Logo Liverpool

Liverpool

LFC

EnglandPremier League2026-2027

Foresportia analyses Liverpool using its match data and proprietary models: Elo level, recent form, probabilities, observed reliability and verifiable market signals.

Foresportia Elo
1631Premier League rank : 6th
1X2 entropy
1.49Lower = easier to read
Points volatility
1.47Standard deviation over 5 matches
Recent form
1.80Points per match over 5 matches
Model confidence
55.5%Average over 10 predictions

Current analysis: Liverpool

Liverpool have taken 9 points from a possible 15 across the last five recorded matches in Premier League. The team have scored 7 goals and conceded 6. More matches this season are needed to confirm this trend.

Premier League · 2026-2027 · 9 matches analyzed

View analyzed match details
Matches analyzed (up to 5)
DateGoals scoredGoals concededPoints
030
213
203
010
313

1. How Foresportia evaluates Liverpool

Summary of indicators actually available in Foresportia data.

1631Foresportia EloPremier League rank : 6th
1.491X2 entropyLower = easier to read
1.47Points volatilityStandard deviation over 5 matches
1.80Recent formpoints / match
55.5%Model confidenceAverage over 10 predictions

2. Next match

Premier League

FC LiverpoolElo : 1616
VS
Manchester UnitedElo : 1541
1X2 probabilities (Foresportia model)
52%27%21%
FC Liverpool 52%Draw 27%Manchester United 21%
Main signalHome win · 52%
Model confidence56.9%
StabilityRisk
View match details →

3. Prediction reliability for Liverpool

Data updated on 13 November 2026

Reliability trendCumulative monthly history
74.2%
Cumulative monthly historyProfileReliabilityVolume
2024-08RiskInsufficient sample1
2024-09RiskInsufficient sample2
2024-10RiskInsufficient sample5
2024-11RiskInsufficient sample5
2024-12RiskInsufficient sample8
2025-01RiskInsufficient sample9
2025-02Risk46.2%13
2025-03Risk46.2%13
2025-04Risk42.9%14
2025-05Risk35.3%17
2025-08Risk33.3%18
2025-09Risk31.6%19
2025-10Risk28.6%21
2025-11Risk28.6%21
2025-12Risk28.6%21
2026-01Risk25.0%24
2026-02Risk25.9%27
2026-03Risk24.1%29
2026-04Risk26.7%30
2026-05Risk24.2%33
2026-08Risk23.5%34
2026-09Risk25.7%35
2026-10Risk31.6%38
2026-11Risk33.3%39
2024-08Correct and aboveInsufficient sample1
2024-09Correct and aboveInsufficient sample4
2024-10Correct and aboveInsufficient sample4
2024-11Correct and aboveInsufficient sample7
2024-12Correct and above90.0%10
2025-01Correct and above84.6%13
2025-02Correct and above86.7%15
2025-03Correct and above87.5%16
2025-04Correct and above90.0%20
2025-05Correct and above85.7%21
2025-08Correct and above87.0%23
2025-09Correct and above88.0%25
2025-10Correct and above84.6%26
2025-11Correct and above83.3%30
2025-12Correct and above80.0%35
2026-01Correct and above75.7%37
2026-02Correct and above76.3%38
2026-03Correct and above74.4%39
2026-04Correct and above75.6%41
2026-05Correct and above73.8%42
2026-08Correct and above72.1%43
2026-09Correct and above70.5%44
2026-10Correct and above70.5%44
2026-11Correct and above71.1%45
2024-08Stable and aboveInsufficient sample1
2024-09Stable and aboveInsufficient sample4
2024-10Stable and aboveInsufficient sample4
2024-11Stable and aboveInsufficient sample5
2024-12Stable and aboveInsufficient sample7
2025-01Stable and aboveInsufficient sample8
2025-02Stable and above90.0%10
2025-03Stable and above90.9%11
2025-04Stable and above93.3%15
2025-05Stable and above87.5%16
2025-08Stable and above88.2%17
2025-09Stable and above89.5%19
2025-10Stable and above89.5%19
2025-11Stable and above87.0%23
2025-12Stable and above80.8%26
2026-01Stable and above75.0%28
2026-02Stable and above75.9%29
2026-03Stable and above73.3%30
2026-04Stable and above74.2%31
2026-05Stable and above74.2%31
2026-08Stable and above74.2%31
2026-09Stable and above74.2%31
2026-10Stable and above74.2%31
2026-11Stable and above74.2%31
2024-08Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2024-09Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2024-10Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2024-11Ultra stableInsufficient sample2
2024-12Ultra stableInsufficient sample4
2025-01Ultra stableInsufficient sample4
2025-02Ultra stableInsufficient sample5
2025-03Ultra stableInsufficient sample6
2025-04Ultra stableInsufficient sample7
2025-05Ultra stableInsufficient sample7
2025-08Ultra stableInsufficient sample7
2025-09Ultra stableInsufficient sample8
2025-10Ultra stableInsufficient sample8
2025-11Ultra stable100.0%11
2025-12Ultra stable92.3%13
2026-01Ultra stable85.7%14
2026-02Ultra stable85.7%14
2026-03Ultra stable85.7%14
2026-04Ultra stable85.7%14
2026-05Ultra stable85.7%14
2026-08Ultra stable85.7%14
2026-09Ultra stable85.7%14
2026-10Ultra stable85.7%14
2026-11Ultra stable85.7%14

