Liga Portugal

Liga Portugal predictions

AI predictions, fixtures and verified results

Explore AI-generated 1X2 probabilities, the complete Liga Portugal calendar and historical performance by stability level.

Explore fixtures

Match calendar

Choose a day to view its fixtures, results and available predictions.

October 2026

Fixture onlyPrediction availableResult available
MTWTFSS
1234
5678
131415161718
19202122
272829

Choose a day to view its fixtures, results and available predictions.

Calendar updated

Foresportia transparency

1X2 performance by stability level

Stability badges apply only to 1X2 predictions.

Data updated on

View the Liga Portugal calendar

Verifiable history

Success-rate trend — Stable and above

86.7%165 verified matches
Monthly 1X2 prediction success-rate trendMonthly lines can be filtered by stability level. Values and sample sizes are also available in the accessible table.
Monthly 1X2 performance data
PeriodProfileRateVolume
August 2024Correct and above90.9%11
September 2024Correct and above95.5%22
October 2024Correct and above96.3%27
November 2024Correct and above93.9%33
December 2024Correct and above84.6%52
January 2025Correct and above82.8%58
February 2025Correct and above80%70
March 2025Correct and above82.7%81
April 2025Correct and above82.6%92
May 2025Correct and above82%100
August 2025Correct and above83.5%115
September 2025Correct and above82%128
October 2025Correct and above82.7%133
November 2025Correct and above83%147
December 2025Correct and above83.8%160
January 2026Correct and above84.4%173
February 2026Correct and above84.3%191
March 2026Correct and above83.5%200
April 2026Correct and above82.3%215
May 2026Correct and above80.3%228
August 2026Correct and above80.5%236
September 2026Correct and above80.3%244
August 2024Stable and aboveInsufficient sample9
September 2024Stable and above100%19
October 2024Stable and above100%22
November 2024Stable and above96.2%26
December 2024Stable and above89.7%39
January 2025Stable and above86.4%44
February 2025Stable and above86.3%51
March 2025Stable and above87.7%57
April 2025Stable and above87.5%64
May 2025Stable and above88.2%68
August 2025Stable and above88.6%79
September 2025Stable and above88.2%85
October 2025Stable and above88.8%89
November 2025Stable and above88.7%97
December 2025Stable and above89.8%108
January 2026Stable and above89.7%116
February 2026Stable and above89.8%128
March 2026Stable and above90.2%132
April 2026Stable and above88.3%145
May 2026Stable and above86.9%153
August 2026Stable and above86.8%159
September 2026Stable and above86.7%165
August 2024Ultra stableInsufficient sample7
September 2024Ultra stable100%14
October 2024Ultra stable100%17
November 2024Ultra stable94.7%19
December 2024Ultra stable88.9%27
January 2025Ultra stable87.1%31
February 2025Ultra stable88.6%35
March 2025Ultra stable90%40
April 2025Ultra stable90.9%44
May 2025Ultra stable91.1%45
August 2025Ultra stable92.6%54
September 2025Ultra stable91.4%58
October 2025Ultra stable91.8%61
November 2025Ultra stable91%67
December 2025Ultra stable92.1%76
January 2026Ultra stable91.6%83
February 2026Ultra stable92.4%92
March 2026Ultra stable92.6%95
April 2026Ultra stable90.4%104
May 2026Ultra stable89.8%108
August 2026Ultra stable89.3%112
September 2026Ultra stable88.9%117

These success rates concern match predictions, not title forecasts.

Liga Portugal · 2026/27

Who will win the Liga Portugal?

FC Porto is the favourite in our simulations, with a 54.1 % chance of winning the title.

Title favourites
Full title probability ranking
#TeamTitle chance
1FC Porto54.1 %
2SL Benfica24.1 %
3Sporting CP21.5 %
4SC Braga0.3 %
5Académico Viseu FC< 0.1 %
6CD Nacional0.0 %
7CD Santa Clara0.0 %
8CF Estrela Amadora0.0 %
9CS Marítimo0.0 %
10Casa Pia AC0.0 %
11FC Alverca0.0 %
12FC Arouca0.0 %
13FC Famalicão0.0 %
14GD Estoril Praia0.0 %
15Gil Vicente FC0.0 %
16Moreirense FC0.0 %
17Rio Ave FC0.0 %
18Vitória SC0.0 %

0% means no titles in the simulations, not necessarily mathematical elimination.

