Foresportia Elo
1618Premier League rank : 6th
Liverpool
LFC
Foresportia analyses Liverpool using its match data and proprietary models: Elo level, recent form, probabilities, observed reliability and verifiable market signals.
1X2 entropy
1.46Lower = easier to readPoints volatility
0.80Standard deviation over 5 matchesRecent form
1.40Points per match over 5 matchesModel confidence
68.3%Average over 10 predictionsCurrent analysis: Liverpool
Liverpool have taken 6 points from four matches in Premier League. The team have scored 5 goals and conceded 4. It is still too early to judge their form, attack or defense from so few matches.
Premier League · 2026-2027 · 4 matches analyzed
View analyzed match details
| Date | Goals scored | Goals conceded | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | 1 | |
| 2 | 2 | 1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 3 |
1. How Foresportia evaluates Liverpool
Summary of indicators actually available in Foresportia data.
2. Next match
FC LiverpoolElo : Not available
Manchester CityElo : Not available
3. Prediction reliability for Liverpool
Data updated on 22 September 2026
Reliability trendCumulative monthly history
74.2%| Cumulative monthly history | Profile | Reliability | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-09 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2024-10 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2024-11 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2024-12 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2025-01 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2025-02 | Risk | 46.2% | 13 |
| 2025-03 | Risk | 46.2% | 13 |
| 2025-04 | Risk | 42.9% | 14 |
| 2025-05 | Risk | 35.3% | 17 |
| 2025-08 | Risk | 33.3% | 18 |
| 2025-09 | Risk | 31.6% | 19 |
| 2025-10 | Risk | 28.6% | 21 |
| 2025-11 | Risk | 28.6% | 21 |
| 2025-12 | Risk | 28.6% | 21 |
| 2026-01 | Risk | 25.0% | 24 |
| 2026-02 | Risk | 25.9% | 27 |
| 2026-03 | Risk | 24.1% | 29 |
| 2026-04 | Risk | 26.7% | 30 |
| 2026-05 | Risk | 24.2% | 33 |
| 2026-08 | Risk | 23.5% | 34 |
| 2026-09 | Risk | 25.7% | 35 |
| 2024-08 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-09 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2024-10 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2024-11 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2024-12 | Correct and above | 90.0% | 10 |
| 2025-01 | Correct and above | 84.6% | 13 |
| 2025-02 | Correct and above | 86.7% | 15 |
| 2025-03 | Correct and above | 87.5% | 16 |
| 2025-04 | Correct and above | 90.0% | 20 |
| 2025-05 | Correct and above | 85.7% | 21 |
| 2025-08 | Correct and above | 87.0% | 23 |
| 2025-09 | Correct and above | 88.0% | 25 |
| 2025-10 | Correct and above | 84.6% | 26 |
| 2025-11 | Correct and above | 83.3% | 30 |
| 2025-12 | Correct and above | 80.0% | 35 |
| 2026-01 | Correct and above | 75.7% | 37 |
| 2026-02 | Correct and above | 76.3% | 38 |
| 2026-03 | Correct and above | 74.4% | 39 |
| 2026-04 | Correct and above | 75.6% | 41 |
| 2026-05 | Correct and above | 73.8% | 42 |
| 2026-08 | Correct and above | 72.1% | 43 |
| 2026-09 | Correct and above | 70.5% | 44 |
| 2024-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2024-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2024-11 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2024-12 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2025-01 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2025-02 | Stable and above | 90.0% | 10 |
| 2025-03 | Stable and above | 90.9% | 11 |
| 2025-04 | Stable and above | 93.3% | 15 |
| 2025-05 | Stable and above | 87.5% | 16 |
| 2025-08 | Stable and above | 88.2% | 17 |
| 2025-09 | Stable and above | 89.5% | 19 |
| 2025-10 | Stable and above | 89.5% | 19 |
| 2025-11 | Stable and above | 87.0% | 23 |
| 2025-12 | Stable and above | 80.8% | 26 |
| 2026-01 | Stable and above | 75.0% | 28 |
| 2026-02 | Stable and above | 75.9% | 29 |
| 2026-03 | Stable and above | 73.3% | 30 |
| 2026-04 | Stable and above | 74.2% | 31 |
| 2026-05 | Stable and above | 74.2% | 31 |
| 2026-08 | Stable and above | 74.2% | 31 |
| 2026-09 | Stable and above | 74.2% | 31 |
| 2024-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2024-12 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-01 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-02 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2025-03 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2025-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2025-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2025-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2025-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2025-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2025-11 | Ultra stable | 100.0% | 11 |
| 2025-12 | Ultra stable | 92.3% | 13 |
| 2026-01 | Ultra stable | 85.7% | 14 |
| 2026-02 | Ultra stable | 85.7% | 14 |
| 2026-03 | Ultra stable | 85.7% | 14 |
| 2026-04 | Ultra stable | 85.7% | 14 |
| 2026-05 | Ultra stable | 85.7% | 14 |
| 2026-08 | Ultra stable | 85.7% | 14 |
| 2026-09 | Ultra stable | 85.7% | 14 |
4. Predictive profile for Liverpool
ContextObserved measureReading
Home performance2.08 pts/matchHigher observed return
Away performance1.65 pts/matchLower observed return
5. Statistical markers for Liverpool
Team values from Foresportia sources, without a reconstructed league average.
History: 79 verified matches
6. Market signals for Liverpool
MarketAverage probabilityReliabilityVolumeReading
Double chance 1X72.9%80.0%15Major, well-documented signal
Double chance 1274.6%70.0%20Robust signal
Both teams to score55.9%69.2%13Success above the average probability
Double chance X275.1%63.6%11Success below the average probability
Away win56.9%60.0%5Promising signal, limited sample
7. Model dynamics & analysis
Foresportia Elo trendTracks the team’s relative level as matches are played.
Liverpool
Average model confidenceShows how the model’s average certainty changes across matches.
Liverpool
xG differential trendCompares expected goals created and conceded to track the balance of chances.
PositiveNegative
Model calibrationCompares published probabilities with the rates actually observed.
Observed ratePerfect
League-position trendTracks the team’s league position throughout the season.
Liverpool
Goals scored / concededCompares goals scored and conceded using a five-match rolling average.
Goals scored / match (5)Goals conceded / match (5)
Points per matchTracks points earned per match using a five-match rolling average.
Liverpool
8. Foresportia analysis
For Foresportia, Liverpool still requires a more cautious read tied to recent form and match context. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
Liverpool still needs to be read through recent form, Elo and its advanced production indicators.
The next confirmed match is FC Liverpool vs Manchester City on . Probabilities will appear when an enriched prediction is available.
AI verdictStrong predictive reliability
Stable and above: 74.2% success across 31 verified 1X2 predictions.
Verify the complete history →Continue exploring
Upcoming matches, competition, other teams and verifiable history.
9. Liverpool FAQ
What is the next match for Liverpool on Foresportia?
This page shows Liverpool's confirmed next match. The enriched prediction and its probabilities are not available yet.
How should you read Liverpool's ranking and Elo?
This page includes dedicated charts for Liverpool's ranking and Elo trends, with season separators to make the evolution easier to read.
What does the strongest picks block mean for Liverpool?
It highlights the markets that performed best in the available history for Liverpool, together with sample size, hit rate and average probability.
Liverpool: AI analysis, predictions and Foresportia signals
For Foresportia, Liverpool still requires a more cautious read tied to recent form and match context. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
Liverpool still needs to be read through recent form, Elo and its advanced production indicators.
The next confirmed match is FC Liverpool vs Manchester City on . Probabilities will appear when an enriched prediction is available.