Foresportia Elo
1486Liga Portugal rank : 10th
CF Estrela Amadora
Foresportia analyses CF Estrela Amadora using its match data and proprietary models: Elo level, recent form, probabilities, observed reliability and verifiable market signals.
1X2 entropy
1.45Lower = easier to readPoints volatility
1.10Standard deviation over 5 matchesRecent form
1.00Points per match over 5 matchesModel confidence
55.1%Average over 10 predictionsCurrent analysis: CF Estrela Amadora
The defense of CF Estrela Amadora needs attention: 9 goals conceded across the last five recorded matches in Liga Portugal. The team have scored 7 goals over these matches. The team have taken 5 points from a possible 15 over these matches. More matches this season are needed to confirm this trend.
Liga Portugal · 2026-2027 · 8 matches analyzed
View analyzed match details
| Date | Goals scored | Goals conceded | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | 1 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| 3 | 3 | 1 | |
| 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 0 |
1. How Foresportia evaluates CF Estrela Amadora
Summary of indicators actually available in Foresportia data.
2. Next match
CF Estrela AmadoraElo : 1477
Casa Pia ACElo : 1432
1X2 probabilities (Foresportia model)
CF Estrela Amadora 41%Draw 31%Casa Pia AC 28%
3. Prediction reliability for CF Estrela Amadora
Data updated on 20 October 2026
Reliability trendCumulative monthly history
81.8%| Cumulative monthly history | Profile | Reliability | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2024-09 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2024-10 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2024-11 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2024-12 | Risk | 36.4% | 11 |
| 2025-01 | Risk | 38.5% | 13 |
| 2025-02 | Risk | 33.3% | 15 |
| 2025-03 | Risk | 33.3% | 18 |
| 2025-04 | Risk | 42.9% | 21 |
| 2025-05 | Risk | 45.8% | 24 |
| 2025-08 | Risk | 48.1% | 27 |
| 2025-09 | Risk | 50.0% | 30 |
| 2025-10 | Risk | 50.0% | 32 |
| 2025-11 | Risk | 50.0% | 34 |
| 2025-12 | Risk | 47.2% | 36 |
| 2026-01 | Risk | 46.2% | 39 |
| 2026-02 | Risk | 46.5% | 43 |
| 2026-03 | Risk | 45.7% | 46 |
| 2026-04 | Risk | 45.8% | 48 |
| 2026-05 | Risk | 46.0% | 50 |
| 2026-08 | Risk | 44.2% | 52 |
| 2026-09 | Risk | 42.9% | 56 |
| 2026-10 | Risk | 43.9% | 57 |
| 2024-08 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-09 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-10 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-11 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2024-12 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-01 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-02 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2025-03 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2025-04 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2025-05 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2025-08 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2025-09 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2025-10 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2025-11 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2025-12 | Correct and above | 90.9% | 11 |
| 2026-01 | Correct and above | 91.7% | 12 |
| 2026-02 | Correct and above | 91.7% | 12 |
| 2026-03 | Correct and above | 91.7% | 12 |
| 2026-04 | Correct and above | 92.9% | 14 |
| 2026-05 | Correct and above | 86.7% | 15 |
| 2026-08 | Correct and above | 81.2% | 16 |
| 2026-09 | Correct and above | 81.2% | 16 |
| 2026-10 | Correct and above | 81.2% | 16 |
| 2024-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-11 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2024-12 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-01 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-02 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-03 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-04 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-05 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-11 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2025-12 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2026-01 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2026-02 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2026-03 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2026-04 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2026-05 | Stable and above | 90.0% | 10 |
| 2026-08 | Stable and above | 81.8% | 11 |
| 2026-09 | Stable and above | 81.8% | 11 |
| 2026-10 | Stable and above | 81.8% | 11 |
| 2024-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-12 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-01 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-02 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-03 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-12 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2026-01 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2026-02 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2026-03 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2026-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2026-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2026-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2026-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2026-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 7 |
4. Predictive profile for CF Estrela Amadora
ContextObserved measureReading
Home performance1.11 pts/matchHigher observed return
Away performance0.64 pts/matchLower observed return
5. Statistical markers for CF Estrela Amadora
Team values from Foresportia sources, without a reconstructed league average.
History: 73 verified matches
6. Market signals for CF Estrela Amadora
MarketAverage probabilityReliabilityVolumeReading
Double chance 1X67.6%84.2%19Major, well-documented signal
Double chance 1272.6%60.9%23Success below the average probability
Both teams to score53.7%61.5%13Recurring signal
Double chance X268.2%59.1%22Success below the average probability
Over 2.558.3%62.5%8Promising signal, limited sample
7. Model dynamics & analysis
Foresportia Elo trendTracks the team’s relative level as matches are played.
CF Estrela Amadora
Average model confidenceShows how the model’s average certainty changes across matches.
CF Estrela Amadora
xG differential trendCompares expected goals created and conceded to track the balance of chances.
PositiveNegative
Model calibrationCompares published probabilities with the rates actually observed.
Observed ratePerfect
League-position trendTracks the team’s league position throughout the season.
CF Estrela Amadora
Goals scored / concededCompares goals scored and conceded using a five-match rolling average.
Goals scored / match (5)Goals conceded / match (5)
Points per matchTracks points earned per match using a five-match rolling average.
CF Estrela Amadora
8. Foresportia analysis
For Foresportia, CF Estrela Amadora mainly draws value from its home edge. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
CF Estrela Amadora still needs to be read through recent form, Elo and its advanced production indicators.
The next detected match is CF Estrela Amadora vs Casa Pia AC on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Home win” around 41%.
AI verdictHigh predictive reliability
Stable and above: 81.8% success across 11 verified 1X2 predictions.
Verify the complete history →Continue exploring
Upcoming matches, competition, other teams and verifiable history.
9. CF Estrela Amadora FAQ
What is the next match for CF Estrela Amadora on Foresportia?
This page shows CF Estrela Amadora's confirmed next match with the enriched prediction probabilities that are currently available.
How should you read CF Estrela Amadora's ranking and Elo?
This page includes dedicated charts for CF Estrela Amadora's ranking and Elo trends, with season separators to make the evolution easier to read.
What does the strongest picks block mean for CF Estrela Amadora?
It highlights the markets that performed best in the available history for CF Estrela Amadora, together with sample size, hit rate and average probability.
CF Estrela Amadora: AI analysis, predictions and Foresportia signals
For Foresportia, CF Estrela Amadora mainly draws value from its home edge. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
CF Estrela Amadora still needs to be read through recent form, Elo and its advanced production indicators.
The next detected match is CF Estrela Amadora vs Casa Pia AC on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Home win” around 41%.