Foresportia Elo
1580Premier League rank : 12th
Aston Villa
Foresportia analyses Aston Villa using its match data and proprietary models: Elo level, recent form, probabilities, observed reliability and verifiable market signals.
1X2 entropy
1.52Lower = easier to readPoints volatility
0.98Standard deviation over 5 matchesRecent form
1.80Points per match over 5 matchesModel confidence
50.5%Average over 10 predictionsCurrent analysis: Aston Villa
Aston Villa are scoring freely, but their defense is vulnerable: 10 goals scored and 8 conceded across the last five recorded matches in Premier League. The team have taken 9 points from a possible 15 over these matches. More matches this season are needed to confirm this trend.
Premier League · 2026-2027 · 9 matches analyzed
View analyzed match details
| Date | Goals scored | Goals conceded | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | 1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 3 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| 4 | 4 | 1 |
1. How Foresportia evaluates Aston Villa
Summary of indicators actually available in Foresportia data.
2. Next match
Aston VillaElo : 1563
AFC SunderlandElo : 1470
1X2 probabilities (Foresportia model)
Aston Villa 48%Draw 30%AFC Sunderland 22%
3. Prediction reliability for Aston Villa
Data updated on 14 November 2026
Reliability trendCumulative monthly history
Insufficient sample| Cumulative monthly history | Profile | Reliability | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2024-09 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2024-10 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2024-11 | Risk | 63.6% | 11 |
| 2024-12 | Risk | 66.7% | 15 |
| 2025-01 | Risk | 58.8% | 17 |
| 2025-02 | Risk | 54.5% | 22 |
| 2025-03 | Risk | 52.2% | 23 |
| 2025-04 | Risk | 57.7% | 26 |
| 2025-05 | Risk | 60.0% | 30 |
| 2025-08 | Risk | 57.6% | 33 |
| 2025-09 | Risk | 58.3% | 36 |
| 2025-10 | Risk | 56.8% | 37 |
| 2025-11 | Risk | 57.9% | 38 |
| 2025-12 | Risk | 54.8% | 42 |
| 2026-01 | Risk | 51.1% | 45 |
| 2026-02 | Risk | 48.0% | 50 |
| 2026-03 | Risk | 50.0% | 52 |
| 2026-04 | Risk | 49.1% | 55 |
| 2026-05 | Risk | 46.6% | 58 |
| 2026-08 | Risk | 48.3% | 60 |
| 2026-09 | Risk | 46.8% | 62 |
| 2026-10 | Risk | 43.9% | 66 |
| 2026-11 | Risk | 43.3% | 67 |
| 2024-08 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-09 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-10 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-11 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-12 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-01 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2025-02 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2025-03 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2025-04 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2025-05 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2025-08 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2025-09 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2025-10 | Correct and above | 80.0% | 10 |
| 2025-11 | Correct and above | 84.6% | 13 |
| 2025-12 | Correct and above | 86.7% | 15 |
| 2026-01 | Correct and above | 87.5% | 16 |
| 2026-02 | Correct and above | 87.5% | 16 |
| 2026-03 | Correct and above | 88.2% | 17 |
| 2026-04 | Correct and above | 88.2% | 17 |
| 2026-05 | Correct and above | 83.3% | 18 |
| 2026-08 | Correct and above | 83.3% | 18 |
| 2026-09 | Correct and above | 83.3% | 18 |
| 2026-10 | Correct and above | 83.3% | 18 |
| 2026-11 | Correct and above | 83.3% | 18 |
| 2024-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-11 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-12 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-01 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-02 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-03 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-04 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-05 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-11 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2025-12 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2026-01 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2026-02 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2026-03 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2026-04 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2026-05 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2026-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2026-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2026-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2026-11 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2024-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-12 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-01 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-02 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-03 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-12 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2026-01 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2026-02 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2026-03 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2026-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2026-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2026-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2026-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2026-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2026-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 4 |
4. Predictive profile for Aston Villa
ContextObserved measureReading
Home performance1.93 pts/matchHigher observed return
Away performance1.43 pts/matchLower observed return
5. Statistical markers for Aston Villa
Team values from Foresportia sources, without a reconstructed league average.
History: 85 verified matches
6. Market signals for Aston Villa
MarketAverage probabilityReliabilityVolumeReading
Double chance 1270.7%74.2%31Robust signal
Double chance 1X69.6%66.7%27Confirmed signal
Over 2.553.9%62.5%16Success above the average probability
Double chance X265.4%59.3%27Recurring signal
Both teams to score55.4%60.0%20Recurring signal
7. Model dynamics & analysis
Foresportia Elo trendTracks the team’s relative level as matches are played.
Aston Villa
Average model confidenceShows how the model’s average certainty changes across matches.
Aston Villa
xG differential trendCompares expected goals created and conceded to track the balance of chances.
PositiveNegative
Model calibrationCompares published probabilities with the rates actually observed.
Observed ratePerfect
League-position trendTracks the team’s league position throughout the season.
Aston Villa
Goals scored / concededCompares goals scored and conceded using a five-match rolling average.
Goals scored / match (5)Goals conceded / match (5)
Points per matchTracks points earned per match using a five-match rolling average.
Aston Villa
8. Foresportia analysis
For Foresportia, Aston Villa mainly shows a more productive attacking profile. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
Aston Villa shows a stronger attacking profile, scoring 2.00 goals per match recently.
The next detected match is Aston Villa vs AFC Sunderland on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Home win” around 48%.
AI verdictHigh predictive reliability
Correct and above: 83.3% success across 18 verified 1X2 predictions.
Verify the complete history →Continue exploring
Upcoming matches, competition, other teams and verifiable history.
9. Aston Villa FAQ
What is the next match for Aston Villa on Foresportia?
This page shows Aston Villa's confirmed next match with the enriched prediction probabilities that are currently available.
How should you read Aston Villa's ranking and Elo?
This page includes dedicated charts for Aston Villa's ranking and Elo trends, with season separators to make the evolution easier to read.
What does the strongest picks block mean for Aston Villa?
It highlights the markets that performed best in the available history for Aston Villa, together with sample size, hit rate and average probability.
Aston Villa: AI analysis, predictions and Foresportia signals
For Foresportia, Aston Villa mainly shows a more productive attacking profile. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
Aston Villa shows a stronger attacking profile, scoring 2.00 goals per match recently.
The next detected match is Aston Villa vs AFC Sunderland on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Home win” around 48%.