Liga Portugal · AI predictions

Liga Portugal predictions

Explore the next Liga Portugal predictions: 1X2 probabilities, double chance, BTTS, Over/Under, likely score and verified reliability.

Data updated:

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Match calendar

Choose a day to view its fixtures, results and available predictions.

August 2026

Fixture onlyPrediction availableResult available
MTWTFSS
12
3456
111213
171819202122
242526272829
31

Calendar updated

Show the full match list
  1. GD Estoril Praia – FC Famalicão (Prediction available)
  2. Vitória Guimarães SC – FC Arouca (Prediction available)
  3. CF Estrela Amadora – Sporting CP (Prediction available)
  4. FC Porto – FC Alverca (Prediction available)
  5. Gil Vicente FC – Rio Ave FC (Prediction available)
  6. Moreirense FC – SC Braga (Prediction available)
  7. CD Santa Clara – CD Nacional (Prediction available)
  8. Sporting CP – Vitória Guimarães SC (Prediction available)
  9. FC Alverca – CF Estrela Amadora (Fixture only)
  10. Rio Ave FC – FC Porto (Fixture only)
  11. CD Nacional – GD Estoril Praia (Fixture only)
  12. FC Arouca – Moreirense FC (Fixture only)
  13. SC Braga – Gil Vicente FC (Fixture only)
  14. Casa Pia AC – SL Benfica (Fixture only)
  15. GD Estoril Praia – Rio Ave FC (Fixture only)
  16. CF Estrela Amadora – SC Braga (Fixture only)
  17. FC Porto – FC Arouca (Fixture only)
  18. Gil Vicente FC – Casa Pia AC (Fixture only)
  19. Moreirense FC – SL Benfica (Fixture only)
  20. CD Santa Clara – FC Famalicão (Fixture only)
  21. Sporting CP – FC Alverca (Fixture only)
  22. Vitória Guimarães SC – CD Nacional (Fixture only)
  23. FC Alverca – CD Santa Clara (Fixture only)
  24. SL Benfica – GD Estoril Praia (Fixture only)
  25. SC Braga – Vitória Guimarães SC (Fixture only)
  26. Casa Pia AC – Moreirense FC (Fixture only)
  27. FC Famalicão – Gil Vicente FC (Fixture only)
  28. CD Nacional – CF Estrela Amadora (Fixture only)
  29. Rio Ave FC – Sporting CP (Fixture only)

Upcoming Liga Portugal matches analysed

Upcoming fixtures with date, AI reading, quick insights and direct access to the full analysis.

7 August 2026
GD Estoril Praia FC Famalicão
AI prediction FC Famalicão win Risk Prob. 36%
View analysis
Quick insights
1X2 probabilities
1GD Estoril Praia33%
XDraw31%
2FC Famalicão36%
Key markets
Double Chance12 · 69%
DNBFC Famalicão · 52%
Likely score1-1
BTTS55%
Over 2.549%
Under 2.551%
8 August 2026
Vitória Guimarães SC FC Arouca
AI prediction Vitória Guimarães SC win Risk Prob. 44%
View analysis
Quick insights
1X2 probabilities
1Vitória Guimarães SC44%
XDraw30%
2FC Arouca26%
Key markets
Double Chance1X · 74%
DNBVitória Guimarães SC · 63%
Likely score1-1
BTTS54%
Over 2.549%
Under 2.551%
8 August 2026
CF Estrela Amadora Sporting CP
AI prediction Sporting CP win Very stable Prob. 76%
View analysis
Quick insights
1X2 probabilities
1CF Estrela Amadora7%
XDraw17%
2Sporting CP76%
Key markets
Double ChanceX2 · 93%
DNBSporting CP · 91%
Likely score1-2
BTTS50%
Over 2.562%
Under 2.538%
9 August 2026
FC Porto FC Alverca
AI prediction FC Porto win Stable Prob. 69%
View analysis
Quick insights
1X2 probabilities
1FC Porto69%
XDraw22%
2FC Alverca9%
Key markets
Double Chance1X · 91%
DNBFC Porto · 89%
Likely score1-0
BTTS45%
Over 2.551%
Under 2.549%
88.9%Observed reliabilityVery stable badge · 63 matches · 2025/26
87%Double chanceUltra high performance mode · 92 matches
302Matches verifiedpredictions checked

Figures are recomputed from public history. Match-by-match detail remains verifiable on past results.

Latest verified results

Predictions are archived before kick-off, then checked against the real score.

