2026-11Risk35.0%60
2024-08Correct and aboveInsufficient sample1
2024-09Correct and aboveInsufficient sample1
2024-10Correct and aboveInsufficient sample1
2024-11Correct and aboveInsufficient sample1
2024-12Correct and aboveInsufficient sample3
2025-01Correct and aboveInsufficient sample6
2025-02Correct and aboveInsufficient sample9
2025-03Correct and aboveInsufficient sample9
2025-04Correct and above91.7%12
2025-05Correct and above84.6%13
2025-08Correct and above85.7%14
2025-09Correct and above85.7%14
2025-10Correct and above86.7%15
2025-11Correct and above87.5%16
2025-12Correct and above89.5%19
2026-01Correct and above90.5%21
2026-02Correct and above90.9%22
2026-03Correct and above90.9%22
2026-04Correct and above91.3%23
2026-05Correct and above91.3%23
2026-08Correct and above91.3%23
2026-09Correct and above91.3%23
2026-10Correct and above91.3%23
2026-11Correct and above91.3%23
2024-08Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2024-09Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2024-10Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2024-11Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2024-12Stable and aboveInsufficient sample2
2025-01Stable and aboveInsufficient sample4
2025-02Stable and aboveInsufficient sample6
2025-03Stable and aboveInsufficient sample6
2025-04Stable and aboveInsufficient sample7
2025-05Stable and aboveInsufficient sample7
2025-08Stable and aboveInsufficient sample7
2025-09Stable and aboveInsufficient sample7
2025-10Stable and aboveInsufficient sample7
2025-11Stable and aboveInsufficient sample7
2025-12Stable and aboveInsufficient sample9
2026-01Stable and above100.0%10
2026-02Stable and above100.0%11
2026-03Stable and above100.0%11
2026-04Stable and above100.0%11
2026-05Stable and above100.0%11
2026-08Stable and above100.0%11
2026-09Stable and above100.0%11
2026-10Stable and above100.0%11
2026-11Stable and above100.0%11
2024-08Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2024-09Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2024-10Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2024-11Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2024-12Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2025-01Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2025-02Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2025-03Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2025-04Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2025-05Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2025-08Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2025-09Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2025-10Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2025-11Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2025-12Ultra stableInsufficient sample3
2026-01Ultra stableInsufficient sample4
2026-02Ultra stableInsufficient sample4
2026-03Ultra stableInsufficient sample4
2026-04Ultra stableInsufficient sample4
2026-05Ultra stableInsufficient sample4
2026-08Ultra stableInsufficient sample4
2026-09Ultra stableInsufficient sample4
2026-10Ultra stableInsufficient sample4
2026-11Ultra stableInsufficient sample4

4. Predictive profile for Newcastle

ContextObserved measureReading
Home performance1.71 pts/matchHigher observed return
Away performance1.27 pts/matchLower observed return

5. Statistical markers for Newcastle

Team values from Foresportia sources, without a reconstructed league average.

Expected goals created at home1.20
Expected goals conceded at home1.01
Expected goals created away0.99
Expected goals conceded away0.98
Goals scored / match (5)0.80
Goals conceded / match (5)1.40

History: 83 verified matches

6. Market signals for Newcastle

MarketAverage probabilityReliabilityVolumeReading
Double chance 1272.4%84.0%25Major, well-documented signal
Double chance X263.8%63.2%19Recurring signal
Both teams to score56.2%63.2%19Recurring signal
Double chance 1X69.3%58.3%24Success below the average probability
Over 2.553.7%55.6%18Recurring signal

7. Model dynamics & analysis

Foresportia Elo trendTracks the team’s relative level as matches are played.
Newcastle
Average model confidenceShows how the model’s average certainty changes across matches.
Newcastle
xG differential trendCompares expected goals created and conceded to track the balance of chances.
PositiveNegative
Model calibrationCompares published probabilities with the rates actually observed.
Observed ratePerfect

8. Foresportia analysis

For Foresportia, Newcastle mainly draws value from its home edge. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.

Newcastle still needs to be read through recent form, Elo and its advanced production indicators.

The next detected match is Newcastle United vs Arsenal FC on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Away win” around 52%.

AI verdictHigh predictive reliability

Stable and above: 100.0% success across 11 verified 1X2 predictions.

Verify the complete history →

Continue exploring

Upcoming matches, competition, other teams and verifiable history.

View upcoming matchesBrowse upcoming fixtures and AI analysis.→Explore Premier LeagueLeague calendar, standings and predictions.→Explore teamsBrowse analysis and profiles for other clubs.→Verify our performanceReview Foresportia’s verifiable prediction history.→

9. Newcastle FAQ

What is the next match for Newcastle on Foresportia?

This page shows Newcastle's confirmed next match with the enriched prediction probabilities that are currently available.

How should you read Newcastle's ranking and Elo?

This page includes dedicated charts for Newcastle's ranking and Elo trends, with season separators to make the evolution easier to read.

What does the strongest picks block mean for Newcastle?

It highlights the markets that performed best in the available history for Newcastle, together with sample size, hit rate and average probability.

Newcastle: AI analysis, predictions and Foresportia signals

For Foresportia, Newcastle mainly draws value from its home edge. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.

Newcastle still needs to be read through recent form, Elo and its advanced production indicators.

The next detected match is Newcastle United vs Arsenal FC on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Away win” around 52%.