Foresportia Elo
1594Liga Portugal rank : 6th
FC Arouca
Foresportia analyses FC Arouca using its match data and proprietary models: Elo level, recent form, probabilities, observed reliability and verifiable market signals.
1X2 entropy
1.48Lower = easier to readPoints volatility
1.20Standard deviation over 5 matchesRecent form
2.40Points per match over 5 matchesModel confidence
65.9%Average over 10 predictions1. How Foresportia evaluates FC Arouca
Summary of indicators actually available in Foresportia data.
2. Next match
GD Estoril PraiaElo : 1476
FC AroucaElo : 1596
1X2 probabilities (Foresportia model)
GD Estoril Praia 36%Draw 29%FC Arouca 34%
3. Prediction reliability for FC Arouca
Data updated on 06 September 2026
Reliability trendCumulative monthly history
81.2%| Cumulative monthly history | Profile | Reliability | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2024-09 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2024-10 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2024-11 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2024-12 | Risk | 58.3% | 12 |
| 2025-01 | Risk | 53.3% | 15 |
| 2025-02 | Risk | 50.0% | 18 |
| 2025-03 | Risk | 52.4% | 21 |
| 2025-04 | Risk | 54.2% | 24 |
| 2025-05 | Risk | 50.0% | 26 |
| 2025-08 | Risk | 48.1% | 27 |
| 2025-09 | Risk | 51.7% | 29 |
| 2025-10 | Risk | 50.0% | 30 |
| 2025-11 | Risk | 51.6% | 31 |
| 2025-12 | Risk | 47.1% | 34 |
| 2026-01 | Risk | 47.2% | 36 |
| 2026-02 | Risk | 46.2% | 39 |
| 2026-03 | Risk | 46.3% | 41 |
| 2026-04 | Risk | 50.0% | 44 |
| 2026-05 | Risk | 48.9% | 47 |
| 2026-08 | Risk | 49.0% | 49 |
| 2024-08 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-09 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2024-10 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2024-11 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2024-12 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-01 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-02 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2025-03 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2025-04 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2025-05 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2025-08 | Correct and above | 70.0% | 10 |
| 2025-09 | Correct and above | 72.7% | 11 |
| 2025-10 | Correct and above | 75.0% | 12 |
| 2025-11 | Correct and above | 76.9% | 13 |
| 2025-12 | Correct and above | 80.0% | 15 |
| 2026-01 | Correct and above | 81.2% | 16 |
| 2026-02 | Correct and above | 82.4% | 17 |
| 2026-03 | Correct and above | 83.3% | 18 |
| 2026-04 | Correct and above | 84.2% | 19 |
| 2026-05 | Correct and above | 84.2% | 19 |
| 2026-08 | Correct and above | 85.0% | 20 |
| 2024-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2024-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2024-11 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2024-12 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-01 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-02 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-03 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2025-04 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2025-05 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2025-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2025-09 | Stable and above | 70.0% | 10 |
| 2025-10 | Stable and above | 72.7% | 11 |
| 2025-11 | Stable and above | 72.7% | 11 |
| 2025-12 | Stable and above | 75.0% | 12 |
| 2026-01 | Stable and above | 76.9% | 13 |
| 2026-02 | Stable and above | 78.6% | 14 |
| 2026-03 | Stable and above | 78.6% | 14 |
| 2026-04 | Stable and above | 80.0% | 15 |
| 2026-05 | Stable and above | 80.0% | 15 |
| 2026-08 | Stable and above | 81.2% | 16 |
| 2024-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-12 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-01 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-02 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-03 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2025-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2025-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2025-12 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2026-01 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2026-02 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2026-03 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2026-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2026-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2026-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 9 |
4. Predictive profile for FC Arouca
ContextObserved measureReading
Home performance1.35 pts/matchHigher observed return
Away performance0.97 pts/matchLower observed return
5. Statistical markers for FC Arouca
Team values from Foresportia sources, without a reconstructed league average.
History: 69 verified matches
6. Market signals for FC Arouca
MarketAverage probabilityReliabilityVolumeReading
Double chance 1272.7%94.7%19Major, well-documented signal
Double chance 1X72.9%77.8%18Major, well-documented signal
Home win61.5%100.0%5Promising signal, limited sample
Home draw no bet66.0%73.3%15Robust signal
7. Model dynamics & analysis
Foresportia Elo trendTracks the team’s relative level as matches are played.
FC Arouca
Average model confidenceShows how the model’s average certainty changes across matches.
FC Arouca
xG differential trendCompares expected goals created and conceded to track the balance of chances.
PositiveNegative
Model calibrationCompares published probabilities with the rates actually observed.
Observed ratePerfect
League-position trendTracks the team’s league position throughout the season.
FC Arouca
Goals scored / concededCompares goals scored and conceded using a five-match rolling average.
Goals scored / match (5)Goals conceded / match (5)
Points per matchTracks points earned per match using a five-match rolling average.
FC Arouca
8. Foresportia analysis
For Foresportia, FC Arouca mainly combines stronger recent control and a more reliable defensive base. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
FC Arouca is going through a strong control sequence, with 2.40 points per match over the last five matches and an average xG delta of 0.10.
The next detected match is GD Estoril Praia vs FC Arouca on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Home win” around 36%.
AI verdictHigh predictive reliability
Stable and above: 81.2% success across 16 verified 1X2 predictions.
Verify the complete history →Continue exploring
Upcoming matches, competition, other teams and verifiable history.
9. FC Arouca FAQ
What is the next match for FC Arouca on Foresportia?
This page shows FC Arouca's confirmed next match with the enriched prediction probabilities that are currently available.
How should you read FC Arouca's ranking and Elo?
This page includes dedicated charts for FC Arouca's ranking and Elo trends, with season separators to make the evolution easier to read.
What does the strongest picks block mean for FC Arouca?
It highlights the markets that performed best in the available history for FC Arouca, together with sample size, hit rate and average probability.
FC Arouca: AI analysis, predictions and Foresportia signals
For Foresportia, FC Arouca mainly combines stronger recent control and a more reliable defensive base. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
FC Arouca is going through a strong control sequence, with 2.40 points per match over the last five matches and an average xG delta of 0.10.
The next detected match is GD Estoril Praia vs FC Arouca on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Home win” around 36%.