Foresportia Elo
1736Liga Portugal rank : 5th
SL Benfica
Foresportia analyses SL Benfica using its match data and proprietary models: Elo level, recent form, probabilities, observed reliability and verifiable market signals.
1X2 entropy
1.22Lower = easier to readPoints volatility
0.98Standard deviation over 5 matchesRecent form
2.20Points per match over 5 matchesModel confidence
71.6%Average over 10 predictions1. How Foresportia evaluates SL Benfica
Summary of indicators actually available in Foresportia data.
2. Next match
SL BenficaElo : 1751
GD Estoril PraiaElo : 1452
1X2 probabilities (Foresportia model)
SL Benfica 73%Draw 18%GD Estoril Praia 9%
3. Prediction reliability for SL Benfica
Data updated on 26 August 2026
Reliability trendCumulative monthly history
87.2%| Cumulative monthly history | Profile | Reliability | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-09 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-10 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-11 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2024-12 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-01 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2025-02 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2025-03 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2025-04 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2025-05 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2025-08 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2025-09 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2025-10 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2025-11 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2025-12 | Risk | 18.2% | 11 |
| 2026-01 | Risk | 18.2% | 11 |
| 2026-02 | Risk | 18.2% | 11 |
| 2026-03 | Risk | 16.7% | 12 |
| 2026-04 | Risk | 15.4% | 13 |
| 2026-05 | Risk | 14.3% | 14 |
| 2026-08 | Risk | 14.3% | 14 |
| 2024-08 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2024-09 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2024-10 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2024-11 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2024-12 | Correct and above | 84.6% | 13 |
| 2025-01 | Correct and above | 85.7% | 14 |
| 2025-02 | Correct and above | 88.2% | 17 |
| 2025-03 | Correct and above | 90.0% | 20 |
| 2025-04 | Correct and above | 87.5% | 24 |
| 2025-05 | Correct and above | 88.0% | 25 |
| 2025-08 | Correct and above | 89.3% | 28 |
| 2025-09 | Correct and above | 84.4% | 32 |
| 2025-10 | Correct and above | 84.8% | 33 |
| 2025-11 | Correct and above | 83.3% | 36 |
| 2025-12 | Correct and above | 84.2% | 38 |
| 2026-01 | Correct and above | 85.4% | 41 |
| 2026-02 | Correct and above | 86.4% | 44 |
| 2026-03 | Correct and above | 87.2% | 47 |
| 2026-04 | Correct and above | 86.0% | 50 |
| 2026-05 | Correct and above | 84.6% | 52 |
| 2026-08 | Correct and above | 84.9% | 53 |
| 2024-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2024-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2024-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2024-11 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2024-12 | Stable and above | 91.7% | 12 |
| 2025-01 | Stable and above | 92.3% | 13 |
| 2025-02 | Stable and above | 93.3% | 15 |
| 2025-03 | Stable and above | 94.1% | 17 |
| 2025-04 | Stable and above | 90.0% | 20 |
| 2025-05 | Stable and above | 90.0% | 20 |
| 2025-08 | Stable and above | 90.9% | 22 |
| 2025-09 | Stable and above | 87.5% | 24 |
| 2025-10 | Stable and above | 88.0% | 25 |
| 2025-11 | Stable and above | 85.7% | 28 |
| 2025-12 | Stable and above | 86.7% | 30 |
| 2026-01 | Stable and above | 87.5% | 32 |
| 2026-02 | Stable and above | 88.6% | 35 |
| 2026-03 | Stable and above | 88.9% | 36 |
| 2026-04 | Stable and above | 87.2% | 39 |
| 2026-05 | Stable and above | 87.2% | 39 |
| 2026-08 | Stable and above | 87.2% | 39 |
| 2024-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2024-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2024-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2024-12 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2025-01 | Ultra stable | 90.0% | 10 |
| 2025-02 | Ultra stable | 91.7% | 12 |
| 2025-03 | Ultra stable | 92.9% | 14 |
| 2025-04 | Ultra stable | 93.8% | 16 |
| 2025-05 | Ultra stable | 93.8% | 16 |
| 2025-08 | Ultra stable | 94.4% | 18 |
| 2025-09 | Ultra stable | 89.5% | 19 |
| 2025-10 | Ultra stable | 90.0% | 20 |
| 2025-11 | Ultra stable | 87.0% | 23 |
| 2025-12 | Ultra stable | 87.5% | 24 |
| 2026-01 | Ultra stable | 88.5% | 26 |
| 2026-02 | Ultra stable | 89.7% | 29 |
| 2026-03 | Ultra stable | 90.0% | 30 |
| 2026-04 | Ultra stable | 87.9% | 33 |
| 2026-05 | Ultra stable | 87.9% | 33 |
| 2026-08 | Ultra stable | 87.9% | 33 |
4. Predictive profile for SL Benfica
ContextObserved measureReading
Home performance2.42 pts/matchComparable return
Away performance2.32 pts/matchComparable return
5. Statistical markers for SL Benfica
Team values from Foresportia sources, without a reconstructed league average.
History: 67 verified matches
6. Market signals for SL Benfica
MarketAverage probabilityReliabilityVolumeReading
Double chance X282.1%100.0%10Success above the average probability
Double chance 1X87.2%88.9%9Promising signal, limited sample
Over 2.557.6%77.8%9Promising signal, limited sample
Both teams to score53.8%85.7%7Promising signal, limited sample
Double chance 1278.7%64.7%17Success below the average probability
7. Model dynamics & analysis
Foresportia Elo trendTracks the team’s relative level as matches are played.
SL Benfica
Average model confidenceShows how the model’s average certainty changes across matches.
SL Benfica
xG differential trendCompares expected goals created and conceded to track the balance of chances.
PositiveNegative
Model calibrationCompares published probabilities with the rates actually observed.
Observed ratePerfect
League-position trendTracks the team’s league position throughout the season.
SL Benfica
Goals scored / concededCompares goals scored and conceded using a five-match rolling average.
Goals scored / match (5)Goals conceded / match (5)
Points per matchTracks points earned per match using a five-match rolling average.
SL Benfica
8. Foresportia analysis
For Foresportia, SL Benfica mainly combines stronger recent control and a more reliable defensive base. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
SL Benfica is going through a strong control sequence, with 2.20 points per match over the last five matches and an average xG delta of 1.00.
The next detected match is SL Benfica vs GD Estoril Praia on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Home win” around 73%.
87/100
AI verdictHigh predictive reliability
Stable and above: 87.2% success across 39 verified 1X2 predictions.
Verify the complete history →Continue exploring
Upcoming matches, competition, other teams and verifiable history.
9. SL Benfica FAQ
What is the next match for SL Benfica on Foresportia?
This page shows SL Benfica's confirmed next match with the enriched prediction probabilities that are currently available.
How should you read SL Benfica's ranking and Elo?
This page includes dedicated charts for SL Benfica's ranking and Elo trends, with season separators to make the evolution easier to read.
What does the strongest picks block mean for SL Benfica?
It highlights the markets that performed best in the available history for SL Benfica, together with sample size, hit rate and average probability.
SL Benfica: AI analysis, predictions and Foresportia signals
For Foresportia, SL Benfica mainly combines stronger recent control and a more reliable defensive base. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
SL Benfica is going through a strong control sequence, with 2.20 points per match over the last five matches and an average xG delta of 1.00.
The next detected match is SL Benfica vs GD Estoril Praia on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Home win” around 73%.