Foresportia Elo
1443Liga Portugal rank : 17th
Casa Pia AC
Foresportia analyses Casa Pia AC using its match data and proprietary models: Elo level, recent form, probabilities, observed reliability and verifiable market signals.
1X2 entropy
1.46Lower = easier to readPoints volatility
1.20Standard deviation over 5 matchesRecent form
0.60Points per match over 5 matchesModel confidence
57.8%Average over 10 predictionsCurrent analysis: Casa Pia AC
Casa Pia AC are going through a difficult run, taking 3 points from the last five recorded matches in Liga Portugal. The team are struggling to score and their defense needs attention: 3 goals scored and 9 conceded. More matches this season are needed to confirm this trend.
Liga Portugal · 2026-2027 · 6 matches analyzed
View analyzed match details
| Date | Goals scored | Goals conceded | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| 1 | 4 | 0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 0 |
1. How Foresportia evaluates Casa Pia AC
Summary of indicators actually available in Foresportia data.
2. Next match
CF Estrela AmadoraElo : 1477
Casa Pia ACElo : 1432
1X2 probabilities (Foresportia model)
CF Estrela Amadora 41%Draw 31%Casa Pia AC 28%
3. Prediction reliability for Casa Pia AC
Data updated on 20 October 2026
Reliability trendCumulative monthly history
80.0%| Cumulative monthly history | Profile | Reliability | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2024-09 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2024-10 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2024-11 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2024-12 | Risk | 46.2% | 13 |
| 2025-01 | Risk | 40.0% | 15 |
| 2025-02 | Risk | 36.8% | 19 |
| 2025-03 | Risk | 40.9% | 22 |
| 2025-04 | Risk | 40.0% | 25 |
| 2025-05 | Risk | 40.7% | 27 |
| 2025-08 | Risk | 42.9% | 28 |
| 2025-09 | Risk | 45.2% | 31 |
| 2025-10 | Risk | 43.8% | 32 |
| 2025-11 | Risk | 45.5% | 33 |
| 2025-12 | Risk | 45.9% | 37 |
| 2026-01 | Risk | 46.2% | 39 |
| 2026-02 | Risk | 43.9% | 41 |
| 2026-03 | Risk | 40.9% | 44 |
| 2026-04 | Risk | 43.8% | 48 |
| 2026-05 | Risk | 41.2% | 51 |
| 2026-08 | Risk | 43.4% | 53 |
| 2026-09 | Risk | 42.6% | 54 |
| 2026-10 | Risk | 43.6% | 55 |
| 2024-08 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-09 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-10 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2024-11 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2024-12 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-01 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-02 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-03 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-04 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2025-05 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2025-08 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2025-09 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2025-10 | Correct and above | 90.0% | 10 |
| 2025-11 | Correct and above | 83.3% | 12 |
| 2025-12 | Correct and above | 83.3% | 12 |
| 2026-01 | Correct and above | 84.6% | 13 |
| 2026-02 | Correct and above | 80.0% | 15 |
| 2026-03 | Correct and above | 80.0% | 15 |
| 2026-04 | Correct and above | 75.0% | 16 |
| 2026-05 | Correct and above | 70.6% | 17 |
| 2026-08 | Correct and above | 72.2% | 18 |
| 2026-09 | Correct and above | 73.7% | 19 |
| 2026-10 | Correct and above | 73.7% | 19 |
| 2024-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2024-11 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2024-12 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-01 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-02 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-03 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-04 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-05 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2025-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2025-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2025-11 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2025-12 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2026-01 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2026-02 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2026-03 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2026-04 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2026-05 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2026-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2026-09 | Stable and above | 80.0% | 10 |
| 2026-10 | Stable and above | 80.0% | 10 |
| 2024-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-12 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-01 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-02 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-03 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2025-12 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2026-01 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2026-02 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2026-03 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2026-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2026-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2026-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2026-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2026-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 8 |
4. Predictive profile for Casa Pia AC
ContextObserved measureReading
Home performance1.13 pts/matchHigher observed return
Away performance0.92 pts/matchLower observed return
5. Statistical markers for Casa Pia AC
Team values from Foresportia sources, without a reconstructed league average.
History: 74 verified matches
6. Market signals for Casa Pia AC
MarketAverage probabilityReliabilityVolumeReading
Double chance 1X70.2%75.0%20Major, well-documented signal
Under 2.557.6%71.4%21Success above the average probability
Double chance 1271.1%68.0%25Confirmed signal
Double chance X268.5%63.6%22Recurring signal
Away win65.9%60.0%5Promising signal, limited sample
7. Model dynamics & analysis
Foresportia Elo trendTracks the team’s relative level as matches are played.
Casa Pia AC
Average model confidenceShows how the model’s average certainty changes across matches.
Casa Pia AC
xG differential trendCompares expected goals created and conceded to track the balance of chances.
PositiveNegative
Model calibrationCompares published probabilities with the rates actually observed.
Observed ratePerfect
League-position trendTracks the team’s league position throughout the season.
Casa Pia AC
Goals scored / concededCompares goals scored and conceded using a five-match rolling average.
Goals scored / match (5)Goals conceded / match (5)
Points per matchTracks points earned per match using a five-match rolling average.
Casa Pia AC
8. Foresportia analysis
For Foresportia, Casa Pia AC still requires a more cautious read tied to recent form and match context. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
Casa Pia AC still needs to be read through recent form, Elo and its advanced production indicators.
The next detected match is CF Estrela Amadora vs Casa Pia AC on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Home win” around 41%.
AI verdictHigh predictive reliability
Stable and above: 80.0% success across 10 verified 1X2 predictions.
Verify the complete history →Continue exploring
Upcoming matches, competition, other teams and verifiable history.
9. Casa Pia AC FAQ
What is the next match for Casa Pia AC on Foresportia?
This page shows Casa Pia AC's confirmed next match with the enriched prediction probabilities that are currently available.
How should you read Casa Pia AC's ranking and Elo?
This page includes dedicated charts for Casa Pia AC's ranking and Elo trends, with season separators to make the evolution easier to read.
What does the strongest picks block mean for Casa Pia AC?
It highlights the markets that performed best in the available history for Casa Pia AC, together with sample size, hit rate and average probability.
Casa Pia AC: AI analysis, predictions and Foresportia signals
For Foresportia, Casa Pia AC still requires a more cautious read tied to recent form and match context. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
Casa Pia AC still needs to be read through recent form, Elo and its advanced production indicators.
The next detected match is CF Estrela Amadora vs Casa Pia AC on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Home win” around 41%.