Foresportia Elo
1464Liga Portugal rank : 17th
Rio Ave FC
Foresportia analyses Rio Ave FC using its match data and proprietary models: Elo level, recent form, probabilities, observed reliability and verifiable market signals.
1X2 entropy
1.46Lower = easier to readPoints volatility
0.49Standard deviation over 5 matchesRecent form
0.40Points per match over 5 matchesModel confidence
67.6%Average over 10 predictions1. How Foresportia evaluates Rio Ave FC
Summary of indicators actually available in Foresportia data.
2. Next match
GD Estoril PraiaElo : 1480
Rio Ave FCElo : 1453
1X2 probabilities (Foresportia model)
GD Estoril Praia 44%Draw 30%Rio Ave FC 26%
3. Prediction reliability for Rio Ave FC
Data updated on 21 August 2026
Reliability trendCumulative monthly history
100.0%| Cumulative monthly history | Profile | Reliability | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-09 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2024-10 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2024-11 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2024-12 | Risk | 66.7% | 12 |
| 2025-01 | Risk | 64.3% | 14 |
| 2025-02 | Risk | 58.8% | 17 |
| 2025-03 | Risk | 60.0% | 20 |
| 2025-04 | Risk | 56.5% | 23 |
| 2025-05 | Risk | 53.8% | 26 |
| 2025-08 | Risk | 51.7% | 29 |
| 2025-09 | Risk | 50.0% | 30 |
| 2025-10 | Risk | 50.0% | 32 |
| 2025-11 | Risk | 48.6% | 35 |
| 2025-12 | Risk | 50.0% | 38 |
| 2026-01 | Risk | 52.5% | 40 |
| 2026-02 | Risk | 53.7% | 41 |
| 2026-03 | Risk | 51.1% | 45 |
| 2026-04 | Risk | 50.0% | 48 |
| 2026-05 | Risk | 48.0% | 50 |
| 2026-08 | Risk | 49.0% | 51 |
| 2024-08 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2024-09 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2024-10 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2024-11 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2024-12 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-01 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2025-02 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2025-03 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2025-04 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2025-05 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2025-08 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2025-09 | Correct and above | 80.0% | 10 |
| 2025-10 | Correct and above | 80.0% | 10 |
| 2025-11 | Correct and above | 80.0% | 10 |
| 2025-12 | Correct and above | 81.8% | 11 |
| 2026-01 | Correct and above | 83.3% | 12 |
| 2026-02 | Correct and above | 85.7% | 14 |
| 2026-03 | Correct and above | 85.7% | 14 |
| 2026-04 | Correct and above | 80.0% | 15 |
| 2026-05 | Correct and above | 81.2% | 16 |
| 2026-08 | Correct and above | 82.4% | 17 |
| 2024-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2024-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2024-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2024-11 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2024-12 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-01 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2025-02 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2025-03 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2025-04 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2025-05 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2025-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2025-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2025-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2025-11 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2025-12 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2026-01 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2026-02 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2026-03 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2026-04 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2026-05 | Stable and above | 100.0% | 10 |
| 2026-08 | Stable and above | 100.0% | 10 |
| 2024-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2024-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2024-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2024-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2024-12 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-01 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-02 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-03 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2025-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2025-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2025-12 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2026-01 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2026-02 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2026-03 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2026-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2026-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2026-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 9 |
4. Predictive profile for Rio Ave FC
ContextObserved measureReading
Home performance1.24 pts/matchHigher observed return
Away performance0.94 pts/matchLower observed return
5. Statistical markers for Rio Ave FC
Team values from Foresportia sources, without a reconstructed league average.
History: 68 verified matches
6. Market signals for Rio Ave FC
MarketAverage probabilityReliabilityVolumeReading
Double chance X267.5%76.9%13Success above the average probability
Double chance 1272.4%76.5%17Major, well-documented signal
Double chance 1X72.6%60.0%15Success below the average probability
Away draw no bet69.3%66.7%6Promising signal, limited sample
Both teams to score51.8%57.1%7Promising signal, limited sample
7. Model dynamics & analysis
Foresportia Elo trendTracks the team’s relative level as matches are played.
Rio Ave FC
Average model confidenceShows how the model’s average certainty changes across matches.
Rio Ave FC
xG differential trendCompares expected goals created and conceded to track the balance of chances.
PositiveNegative
Model calibrationCompares published probabilities with the rates actually observed.
Observed ratePerfect
League-position trendTracks the team’s league position throughout the season.
Rio Ave FC
Goals scored / concededCompares goals scored and conceded using a five-match rolling average.
Goals scored / match (5)Goals conceded / match (5)
Points per matchTracks points earned per match using a five-match rolling average.
Rio Ave FC
8. Foresportia analysis
For Foresportia, Rio Ave FC still requires a more cautious read tied to recent form and match context. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
Rio Ave FC still needs to be read through recent form, Elo and its advanced production indicators.
The next detected match is GD Estoril Praia vs Rio Ave FC on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Home win” around 44%.
100/100
AI verdictHigh predictive reliability
Stable and above: 100.0% success across 10 verified 1X2 predictions.
Verify the complete history →Continue exploring
Upcoming matches, competition, other teams and verifiable history.
9. Rio Ave FC FAQ
What is the next match for Rio Ave FC on Foresportia?
This page shows Rio Ave FC's confirmed next match with the enriched prediction probabilities that are currently available.
How should you read Rio Ave FC's ranking and Elo?
This page includes dedicated charts for Rio Ave FC's ranking and Elo trends, with season separators to make the evolution easier to read.
What does the strongest picks block mean for Rio Ave FC?
It highlights the markets that performed best in the available history for Rio Ave FC, together with sample size, hit rate and average probability.
Rio Ave FC: AI analysis, predictions and Foresportia signals
For Foresportia, Rio Ave FC still requires a more cautious read tied to recent form and match context. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
Rio Ave FC still needs to be read through recent form, Elo and its advanced production indicators.
The next detected match is GD Estoril Praia vs Rio Ave FC on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Home win” around 44%.