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CD Nacional

PortugalLiga Portugal2026-2027

Foresportia analyses CD Nacional using its match data and proprietary models: Elo level, recent form, probabilities, observed reliability and verifiable market signals.

Foresportia Elo
1504Liga Portugal rank : 10th
1X2 entropy
1.49Lower = easier to read
Points volatility
1.36Standard deviation over 5 matches
Recent form
1.40Points per match over 5 matches
Model confidence
60.6%Average over 10 predictions

1. How Foresportia evaluates CD Nacional

Summary of indicators actually available in Foresportia data.

1504Foresportia EloLiga Portugal rank : 10th
1.491X2 entropyLower = easier to read
1.36Points volatilityStandard deviation over 5 matches
1.40Recent formpoints / match
60.6%Model confidenceAverage over 10 predictions

2. Next match

Liga Portugal

Sporting CPElo : 1789
VS
CD NacionalElo : 1484
1X2 probabilities (Foresportia model)
78%16%6%
Sporting CP 78%Draw 16%CD Nacional 6%
Main signalHome win · 78%
Model confidence78.7%
StabilityUltra stable
View match details →

3. Prediction reliability for CD Nacional

Data updated on 04 September 2026

Reliability trendCumulative monthly history
85.7%
Cumulative monthly historyProfileReliabilityVolume
2024-08RiskInsufficient sample2
2024-09RiskInsufficient sample5
2024-10RiskInsufficient sample6
2024-11RiskInsufficient sample9
2024-12Risk36.4%11
2025-01Risk33.3%12
2025-02Risk33.3%15
2025-03Risk33.3%18
2025-04Risk38.1%21
2025-05Risk36.4%22
2025-08Risk44.0%25
2025-09Risk46.2%26
2025-10Risk46.4%28
2025-11Risk46.7%30
2025-12Risk51.5%33
2026-01Risk52.8%36
2026-02Risk52.6%38
2026-03Risk52.5%40
2026-04Risk51.2%43
2026-05Risk51.1%45
2026-08Risk47.9%48
2024-08Correct and aboveInsufficient sample1
2024-09Correct and aboveInsufficient sample2
2024-10Correct and aboveInsufficient sample2
2024-11Correct and aboveInsufficient sample2
2024-12Correct and aboveInsufficient sample5
2025-01Correct and aboveInsufficient sample7
2025-02Correct and aboveInsufficient sample8
2025-03Correct and aboveInsufficient sample9
2025-04Correct and aboveInsufficient sample9
2025-05Correct and above81.8%11
2025-08Correct and above83.3%12
2025-09Correct and above78.6%14
2025-10Correct and above78.6%14
2025-11Correct and above80.0%15
2025-12Correct and above80.0%15
2026-01Correct and above81.2%16
2026-02Correct and above83.3%18
2026-03Correct and above84.2%19
2026-04Correct and above85.0%20
2026-05Correct and above81.0%21
2026-08Correct and above81.0%21
2024-08Stable and aboveInsufficient sample1
2024-09Stable and aboveInsufficient sample2
2024-10Stable and aboveInsufficient sample2
2024-11Stable and aboveInsufficient sample2
2024-12Stable and aboveInsufficient sample4
2025-01Stable and aboveInsufficient sample6
2025-02Stable and aboveInsufficient sample7
2025-03Stable and aboveInsufficient sample8
2025-04Stable and aboveInsufficient sample8
2025-05Stable and aboveInsufficient sample9
2025-08Stable and above80.0%10
2025-09Stable and above81.8%11
2025-10Stable and above81.8%11
2025-11Stable and above83.3%12
2025-12Stable and above83.3%12
2026-01Stable and above83.3%12
2026-02Stable and above83.3%12
2026-03Stable and above84.6%13
2026-04Stable and above85.7%14
2026-05Stable and above85.7%14
2026-08Stable and above85.7%14
2024-08Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2024-09Ultra stableInsufficient sample2
2024-10Ultra stableInsufficient sample2
2024-11Ultra stableInsufficient sample2
2024-12Ultra stableInsufficient sample3
2025-01Ultra stableInsufficient sample5
2025-02Ultra stableInsufficient sample5
2025-03Ultra stableInsufficient sample6
2025-04Ultra stableInsufficient sample6
2025-05Ultra stableInsufficient sample7
2025-08Ultra stableInsufficient sample8
2025-09Ultra stableInsufficient sample8
2025-10Ultra stableInsufficient sample8
2025-11Ultra stableInsufficient sample9
2025-12Ultra stableInsufficient sample9
2026-01Ultra stableInsufficient sample9
2026-02Ultra stableInsufficient sample9
2026-03Ultra stableInsufficient sample9
2026-04Ultra stable90.0%10
2026-05Ultra stable90.0%10
2026-08Ultra stable90.0%10

4. Predictive profile for CD Nacional

ContextObserved measureReading
Home performance1.31 pts/matchHigher observed return
Away performance0.67 pts/matchLower observed return

5. Statistical markers for CD Nacional

Team values from Foresportia sources, without a reconstructed league average.

Expected goals created at home0.97
Expected goals conceded at home1.27
Expected goals created away0.59
Expected goals conceded away0.93
Goals scored / match (5)1.60
Goals conceded / match (5)1.40

History: 69 verified matches

6. Market signals for CD Nacional

MarketAverage probabilityReliabilityVolumeReading
Double chance 1272.5%84.2%19Major, well-documented signal
Double chance 1X73.1%76.5%17Major, well-documented signal
Under 2.558.5%64.7%17Recurring signal
Home win69.1%75.0%4Promising signal, limited sample

7. Model dynamics & analysis

Foresportia Elo trendTracks the team’s relative level as matches are played.
CD Nacional
Average model confidenceShows how the model’s average certainty changes across matches.
CD Nacional
xG differential trendCompares expected goals created and conceded to track the balance of chances.
PositiveNegative
Model calibrationCompares published probabilities with the rates actually observed.
Observed ratePerfect

8. Foresportia analysis

For Foresportia, CD Nacional mainly draws value from its home edge. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.

CD Nacional still needs to be read through recent form, Elo and its advanced production indicators.

The next detected match is Sporting CP vs CD Nacional on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Home win” around 78%.

AI verdictHigh predictive reliability

Stable and above: 85.7% success across 14 verified 1X2 predictions.

Verify the complete history →

Continue exploring

Upcoming matches, competition, other teams and verifiable history.

View upcoming matchesBrowse upcoming fixtures and AI analysis.→Explore Liga PortugalLeague calendar, standings and predictions.→Explore teamsBrowse analysis and profiles for other clubs.→Verify our performanceReview Foresportia’s verifiable prediction history.→

9. CD Nacional FAQ

What is the next match for CD Nacional on Foresportia?

This page shows CD Nacional's confirmed next match with the enriched prediction probabilities that are currently available.

How should you read CD Nacional's ranking and Elo?

This page includes dedicated charts for CD Nacional's ranking and Elo trends, with season separators to make the evolution easier to read.

What does the strongest picks block mean for CD Nacional?

It highlights the markets that performed best in the available history for CD Nacional, together with sample size, hit rate and average probability.

CD Nacional: AI analysis, predictions and Foresportia signals

For Foresportia, CD Nacional mainly draws value from its home edge. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.

CD Nacional still needs to be read through recent form, Elo and its advanced production indicators.

The next detected match is Sporting CP vs CD Nacional on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Home win” around 78%.