Foresportia Elo
1451Liga Portugal rank : 14th
Rio Ave FC
Foresportia analyses Rio Ave FC using its match data and proprietary models: Elo level, recent form, probabilities, observed reliability and verifiable market signals.
1X2 entropy
1.44Lower = easier to readPoints volatility
1.17Standard deviation over 5 matchesRecent form
0.80Points per match over 5 matchesModel confidence
55.6%Average over 10 predictionsCurrent analysis: Rio Ave FC
Rio Ave FC are going through a difficult run, taking 4 points from the last five recorded matches in Liga Portugal. Their defense needs attention: 14 goals conceded against 6 scored. More matches this season are needed to confirm this trend.
Liga Portugal · 2026-2027 · 8 matches analyzed
View analyzed match details
| Date | Goals scored | Goals conceded | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4 | 0 | |
| 0 | 4 | 0 | |
| 3 | 3 | 1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| 3 | 2 | 3 |
1. How Foresportia evaluates Rio Ave FC
Summary of indicators actually available in Foresportia data.
2. Next match
Rio Ave FCElo : 1462
FC FamalicãoElo : 1567
1X2 probabilities (Foresportia model)
Rio Ave FC 23%Draw 29%FC Famalicão 48%
3. Prediction reliability for Rio Ave FC
Data updated on 21 October 2026
Reliability trendCumulative monthly history
100.0%| Cumulative monthly history | Profile | Reliability | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-09 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2024-10 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2024-11 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2024-12 | Risk | 66.7% | 12 |
| 2025-01 | Risk | 64.3% | 14 |
| 2025-02 | Risk | 58.8% | 17 |
| 2025-03 | Risk | 60.0% | 20 |
| 2025-04 | Risk | 56.5% | 23 |
| 2025-05 | Risk | 53.8% | 26 |
| 2025-08 | Risk | 51.7% | 29 |
| 2025-09 | Risk | 50.0% | 30 |
| 2025-10 | Risk | 50.0% | 32 |
| 2025-11 | Risk | 48.6% | 35 |
| 2025-12 | Risk | 50.0% | 38 |
| 2026-01 | Risk | 52.5% | 40 |
| 2026-02 | Risk | 53.7% | 41 |
| 2026-03 | Risk | 51.1% | 45 |
| 2026-04 | Risk | 50.0% | 48 |
| 2026-05 | Risk | 48.0% | 50 |
| 2026-08 | Risk | 48.1% | 52 |
| 2026-09 | Risk | 49.1% | 55 |
| 2026-10 | Risk | 50.0% | 56 |
| 2024-08 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2024-09 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2024-10 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2024-11 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2024-12 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-01 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2025-02 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2025-03 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2025-04 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2025-05 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2025-08 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2025-09 | Correct and above | 80.0% | 10 |
| 2025-10 | Correct and above | 80.0% | 10 |
| 2025-11 | Correct and above | 80.0% | 10 |
| 2025-12 | Correct and above | 81.8% | 11 |
| 2026-01 | Correct and above | 83.3% | 12 |
| 2026-02 | Correct and above | 85.7% | 14 |
| 2026-03 | Correct and above | 85.7% | 14 |
| 2026-04 | Correct and above | 80.0% | 15 |
| 2026-05 | Correct and above | 81.2% | 16 |
| 2026-08 | Correct and above | 83.3% | 18 |
| 2026-09 | Correct and above | 83.3% | 18 |
| 2026-10 | Correct and above | 83.3% | 18 |
| 2024-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2024-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2024-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2024-11 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2024-12 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-01 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2025-02 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2025-03 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2025-04 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2025-05 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2025-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2025-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2025-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2025-11 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2025-12 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2026-01 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2026-02 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2026-03 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2026-04 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2026-05 | Stable and above | 100.0% | 10 |
| 2026-08 | Stable and above | 100.0% | 11 |
| 2026-09 | Stable and above | 100.0% | 11 |
| 2026-10 | Stable and above | 100.0% | 11 |
| 2024-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2024-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2024-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2024-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2024-12 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-01 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-02 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-03 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2025-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2025-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2025-12 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2026-01 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2026-02 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2026-03 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2026-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2026-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2026-08 | Ultra stable | 100.0% | 10 |
| 2026-09 | Ultra stable | 100.0% | 10 |
| 2026-10 | Ultra stable | 100.0% | 10 |
4. Predictive profile for Rio Ave FC
ContextObserved measureReading
Home performance1.25 pts/matchHigher observed return
Away performance0.95 pts/matchLower observed return
5. Statistical markers for Rio Ave FC
Team values from Foresportia sources, without a reconstructed league average.
History: 74 verified matches
6. Market signals for Rio Ave FC
MarketAverage probabilityReliabilityVolumeReading
Double chance 1272.0%78.3%23Major, well-documented signal
Double chance X267.1%68.4%19Confirmed signal
Double chance 1X72.0%65.0%20Confirmed signal
Away draw no bet70.3%62.5%8Promising signal, limited sample
Over 2.555.3%60.0%5Promising signal, limited sample
7. Model dynamics & analysis
Foresportia Elo trendTracks the team’s relative level as matches are played.
Rio Ave FC
Average model confidenceShows how the model’s average certainty changes across matches.
Rio Ave FC
xG differential trendCompares expected goals created and conceded to track the balance of chances.
PositiveNegative
Model calibrationCompares published probabilities with the rates actually observed.
Observed ratePerfect
League-position trendTracks the team’s league position throughout the season.
Rio Ave FC
Goals scored / concededCompares goals scored and conceded using a five-match rolling average.
Goals scored / match (5)Goals conceded / match (5)
Points per matchTracks points earned per match using a five-match rolling average.
Rio Ave FC
8. Foresportia analysis
For Foresportia, Rio Ave FC still requires a more cautious read tied to recent form and match context. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
Rio Ave FC still needs to be read through recent form, Elo and its advanced production indicators.
The next detected match is Rio Ave FC vs FC Famalicão on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Away win” around 48%.
AI verdictHigh predictive reliability
Stable and above: 100.0% success across 11 verified 1X2 predictions.
Verify the complete history →Continue exploring
Upcoming matches, competition, other teams and verifiable history.
9. Rio Ave FC FAQ
What is the next match for Rio Ave FC on Foresportia?
This page shows Rio Ave FC's confirmed next match with the enriched prediction probabilities that are currently available.
How should you read Rio Ave FC's ranking and Elo?
This page includes dedicated charts for Rio Ave FC's ranking and Elo trends, with season separators to make the evolution easier to read.
What does the strongest picks block mean for Rio Ave FC?
It highlights the markets that performed best in the available history for Rio Ave FC, together with sample size, hit rate and average probability.
Rio Ave FC: AI analysis, predictions and Foresportia signals
For Foresportia, Rio Ave FC still requires a more cautious read tied to recent form and match context. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
Rio Ave FC still needs to be read through recent form, Elo and its advanced production indicators.
The next detected match is Rio Ave FC vs FC Famalicão on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Away win” around 48%.