Updated on · 20,000 simulations

How are these forecasts calculated?

Source: Foresportia · prediction engine · Model domestic_production_title_v2. A probability does not guarantee an outcome.

Completed results are kept. The Foresportia engine simulates remaining games using current team strengths and applies this league’s sporting tiebreak criteria. Rare unresolved ties are shared between the tied teams; disciplinary criteria and additional deciding matches are not simulated. Unrecorded sanctions are not anticipated.

Understand the competition

All about Liga Portugal predictions

Today's Liga Portugal predictionsBrowse dates with available AI probabilities.View today's predictions →Liga Portugal calendar 2026/27Browse 44 listed matches, times and results.View the full calendar →How do our predictions work?Read about the methodology and 1X2 stability levels.Learn more →Results and success ratesCheck the 635 verified Liga Portugal matches in the current season sample.View results →Explore all football predictionsBrowse analyses across the other competitions we cover.Explore predictions →

Liga Portugal predictions: AI probabilities and 1X2 reading

Foresportia publishes 1X2 probabilities for Liga Portugal. They quantify home win, draw and away win outcomes; they never claim certainty. Every attested match link in the calendar opens its dedicated analysis page.

Liga Portugal reliability and stability badges

The three displayed scopes are explicit: Correct and above, Stable and above, and Ultra stable only. Rates always appear with their verified sample size. These badges apply only to 1X2, not automatically to BTTS, totals, double chance or DNB.

Liga Portugal calendar and upcoming fixtures

The server-rendered calendar currently contains 44 listed matches. Each active date distinguishes fixture-only information, an available prediction or a verified result.

Liga Portugal standings and team pages

The table reconstructed from Foresportia results currently contains 15 teams and is rendered next to the calendar. Team names link only to team pages attested by the Foresportia registry.

BTTS, Over/Under, double chance, DNB and likely score

Additional markets may be available on match pages. They complement the 1X2 view but use their own definitions and are never assigned a 1X2 stability badge implicitly.

Archived results for verifiability

The lifetime performance block is computed from 635 settled matches in the league history, with monthly cumulative snapshots. Predictions are compared with real scores and remain accessible from the verified-results page.

FAQ – Liga Portugal AI predictions

Where can I find today's reliable, free Liga Portugal predictions?

This page gathers the AI Liga Portugal predictions from Foresportia: 1X2 probabilities, likely score, goal markets (BTTS, Over/Under) and a stability badge for every match, no sign-up. The full history is verifiable on the past results page.

How good is an “Ultra stable” prediction in Liga Portugal?

The stability badge rates each prediction on how clear the favourite is and how clean the context (stakes, rotation, derby). The more stable the badge, the more often the prediction lands. The Ultra stable sample is still too small in this league to publish a robust rate; Foresportia prioritises profiles with enough verified matches.

Are there BTTS and Over/Under predictions for Liga Portugal too?

Yes. For every match the model estimates the probability that both teams score (BTTS) and that the game goes over or under 2.5 goals, on top of 1X2 and double chance. Over the 2026/27 season, the model's Over/Under 2.5 side in Ultra high performance mode landed 75% of the time and its favourite double chance in Ultra high performance mode landed 94.4% of the time.

How is the most likely correct score computed?

The model simulates each team's goal distribution (calibrated Poisson/lambda) and derives the five most likely scores of the match. Over the 2026/27 season, the final score was in that top 5 for 45.7% of Liga Portugal matches.

What do the 1X2 probabilities mean?

For each match three probabilities are estimated: home win (1), draw (X) and away win (2). They sum to 100%. A 60% probability means that, over many similar matches, the outcome would occur about 6 times out of 10.

Can an AI predict a Liga Portugal match with certainty?

No. Football is a low-scoring sport where randomness is structural. A serious AI quantifies that uncertainty instead of hiding it: that's the whole point of probabilities and the stability badge.

Who is most likely to win Liga Portugal?

According to the Foresportia simulations for 2026/27, FC Porto is the current favourite. The leading contenders are: FC Porto (54.1 %), SL Benfica (24.1 %), Sporting CP (21.5 %), SC Braga (0.3 %), Académico Viseu FC (< 0.1 %). Updated on 23/09/2026. These probabilities do not guarantee the final outcome.