Foresportia Elo
1526Premier League rank : 19th
Nottingham Forest
Foresportia analyses Nottingham Forest using its match data and proprietary models: Elo level, recent form, probabilities, observed reliability and verifiable market signals.
1X2 entropy
1.52Lower = easier to readPoints volatility
1.17Standard deviation over 5 matchesRecent form
0.80Points per match over 5 matchesModel confidence
51.1%Average over 10 predictionsCurrent analysis: Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest are going through a difficult run, taking 4 points from the last five recorded matches in Premier League. Their defense needs attention: 8 goals conceded against 5 scored. More matches this season are needed to confirm this trend.
Premier League · 2026-2027 · 9 matches analyzed
View analyzed match details
| Date | Goals scored | Goals conceded | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| 3 | 1 | 3 |
1. How Foresportia evaluates Nottingham Forest
Summary of indicators actually available in Foresportia data.
2. Next match
AFC BournemouthElo : 1612
Nottingham ForestElo : 1514
1X2 probabilities (Foresportia model)
AFC Bournemouth 45%Draw 29%Nottingham Forest 26%
3. Prediction reliability for Nottingham Forest
Data updated on 14 November 2026
Reliability trendCumulative monthly history
70.0%| Cumulative monthly history | Profile | Reliability | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2024-09 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2024-10 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2024-11 | Risk | 54.5% | 11 |
| 2024-12 | Risk | 46.7% | 15 |
| 2025-01 | Risk | 50.0% | 18 |
| 2025-02 | Risk | 52.4% | 21 |
| 2025-03 | Risk | 52.2% | 23 |
| 2025-04 | Risk | 48.1% | 27 |
| 2025-05 | Risk | 50.0% | 32 |
| 2025-08 | Risk | 50.0% | 34 |
| 2025-09 | Risk | 50.0% | 36 |
| 2025-10 | Risk | 52.6% | 38 |
| 2025-11 | Risk | 52.5% | 40 |
| 2025-12 | Risk | 53.3% | 45 |
| 2026-01 | Risk | 52.1% | 48 |
| 2026-02 | Risk | 50.0% | 52 |
| 2026-03 | Risk | 49.1% | 55 |
| 2026-04 | Risk | 48.3% | 58 |
| 2026-05 | Risk | 46.8% | 62 |
| 2026-08 | Risk | 46.0% | 63 |
| 2026-09 | Risk | 44.6% | 65 |
| 2026-10 | Risk | 44.9% | 69 |
| 2026-11 | Risk | 44.9% | 69 |
| 2024-08 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-09 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-10 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-11 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2024-12 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-01 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2025-02 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2025-03 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2025-04 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2025-05 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2025-08 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2025-09 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2025-10 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2025-11 | Correct and above | 72.7% | 11 |
| 2025-12 | Correct and above | 75.0% | 12 |
| 2026-01 | Correct and above | 76.9% | 13 |
| 2026-02 | Correct and above | 76.9% | 13 |
| 2026-03 | Correct and above | 71.4% | 14 |
| 2026-04 | Correct and above | 71.4% | 14 |
| 2026-05 | Correct and above | 71.4% | 14 |
| 2026-08 | Correct and above | 66.7% | 15 |
| 2026-09 | Correct and above | 66.7% | 15 |
| 2026-10 | Correct and above | 66.7% | 15 |
| 2026-11 | Correct and above | 62.5% | 16 |
| 2024-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-11 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2024-12 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-01 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-02 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-03 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-04 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-05 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2025-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2025-11 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2025-12 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2026-01 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2026-02 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2026-03 | Stable and above | 70.0% | 10 |
| 2026-04 | Stable and above | 70.0% | 10 |
| 2026-05 | Stable and above | 70.0% | 10 |
| 2026-08 | Stable and above | 70.0% | 10 |
| 2026-09 | Stable and above | 70.0% | 10 |
| 2026-10 | Stable and above | 70.0% | 10 |
| 2026-11 | Stable and above | 70.0% | 10 |
| 2024-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-12 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-01 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-02 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-03 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-12 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2026-01 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2026-02 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2026-03 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2026-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2026-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2026-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2026-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2026-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2026-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 4 |
4. Predictive profile for Nottingham Forest
ContextObserved measureReading
Home performance1.33 pts/matchComparable return
Away performance1.44 pts/matchComparable return
5. Statistical markers for Nottingham Forest
Team values from Foresportia sources, without a reconstructed league average.
History: 85 verified matches
6. Market signals for Nottingham Forest
MarketAverage probabilityReliabilityVolumeReading
Double chance 1X69.0%74.1%27Robust signal
Double chance X266.0%65.4%26Confirmed signal
Double chance 1270.5%63.3%30Recurring signal
Both teams to score54.6%63.2%19Success above the average probability
Under 2.561.9%55.6%18Recurring signal
7. Model dynamics & analysis
Foresportia Elo trendTracks the team’s relative level as matches are played.
Nottingham Forest
Average model confidenceShows how the model’s average certainty changes across matches.
Nottingham Forest
xG differential trendCompares expected goals created and conceded to track the balance of chances.
PositiveNegative
Model calibrationCompares published probabilities with the rates actually observed.
Observed ratePerfect
League-position trendTracks the team’s league position throughout the season.
Nottingham Forest
Goals scored / concededCompares goals scored and conceded using a five-match rolling average.
Goals scored / match (5)Goals conceded / match (5)
Points per matchTracks points earned per match using a five-match rolling average.
Nottingham Forest
8. Foresportia analysis
For Foresportia, Nottingham Forest still requires a more cautious read tied to recent form and match context. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
Nottingham Forest still needs to be read through recent form, Elo and its advanced production indicators.
The next detected match is AFC Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Home win” around 45%.
AI verdictStrong predictive reliability
Stable and above: 70.0% success across 10 verified 1X2 predictions.
Verify the complete history →Continue exploring
Upcoming matches, competition, other teams and verifiable history.
9. Nottingham Forest FAQ
What is the next match for Nottingham Forest on Foresportia?
This page shows Nottingham Forest's confirmed next match with the enriched prediction probabilities that are currently available.
How should you read Nottingham Forest's ranking and Elo?
This page includes dedicated charts for Nottingham Forest's ranking and Elo trends, with season separators to make the evolution easier to read.
What does the strongest picks block mean for Nottingham Forest?
It highlights the markets that performed best in the available history for Nottingham Forest, together with sample size, hit rate and average probability.
Nottingham Forest: AI analysis, predictions and Foresportia signals
For Foresportia, Nottingham Forest still requires a more cautious read tied to recent form and match context. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
Nottingham Forest still needs to be read through recent form, Elo and its advanced production indicators.
The next detected match is AFC Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Home win” around 45%.