Foresportia Elo
1754Premier League rank : 1st
Manchester City
City
Foresportia analyses Manchester City using its match data and proprietary models: Elo level, recent form, probabilities, observed reliability and verifiable market signals.
1X2 entropy
1.30Lower = easier to readPoints volatility
1.20Standard deviation over 5 matchesRecent form
2.40Points per match over 5 matchesModel confidence
72.6%Average over 10 predictionsCurrent analysis: Manchester City
Manchester City have taken 12 points from four matches in Premier League. The team have scored 12 goals and conceded 5. It is still too early to judge their form, attack or defense from so few matches.
Premier League · 2026-2027 · 4 matches analyzed
View analyzed match details
| Date | Goals scored | Goals conceded | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| 4 | 1 | 3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 3 | |
| 5 | 3 | 3 |
1. How Foresportia evaluates Manchester City
Summary of indicators actually available in Foresportia data.
2. Next match
FC LiverpoolElo : Not available
Manchester CityElo : Not available
3. Prediction reliability for Manchester City
Data updated on 22 September 2026
Reliability trendCumulative monthly history
81.8%| Cumulative monthly history | Profile | Reliability | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-09 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2024-10 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2024-11 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2024-12 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2025-01 | Risk | 40.0% | 10 |
| 2025-02 | Risk | 46.2% | 13 |
| 2025-03 | Risk | 42.9% | 14 |
| 2025-04 | Risk | 40.0% | 15 |
| 2025-05 | Risk | 40.0% | 15 |
| 2025-08 | Risk | 41.2% | 17 |
| 2025-09 | Risk | 38.9% | 18 |
| 2025-10 | Risk | 38.9% | 18 |
| 2025-11 | Risk | 36.8% | 19 |
| 2025-12 | Risk | 36.8% | 19 |
| 2026-01 | Risk | 35.0% | 20 |
| 2026-02 | Risk | 31.8% | 22 |
| 2026-03 | Risk | 31.8% | 22 |
| 2026-04 | Risk | 37.5% | 24 |
| 2026-05 | Risk | 36.0% | 25 |
| 2026-08 | Risk | 38.5% | 26 |
| 2026-09 | Risk | 40.7% | 27 |
| 2024-08 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2024-09 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2024-10 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2024-11 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2024-12 | Correct and above | 80.0% | 10 |
| 2025-01 | Correct and above | 84.6% | 13 |
| 2025-02 | Correct and above | 85.7% | 14 |
| 2025-03 | Correct and above | 80.0% | 15 |
| 2025-04 | Correct and above | 84.2% | 19 |
| 2025-05 | Correct and above | 82.6% | 23 |
| 2025-08 | Correct and above | 83.3% | 24 |
| 2025-09 | Correct and above | 84.6% | 26 |
| 2025-10 | Correct and above | 82.8% | 29 |
| 2025-11 | Correct and above | 84.4% | 32 |
| 2025-12 | Correct and above | 86.5% | 37 |
| 2026-01 | Correct and above | 80.5% | 41 |
| 2026-02 | Correct and above | 81.8% | 44 |
| 2026-03 | Correct and above | 78.3% | 46 |
| 2026-04 | Correct and above | 78.7% | 47 |
| 2026-05 | Correct and above | 76.5% | 51 |
| 2026-08 | Correct and above | 76.9% | 52 |
| 2026-09 | Correct and above | 77.4% | 53 |
| 2024-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2024-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2024-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2024-11 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2024-12 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2025-01 | Stable and above | 90.0% | 10 |
| 2025-02 | Stable and above | 90.9% | 11 |
| 2025-03 | Stable and above | 83.3% | 12 |
| 2025-04 | Stable and above | 85.7% | 14 |
| 2025-05 | Stable and above | 83.3% | 18 |
| 2025-08 | Stable and above | 84.2% | 19 |
| 2025-09 | Stable and above | 85.7% | 21 |
| 2025-10 | Stable and above | 86.4% | 22 |
| 2025-11 | Stable and above | 88.0% | 25 |
| 2025-12 | Stable and above | 90.0% | 30 |
| 2026-01 | Stable and above | 82.4% | 34 |
| 2026-02 | Stable and above | 83.8% | 37 |
| 2026-03 | Stable and above | 81.6% | 38 |
| 2026-04 | Stable and above | 82.1% | 39 |
| 2026-05 | Stable and above | 81.0% | 42 |
| 2026-08 | Stable and above | 81.4% | 43 |
