Logo SL Benfica

SL Benfica

PortugalLiga Portugal2026-2027

Foresportia analyses SL Benfica using its match data and proprietary models: Elo level, recent form, probabilities, observed reliability and verifiable market signals.

Foresportia Elo
1812Liga Portugal rank : 2nd
1X2 entropy
1.30Lower = easier to read
Points volatility
1.20Standard deviation over 5 matches
Recent form
2.40Points per match over 5 matches
Model confidence
68.5%Average over 10 predictions

Current analysis: SL Benfica

SL Benfica have taken 12 points from five matches in Liga Portugal. The team have scored 17 goals and conceded 5. It is still too early to judge their form, attack or defense from so few matches.

Liga Portugal · 2026-2027 · 5 matches analyzed

View analyzed match details
Matches analyzed (up to 5)
DateGoals scoredGoals concededPoints
703
213
403
313
130

1. How Foresportia evaluates SL Benfica

Summary of indicators actually available in Foresportia data.

1812Foresportia EloLiga Portugal rank : 2nd
1.301X2 entropyLower = easier to read
1.20Points volatilityStandard deviation over 5 matches
2.40Recent formpoints / match
68.5%Model confidenceAverage over 10 predictions

2. Next match

UEFA Europa League

Omonia NicosiaElo : Not available
VS
BenficaElo : Not available
Main signal—
Model confidenceNot available
StabilityRisk
View match details →

3. Prediction reliability for SL Benfica

Data updated on 20 October 2026

Reliability trendCumulative monthly history
88.1%
Cumulative monthly historyProfileReliabilityVolume
2024-08RiskInsufficient sample1
2024-09RiskInsufficient sample1
2024-10RiskInsufficient sample1
2024-11RiskInsufficient sample2
2024-12RiskInsufficient sample3
2025-01RiskInsufficient sample5
2025-02RiskInsufficient sample5
2025-03RiskInsufficient sample5
2025-04RiskInsufficient sample6
2025-05RiskInsufficient sample8
2025-08RiskInsufficient sample8
2025-09RiskInsufficient sample8
2025-10RiskInsufficient sample9
2025-11RiskInsufficient sample9
2025-12Risk18.2%11
2026-01Risk18.2%11
2026-02Risk18.2%11
2026-03Risk16.7%12
2026-04Risk15.4%13
2026-05Risk14.3%14
2026-08Risk14.3%14
2026-09Risk20.0%15
2024-08Correct and aboveInsufficient sample3
2024-09Correct and aboveInsufficient sample6
2024-10Correct and aboveInsufficient sample7
2024-11Correct and aboveInsufficient sample8
2024-12Correct and above84.6%13
2025-01Correct and above85.7%14
2025-02Correct and above88.2%17
2025-03Correct and above90.0%20
2025-04Correct and above87.5%24
2025-05Correct and above88.0%25
2025-08Correct and above89.3%28
2025-09Correct and above84.4%32
2025-10Correct and above84.8%33
2025-11Correct and above83.3%36
2025-12Correct and above84.2%38
2026-01Correct and above85.4%41
2026-02Correct and above86.4%44
2026-03Correct and above87.2%47
2026-04Correct and above86.0%50
2026-05Correct and above84.6%52
2026-08Correct and above85.2%54
2026-09Correct and above85.7%56
2024-08Stable and aboveInsufficient sample2
2024-09Stable and aboveInsufficient sample5
2024-10Stable and aboveInsufficient sample6
2024-11Stable and aboveInsufficient sample7
2024-12Stable and above91.7%12
2025-01Stable and above92.3%13
2025-02Stable and above93.3%15
2025-03Stable and above94.1%17
2025-04Stable and above90.0%20
2025-05Stable and above90.0%20
2025-08Stable and above90.9%22
2025-09Stable and above87.5%24
2025-10Stable and above88.0%25
2025-11Stable and above85.7%28
2025-12Stable and above86.7%30
2026-01Stable and above87.5%32
2026-02Stable and above88.6%35
2026-03Stable and above88.9%36
2026-04Stable and above87.2%39
2026-05Stable and above87.2%39
2026-08Stable and above87.5%40
2026-09Stable and above88.1%42
2024-08Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2024-09Ultra stableInsufficient sample3
2024-10Ultra stableInsufficient sample4
2024-11Ultra stableInsufficient sample5
2024-12Ultra stableInsufficient sample9
2025-01Ultra stable90.0%10
2025-02Ultra stable91.7%12
2025-03Ultra stable92.9%14
2025-04Ultra stable93.8%16
2025-05Ultra stable93.8%16
2025-08Ultra stable94.4%18
2025-09Ultra stable89.5%19
2025-10Ultra stable90.0%20
2025-11Ultra stable87.0%23
2025-12Ultra stable87.5%24
2026-01Ultra stable88.5%26
2026-02Ultra stable89.7%29
2026-03Ultra stable90.0%30
2026-04Ultra stable87.9%33
2026-05Ultra stable87.9%33
2026-08Ultra stable88.2%34
2026-09Ultra stable88.6%35

4. Predictive profile for SL Benfica

ContextObserved measureReading
Home performance2.46 pts/matchHigher observed return
Away performance2.28 pts/matchLower observed return

5. Statistical markers for SL Benfica

Team values from Foresportia sources, without a reconstructed league average.

Expected goals created at home1.83
Expected goals conceded at home0.66
Expected goals created away1.81
Expected goals conceded away0.57
Goals scored / match (5)3.40
Goals conceded / match (5)1.00

History: 71 verified matches

6. Market signals for SL Benfica

MarketAverage probabilityReliabilityVolumeReading
Double chance 1X86.3%92.3%13Robust signal
Double chance X282.0%92.3%13Success above the average probability
Home win71.7%80.0%10Success above the average probability
Over 2.558.5%78.6%14Success above the average probability
Double chance 1278.6%73.9%23Robust signal

7. Model dynamics & analysis

Foresportia Elo trendTracks the team’s relative level as matches are played.
SL Benfica
Average model confidenceShows how the model’s average certainty changes across matches.
SL Benfica
xG differential trendCompares expected goals created and conceded to track the balance of chances.
PositiveNegative
Model calibrationCompares published probabilities with the rates actually observed.
Observed ratePerfect

8. Foresportia analysis

For Foresportia, SL Benfica mainly combines stronger recent control and a more reliable defensive base. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.

SL Benfica is going through a strong control sequence, with 2.40 points per match over the last five matches and an average xG delta of 1.34.

The next confirmed match is Omonia Nicosia vs Benfica on . Probabilities will appear when an enriched prediction is available.

AI verdictHigh predictive reliability

Stable and above: 88.1% success across 42 verified 1X2 predictions.

Verify the complete history →

Continue exploring

Upcoming matches, competition, other teams and verifiable history.

9. SL Benfica FAQ

What is the next match for SL Benfica on Foresportia?

This page shows SL Benfica's confirmed next match. The enriched prediction and its probabilities are not available yet.

How should you read SL Benfica's ranking and Elo?

This page includes dedicated charts for SL Benfica's ranking and Elo trends, with season separators to make the evolution easier to read.

What does the strongest picks block mean for SL Benfica?

It highlights the markets that performed best in the available history for SL Benfica, together with sample size, hit rate and average probability.

SL Benfica: AI analysis, predictions and Foresportia signals

For Foresportia, SL Benfica mainly combines stronger recent control and a more reliable defensive base. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.

SL Benfica is going through a strong control sequence, with 2.40 points per match over the last five matches and an average xG delta of 1.34.

The next confirmed match is Omonia Nicosia vs Benfica on . Probabilities will appear when an enriched prediction is available.