4. Predictive profile for Liverpool

ContextObserved measureReading
Home performance2.00 pts/matchHigher observed return
Away performance1.71 pts/matchLower observed return

5. Statistical markers for Liverpool

Team values from Foresportia sources, without a reconstructed league average.

Expected goals created at home1.27
Expected goals conceded at home0.76
Expected goals created away1.49
Expected goals conceded away0.86
Goals scored / match (5)1.40
Goals conceded / match (5)1.20

History: 84 verified matches

6. Market signals for Liverpool

MarketAverage probabilityReliabilityVolumeReading
Double chance 1274.1%76.0%25Major, well-documented signal
Double chance X273.2%68.8%16Confirmed signal
Double chance 1X70.6%68.4%19Confirmed signal
Away draw no bet67.1%61.5%13Recurring signal
Both teams to score56.3%61.1%18Recurring signal

7. Model dynamics & analysis

Foresportia Elo trendTracks the team’s relative level as matches are played.
Liverpool
Average model confidenceShows how the model’s average certainty changes across matches.
Liverpool
xG differential trendCompares expected goals created and conceded to track the balance of chances.
PositiveNegative
Model calibrationCompares published probabilities with the rates actually observed.
Observed ratePerfect

8. Foresportia analysis

For Foresportia, Liverpool still requires a more cautious read tied to recent form and match context. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.

Liverpool still needs to be read through recent form, Elo and its advanced production indicators.

The next detected match is FC Liverpool vs Manchester United on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Home win” around 52%.

AI verdictStrong predictive reliability

Stable and above: 74.2% success across 31 verified 1X2 predictions.

Verify the complete history →

Continue exploring

Upcoming matches, competition, other teams and verifiable history.

View upcoming matchesBrowse upcoming fixtures and AI analysis.→Explore Premier LeagueLeague calendar, standings and predictions.→Explore teamsBrowse analysis and profiles for other clubs.→Verify our performanceReview Foresportia’s verifiable prediction history.→

9. Liverpool FAQ

What is the next match for Liverpool on Foresportia?

This page shows Liverpool's confirmed next match with the enriched prediction probabilities that are currently available.

How should you read Liverpool's ranking and Elo?

This page includes dedicated charts for Liverpool's ranking and Elo trends, with season separators to make the evolution easier to read.

What does the strongest picks block mean for Liverpool?

It highlights the markets that performed best in the available history for Liverpool, together with sample size, hit rate and average probability.

Liverpool: AI analysis, predictions and Foresportia signals

For Foresportia, Liverpool still requires a more cautious read tied to recent form and match context. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.

Liverpool still needs to be read through recent form, Elo and its advanced production indicators.

The next detected match is FC Liverpool vs Manchester United on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Home win” around 52%.