Logo Leeds United

Leeds United

EnglandPremier League2026-2027

Foresportia analyses Leeds United using its match data and proprietary models: Elo level, recent form, probabilities, observed reliability and verifiable market signals.

Foresportia Elo
1614Premier League rank : 5th
1X2 entropy
1.55Lower = easier to read
Points volatility
0.98Standard deviation over 5 matches
Recent form
1.80Points per match over 5 matches
Model confidence
55.2%Average over 10 predictions

Current analysis: Leeds United

Leeds United have taken 9 points from five matches in Premier League. The team have scored 7 goals and conceded 3. It is still too early to judge their form, attack or defense from so few matches.

Premier League · 2026-2027 · 5 matches analyzed

View analyzed match details
Matches analyzed (up to 5)
DateGoals scoredGoals concededPoints
103
111
111
413
001

1. How Foresportia evaluates Leeds United

Summary of indicators actually available in Foresportia data.

1614Foresportia EloPremier League rank : 5th
1.551X2 entropyLower = easier to read
0.98Points volatilityStandard deviation over 5 matches
1.80Recent formpoints / match
55.2%Model confidenceAverage over 10 predictions

2. Next match

Premier League

Arsenal FCElo : Not available
VS
Leeds UnitedElo : Not available
Main signal—
Model confidenceNot available
StabilityRisk
View match details →

3. Prediction reliability for Leeds United

Data updated on 24 September 2026

Reliability trendCumulative monthly history
70.4%
Cumulative monthly historyProfileReliabilityVolume
2024-08RiskInsufficient sample2
2024-09RiskInsufficient sample5
2024-10RiskInsufficient sample9
2024-11Risk41.7%12
2024-12Risk42.9%14
2025-01Risk40.0%15
2025-02Risk50.0%18
2025-03Risk47.4%19
2025-04Risk50.0%22
2025-05Risk50.0%22
2025-08Risk45.8%24
2025-09Risk46.2%26
2025-10Risk44.8%29
2025-11Risk46.7%30
2025-12Risk45.2%31
2026-01Risk41.2%34
2026-02Risk38.9%36
2026-03Risk35.9%39
2026-04Risk35.7%42
2026-05Risk35.6%45
2026-08Risk34.0%47
2026-09Risk32.0%50
2024-08Correct and aboveInsufficient sample2
2024-09Correct and aboveInsufficient sample2
2024-10Correct and aboveInsufficient sample3
2024-11Correct and aboveInsufficient sample6
2024-12Correct and above90.0%10
2025-01Correct and above78.6%14
2025-02Correct and above81.2%16
2025-03Correct and above70.0%20
2025-04Correct and above73.9%23
2025-05Correct and above75.0%24
2025-08Correct and above76.0%25
2025-09Correct and above76.9%26
2025-10Correct and above76.9%26
2025-11Correct and above79.3%29
2025-12Correct and above69.7%33
2026-01Correct and above69.4%36
2026-02Correct and above68.4%38
2026-03Correct and above68.4%38
2026-04Correct and above68.4%38
2026-05Correct and above69.2%39
2026-08Correct and above69.2%39
2026-09Correct and above69.2%39
2024-08Stable and aboveInsufficient sample1
2024-09Stable and aboveInsufficient sample1
2024-10Stable and aboveInsufficient sample1
2024-11Stable and aboveInsufficient sample4
2024-12Stable and aboveInsufficient sample7
2025-01Stable and aboveInsufficient sample9
2025-02Stable and above80.0%10
2025-03Stable and above80.0%10
2025-04Stable and above84.6%13
2025-05Stable and above84.6%13
2025-08Stable and above85.7%14
2025-09Stable and above86.7%15
2025-10Stable and above86.7%15
2025-11Stable and above88.9%18
2025-12Stable and above72.7%22
2026-01Stable and above72.0%25
2026-02Stable and above70.4%27
2026-03Stable and above70.4%27
2026-04Stable and above70.4%27
2026-05Stable and above70.4%27
2026-08Stable and above70.4%27
2026-09Stable and above70.4%27
2024-08Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2024-09Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2024-10Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2024-11Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2024-12Ultra stableInsufficient sample4
2025-01Ultra stableInsufficient sample5
2025-02Ultra stableInsufficient sample6
2025-03Ultra stableInsufficient sample6
2025-04Ultra stableInsufficient sample7
2025-05Ultra stableInsufficient sample7
2025-08Ultra stableInsufficient sample8
2025-09Ultra stableInsufficient sample8
2025-10Ultra stableInsufficient sample8
2025-11Ultra stable100.0%10
2025-12Ultra stable76.9%13
2026-01Ultra stable73.3%15
2026-02Ultra stable73.3%15
2026-03Ultra stable73.3%15
2026-04Ultra stable73.3%15
2026-05Ultra stable73.3%15
2026-08Ultra stable73.3%15
2026-09Ultra stable73.3%15

4. Predictive profile for Leeds United

ContextObserved measureReading
Home performance2.11 pts/matchHigher observed return
Away performance1.39 pts/matchLower observed return

5. Statistical markers for Leeds United

Team values from Foresportia sources, without a reconstructed league average.

Expected goals created at home0.95
Expected goals conceded at home0.99
Expected goals created away0.90
Expected goals conceded away1.16
Goals scored / match (5)1.40
Goals conceded / match (5)0.60

History: 89 verified matches

6. Market signals for Leeds United

MarketAverage probabilityReliabilityVolumeReading
Double chance 1X69.5%83.3%18Major, well-documented signal
Double chance X265.2%68.8%16Confirmed signal
Double chance 1273.0%55.0%20Success below the average probability

7. Model dynamics & analysis

Foresportia Elo trendTracks the team’s relative level as matches are played.
Leeds United
Average model confidenceShows how the model’s average certainty changes across matches.
Leeds United
xG differential trendCompares expected goals created and conceded to track the balance of chances.
PositiveNegative
Model calibrationCompares published probabilities with the rates actually observed.
Observed ratePerfect

8. Foresportia analysis

For Foresportia, Leeds United mainly relies on a more reliable defensive base. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.

Leeds United currently relies on a more reliable defensive base, conceding only 0.60 goals per match recently.

The next confirmed match is Arsenal FC vs Leeds United on . Probabilities will appear when an enriched prediction is available.

AI verdictStrong predictive reliability

Stable and above: 70.4% success across 27 verified 1X2 predictions.

Verify the complete history →

Continue exploring

Upcoming matches, competition, other teams and verifiable history.

View upcoming matchesBrowse upcoming fixtures and AI analysis.→Explore Premier LeagueLeague calendar, standings and predictions.→Explore teamsBrowse analysis and profiles for other clubs.→Verify our performanceReview Foresportia’s verifiable prediction history.→

9. Leeds United FAQ

What is the next match for Leeds United on Foresportia?

This page shows Leeds United's confirmed next match. The enriched prediction and its probabilities are not available yet.

How should you read Leeds United's ranking and Elo?

This page includes dedicated charts for Leeds United's ranking and Elo trends, with season separators to make the evolution easier to read.

What does the strongest picks block mean for Leeds United?

It highlights the markets that performed best in the available history for Leeds United, together with sample size, hit rate and average probability.

Leeds United: AI analysis, predictions and Foresportia signals

For Foresportia, Leeds United mainly relies on a more reliable defensive base. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.

Leeds United currently relies on a more reliable defensive base, conceding only 0.60 goals per match recently.

The next confirmed match is Arsenal FC vs Leeds United on . Probabilities will appear when an enriched prediction is available.