Foresportia Elo
1378Championship rank : 24th
Burnley FC
Foresportia analyses Burnley FC using its match data and proprietary models: Elo level, recent form, probabilities, observed reliability and verifiable market signals.
1X2 entropy
1.39Lower = easier to readPoints volatility
0.49Standard deviation over 5 matchesRecent form
0.60Points per match over 5 matchesModel confidence
67.9%Average over 10 predictionsCurrent analysis: Burnley FC
Burnley FC have taken 1 point from two matches in Championship. The team have scored 2 goals and conceded 4. It is still too early to judge their form, attack or defense from so few matches.
Championship · 2026-2027 · 2 matches analyzed
View analyzed match details
| Date | Goals scored | Goals conceded | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 1 |
1. How Foresportia evaluates Burnley FC
Summary of indicators actually available in Foresportia data.
2. Next match
FC WatfordElo : Not available
Burnley FCElo : Not available
3. Prediction reliability for Burnley FC
Data updated on 28 September 2026
Reliability trendCumulative monthly history
84.2%| Cumulative monthly history | Profile | Reliability | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2024-09 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2024-10 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2024-11 | Risk | 45.5% | 11 |
| 2024-12 | Risk | 50.0% | 16 |
| 2025-01 | Risk | 42.1% | 19 |
| 2025-02 | Risk | 45.5% | 22 |
| 2025-03 | Risk | 48.0% | 25 |
| 2025-04 | Risk | 53.3% | 30 |
| 2025-05 | Risk | 53.3% | 30 |
| 2025-08 | Risk | 53.1% | 32 |
| 2025-09 | Risk | 51.5% | 33 |
| 2025-10 | Risk | 51.4% | 35 |
| 2025-11 | Risk | 52.8% | 36 |
| 2025-12 | Risk | 50.0% | 38 |
| 2026-01 | Risk | 50.0% | 38 |
| 2026-02 | Risk | 51.2% | 41 |
| 2026-03 | Risk | 51.2% | 43 |
| 2026-04 | Risk | 53.3% | 45 |
| 2026-05 | Risk | 51.1% | 47 |
| 2026-09 | Risk | 51.0% | 49 |
| 2024-08 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2024-09 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2024-10 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2024-11 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2024-12 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2025-01 | Correct and above | 60.0% | 10 |
| 2025-02 | Correct and above | 58.3% | 12 |
| 2025-03 | Correct and above | 64.3% | 14 |
| 2025-04 | Correct and above | 66.7% | 15 |
| 2025-05 | Correct and above | 68.8% | 16 |
| 2025-08 | Correct and above | 70.6% | 17 |
| 2025-09 | Correct and above | 73.7% | 19 |
| 2025-10 | Correct and above | 75.0% | 20 |
| 2025-11 | Correct and above | 78.3% | 23 |
| 2025-12 | Correct and above | 81.5% | 27 |
| 2026-01 | Correct and above | 74.2% | 31 |
| 2026-02 | Correct and above | 72.7% | 33 |
| 2026-03 | Correct and above | 73.5% | 34 |
| 2026-04 | Correct and above | 74.3% | 35 |
| 2026-05 | Correct and above | 75.7% | 37 |
| 2026-09 | Correct and above | 75.7% | 37 |
| 2024-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-11 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-12 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-01 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-02 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-03 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-04 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2025-05 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2025-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2025-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2025-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2025-11 | Stable and above | 100.0% | 11 |
| 2025-12 | Stable and above | 100.0% | 14 |
| 2026-01 | Stable and above | 87.5% | 16 |
| 2026-02 | Stable and above | 82.4% | 17 |
| 2026-03 | Stable and above | 82.4% | 17 |
| 2026-04 | Stable and above | 83.3% | 18 |
| 2026-05 | Stable and above | 84.2% | 19 |
| 2026-09 | Stable and above | 84.2% | 19 |
| 2024-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-12 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-01 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-02 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-03 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2025-12 | Ultra stable | 100.0% | 10 |
| 2026-01 | Ultra stable | 90.9% | 11 |
| 2026-02 | Ultra stable | 90.9% | 11 |
| 2026-03 | Ultra stable | 90.9% | 11 |
| 2026-04 | Ultra stable | 91.7% | 12 |
| 2026-05 | Ultra stable | 92.3% | 13 |
| 2026-09 | Ultra stable | 92.3% | 13 |
4. Predictive profile for Burnley FC
ContextObserved measureReading
Home performance1.51 pts/matchHigher observed return
Away performance1.35 pts/matchLower observed return
5. Statistical markers for Burnley FC
Team values from Foresportia sources, without a reconstructed league average.
History: 86 verified matches
6. Market signals for Burnley FC
MarketAverage probabilityReliabilityVolumeReading
Double chance 1X73.6%83.3%18Major, well-documented signal
Both teams to score53.2%84.6%13Success above the average probability
Double chance X268.6%75.0%16Major, well-documented signal
Double chance 1273.0%65.2%23Confirmed signal
Home win59.4%71.4%7Promising signal, limited sample
7. Model dynamics & analysis
Foresportia Elo trendTracks the team’s relative level as matches are played.
Burnley FC
Average model confidenceShows how the model’s average certainty changes across matches.
Burnley FC
xG differential trendCompares expected goals created and conceded to track the balance of chances.
PositiveNegative
Model calibrationCompares published probabilities with the rates actually observed.
Observed ratePerfect
League-position trendTracks the team’s league position throughout the season.
Burnley FC
Goals scored / concededCompares goals scored and conceded using a five-match rolling average.
Goals scored / match (5)Goals conceded / match (5)
Points per matchTracks points earned per match using a five-match rolling average.
Burnley FC
8. Foresportia analysis
For Foresportia, Burnley FC still requires a more cautious read tied to recent form and match context. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
Burnley FC still needs to be read through recent form, Elo and its advanced production indicators.
The next confirmed match is FC Watford vs Burnley FC on . Probabilities will appear when an enriched prediction is available.
AI verdictHigh predictive reliability
Stable and above: 84.2% success across 19 verified 1X2 predictions.
Verify the complete history →Continue exploring
Upcoming matches, competition, other teams and verifiable history.
9. Burnley FC FAQ
What is the next match for Burnley FC on Foresportia?
This page shows Burnley FC's confirmed next match. The enriched prediction and its probabilities are not available yet.
How should you read Burnley FC's ranking and Elo?
This page includes dedicated charts for Burnley FC's ranking and Elo trends, with season separators to make the evolution easier to read.
What does the strongest picks block mean for Burnley FC?
It highlights the markets that performed best in the available history for Burnley FC, together with sample size, hit rate and average probability.
Burnley FC: AI analysis, predictions and Foresportia signals
For Foresportia, Burnley FC still requires a more cautious read tied to recent form and match context. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
Burnley FC still needs to be read through recent form, Elo and its advanced production indicators.
The next confirmed match is FC Watford vs Burnley FC on . Probabilities will appear when an enriched prediction is available.