16 May 2026
Sporting CP3 – 0Gil Vicente FC
AI predictionSporting CP win · 74%✓ Correct
16 May 2026
SC Braga2 – 2CF Estrela Amadora
AI predictionSC Braga win · 68%✗ Missed
16 May 2026
FC Porto1 – 0CD Santa Clara
AI predictionFC Porto win · 66%✓ Correct
11 May 2026
Rio Ave FC1 – 4Sporting CP
AI predictionSporting CP win · 73%✓ Correct
10 May 2026
Avs Futebol3 – 1FC Porto
AI predictionFC Porto win · 80%✗ Missed

Reliability, badge by badge

Each prediction is archived before kick-off, then checked against the final score. Unplayed matches are excluded from these rates.

ProfileAccuracyVolumeScope
Very stable 88.9% 56 predictions landed out of 63 matches Very stable badge
Stable and better 85.9% 73 predictions landed out of 85 matches Stable and Very stable badges
Correct and better 78.9% 101 predictions landed out of 128 matches Correct, Stable and Very stable badges

The breakdown of every profile, including matches rated at risk, stays fully transparent on past results.

Beyond 1X2: BTTS, Over/Under and correct score

The model also covers Liga Portugal goal markets. For each market, this page keeps the best available mode among Performance, High performance and Ultra high performance over the 2025/26 season, with a minimum volume guard.

Double chance87%Ultra high performance mode · 92 matches

Cover two outcomes out of three (1X, X2 or 12): the model's safest call.

Over / Under 2.562.7%Performance mode · 59 matches

More or fewer than 2.5 goals: the model decides from its goal simulations.

BTTS77.8%High performance mode · 9 matches

Both teams to score: an estimated probability for every fixture.

Correct score52.6%final score in the top 5 · 302 matches

The 5 most likely scores are simulated; the top one lands 14.9% of the time.

Reading a Liga Portugal prediction in 3 steps
  1. The badge first From Very stable to Correct, the badge sums up the model's confidence. Its real win rate per profile is shown above: that's the main cue.
  2. Then the probability A 55% favourite still loses almost one match in two. Probabilities quantify uncertainty, they don't remove it.
  3. The right market last Tight match? Double chance or BTTS are often more relevant than a plain 1X2. The likely score shows the dominant scenario.

The full methodology (Elo, goal simulations, calibration, context) is explained on the AI football prediction page.

Go further

FAQ – Liga Portugal AI predictions

Where can I find today's reliable, free Liga Portugal predictions?

This page gathers the AI Liga Portugal predictions from Foresportia: 1X2 probabilities, likely score, goal markets (BTTS, Over/Under) and a stability badge for every match, no sign-up. The full history is verifiable on the past results page.

How good is a “Very stable” prediction in Liga Portugal?

The stability badge rates each prediction on how clear the favourite is and how clean the context (stakes, rotation, derby). The more stable the badge, the more often the prediction lands. Over the 2025/26 season, Very stable predictions reached 88.9% accuracy across 63 matches.

Are there BTTS and Over/Under predictions for Liga Portugal too?

Yes. For every match the model estimates the probability that both teams score (BTTS) and that the game goes over or under 2.5 goals, on top of 1X2 and double chance. Over the 2025/26 season, the model's Over/Under 2.5 side in Performance mode landed 62.7% of the time and its favourite double chance in Ultra high performance mode landed 87% of the time.

How is the most likely correct score computed?

The model simulates each team's goal distribution (calibrated Poisson/lambda) and derives the five most likely scores of the match. Over the 2025/26 season, the final score was in that top 5 for 52.6% of Liga Portugal matches.

What do the 1X2 probabilities mean?

For each match three probabilities are estimated: home win (1), draw (X) and away win (2). They sum to 100%. A 60% probability means that, over many similar matches, the outcome would occur about 6 times out of 10.

Can an AI predict a Liga Portugal match with certainty?

No. Football is a low-scoring sport where randomness is structural. A serious AI quantifies that uncertainty instead of hiding it: that's the whole point of probabilities and the stability badge.

Liga Portugal AI predictions: probabilities, goal markets and verifiable reliability

For every Liga Portugal match Foresportia publishes a free AI prediction: 1X2 probabilities, double chance, BTTS, Over/Under 2.5, most likely correct score and a stability badge. Each prediction is archived then checked against the real score, so you can freely verify the model's reliability, season after season, with no sign-up.