Foresportia Elo
1495Premier League rank : 20th
AFC Sunderland
Foresportia analyses AFC Sunderland using its match data and proprietary models: Elo level, recent form, probabilities, observed reliability and verifiable market signals.
1X2 entropy
1.52Lower = easier to readPoints volatility
1.17Standard deviation over 5 matchesRecent form
0.80Points per match over 5 matchesModel confidence
48.7%Average over 10 predictionsCurrent analysis: AFC Sunderland
AFC Sunderland are going through a difficult run, taking 4 points from the last five recorded matches in Premier League. The team have scored few goals: 2 goals, against 7 conceded. More matches this season are needed to confirm this trend.
Premier League · 2026-2027 · 9 matches analyzed
View analyzed match details
| Date | Goals scored | Goals conceded | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 1 | 3 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 3 |
1. How Foresportia evaluates AFC Sunderland
Summary of indicators actually available in Foresportia data.
2. Next match
Aston VillaElo : 1563
AFC SunderlandElo : 1470
1X2 probabilities (Foresportia model)
Aston Villa 48%Draw 30%AFC Sunderland 22%
3. Prediction reliability for AFC Sunderland
Data updated on 14 November 2026
Reliability trendCumulative monthly history
Insufficient sample| Cumulative monthly history | Profile | Reliability | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2024-09 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2024-10 | Risk | 50.0% | 12 |
| 2024-11 | Risk | 47.1% | 17 |
| 2024-12 | Risk | 43.5% | 23 |
| 2025-01 | Risk | 42.9% | 28 |
| 2025-02 | Risk | 50.0% | 34 |
| 2025-03 | Risk | 50.0% | 38 |
| 2025-04 | Risk | 50.0% | 44 |
| 2025-05 | Risk | 51.1% | 45 |
| 2025-08 | Risk | 50.0% | 46 |
| 2025-09 | Risk | 51.0% | 49 |
| 2025-10 | Risk | 51.9% | 52 |
| 2025-11 | Risk | 51.9% | 54 |
| 2025-12 | Risk | 50.9% | 55 |
| 2026-01 | Risk | 51.7% | 58 |
| 2026-02 | Risk | 49.2% | 61 |
| 2026-03 | Risk | 46.9% | 64 |
| 2026-04 | Risk | 47.8% | 67 |
| 2026-05 | Risk | 45.1% | 71 |
| 2026-08 | Risk | 45.8% | 72 |
| 2026-09 | Risk | 45.9% | 74 |
| 2026-10 | Risk | 47.4% | 78 |
| 2026-11 | Risk | 46.8% | 79 |
| 2024-08 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-09 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-10 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-11 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-12 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-01 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-02 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-03 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-04 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-05 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-08 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-09 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-10 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-11 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2025-12 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2026-01 | Correct and above | 54.5% | 11 |
| 2026-02 | Correct and above | 61.5% | 13 |
| 2026-03 | Correct and above | 61.5% | 13 |
| 2026-04 | Correct and above | 61.5% | 13 |
| 2026-05 | Correct and above | 61.5% | 13 |
| 2026-08 | Correct and above | 61.5% | 13 |
| 2026-09 | Correct and above | 64.3% | 14 |
| 2026-10 | Correct and above | 64.3% | 14 |
| 2026-11 | Correct and above | 64.3% | 14 |
| 2024-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-11 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-12 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-01 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-02 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-03 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-04 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-05 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-11 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-12 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2026-01 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2026-02 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2026-03 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2026-04 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2026-05 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2026-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2026-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2026-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2026-11 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2024-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-12 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-01 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-02 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-03 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-12 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2026-01 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2026-02 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2026-03 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2026-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2026-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2026-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2026-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2026-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2026-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
4. Predictive profile for AFC Sunderland
ContextObserved measureReading
Home performance1.77 pts/matchHigher observed return
Away performance1.20 pts/matchLower observed return
5. Statistical markers for AFC Sunderland
Team values from Foresportia sources, without a reconstructed league average.
History: 93 verified matches
6. Market signals for AFC Sunderland
MarketAverage probabilityReliabilityVolumeReading
Double chance 1270.0%80.0%25Major, well-documented signal
Double chance 1X68.5%66.7%24Confirmed signal
Double chance X266.5%61.9%21Recurring signal
Home win59.4%75.0%4Promising signal, limited sample
7. Model dynamics & analysis
Foresportia Elo trendTracks the team’s relative level as matches are played.
AFC Sunderland
Average model confidenceShows how the model’s average certainty changes across matches.
AFC Sunderland
xG differential trendCompares expected goals created and conceded to track the balance of chances.
PositiveNegative
Model calibrationCompares published probabilities with the rates actually observed.
Observed ratePerfect
League-position trendTracks the team’s league position throughout the season.
AFC Sunderland
Goals scored / concededCompares goals scored and conceded using a five-match rolling average.
Goals scored / match (5)Goals conceded / match (5)
Points per matchTracks points earned per match using a five-match rolling average.
AFC Sunderland
8. Foresportia analysis
For Foresportia, AFC Sunderland mainly draws value from its home edge. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
AFC Sunderland still needs to be read through recent form, Elo and its advanced production indicators.
The next detected match is Aston Villa vs AFC Sunderland on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Home win” around 48%.
AI verdictModerate predictive reliability
Correct and above: 64.3% success across 14 verified 1X2 predictions.
Verify the complete history →Continue exploring
Upcoming matches, competition, other teams and verifiable history.
9. AFC Sunderland FAQ
What is the next match for AFC Sunderland on Foresportia?
This page shows AFC Sunderland's confirmed next match with the enriched prediction probabilities that are currently available.
How should you read AFC Sunderland's ranking and Elo?
This page includes dedicated charts for AFC Sunderland's ranking and Elo trends, with season separators to make the evolution easier to read.
What does the strongest picks block mean for AFC Sunderland?
It highlights the markets that performed best in the available history for AFC Sunderland, together with sample size, hit rate and average probability.
AFC Sunderland: AI analysis, predictions and Foresportia signals
For Foresportia, AFC Sunderland mainly draws value from its home edge. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
AFC Sunderland still needs to be read through recent form, Elo and its advanced production indicators.
The next detected match is Aston Villa vs AFC Sunderland on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Home win” around 48%.