| 2026-09 | Stable and above | 81.8% | 44 |
| 2024-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2024-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2024-12 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-01 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-02 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-03 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2025-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2025-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2025-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2025-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2025-12 | Ultra stable | 92.3% | 13 |
| 2026-01 | Ultra stable | 80.0% | 15 |
| 2026-02 | Ultra stable | 80.0% | 15 |
| 2026-03 | Ultra stable | 75.0% | 16 |
| 2026-04 | Ultra stable | 76.5% | 17 |
| 2026-05 | Ultra stable | 76.5% | 17 |
| 2026-08 | Ultra stable | 76.5% | 17 |
| 2026-09 | Ultra stable | 76.5% | 17 |
4. Predictive profile for Manchester City
ContextObserved measureReading
Home performance2.33 pts/matchHigher observed return
Away performance1.70 pts/matchLower observed return
5. Statistical markers for Manchester City
Team values from Foresportia sources, without a reconstructed league average.
History: 80 verified matches
6. Market signals for Manchester City
MarketAverage probabilityReliabilityVolumeReading
Double chance X279.6%90.9%11Success above the average probability
Double chance 1X81.6%75.0%12Robust signal
Double chance 1276.1%75.0%20Major, well-documented signal
Home draw no bet79.1%72.7%11Robust signal
Home win65.4%77.8%9Promising signal, limited sample
7. Model dynamics & analysis
Foresportia Elo trendTracks the team’s relative level as matches are played.
Manchester City
Average model confidenceShows how the model’s average certainty changes across matches.
Manchester City
xG differential trendCompares expected goals created and conceded to track the balance of chances.
PositiveNegative
Model calibrationCompares published probabilities with the rates actually observed.
Observed ratePerfect
League-position trendTracks the team’s league position throughout the season.
Manchester City
Goals scored / concededCompares goals scored and conceded using a five-match rolling average.
Goals scored / match (5)Goals conceded / match (5)
Points per matchTracks points earned per match using a five-match rolling average.
Manchester City
8. Foresportia analysis
For Foresportia, Manchester City mainly combines stronger recent control and a more reliable defensive base. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
Manchester City is going through a strong control sequence, with 2.40 points per match over the last five matches and an average xG delta of 1.30.
The next confirmed match is FC Liverpool vs Manchester City on . Probabilities will appear when an enriched prediction is available.
AI verdictHigh predictive reliability
Stable and above: 81.8% success across 44 verified 1X2 predictions.
Verify the complete history →Continue exploring
Upcoming matches, competition, other teams and verifiable history.
9. Manchester City FAQ
What is the next match for Manchester City on Foresportia?
This page shows Manchester City's confirmed next match. The enriched prediction and its probabilities are not available yet.
How should you read Manchester City's ranking and Elo?
This page includes dedicated charts for Manchester City's ranking and Elo trends, with season separators to make the evolution easier to read.
What does the strongest picks block mean for Manchester City?
It highlights the markets that performed best in the available history for Manchester City, together with sample size, hit rate and average probability.
Manchester City: AI analysis, predictions and Foresportia signals
For Foresportia, Manchester City mainly combines stronger recent control and a more reliable defensive base. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
Manchester City is going through a strong control sequence, with 2.40 points per match over the last five matches and an average xG delta of 1.30.
The next confirmed match is FC Liverpool vs Manchester City on . Probabilities will appear when an enriched prediction is available.