Foresportia Elo
1498Liga Portugal rank : 16th
FC Alverca
Foresportia analyses FC Alverca using its match data and proprietary models: Elo level, recent form, probabilities, observed reliability and verifiable market signals.
1X2 entropy
1.41Lower = easier to readPoints volatility
0.49Standard deviation over 5 matchesRecent form
0.40Points per match over 5 matchesModel confidence
65.9%Average over 10 predictions1. How Foresportia evaluates FC Alverca
Summary of indicators actually available in Foresportia data.
2. Next match
FC AlvercaElo : 1497
SC BragaElo : 1650
1X2 probabilities (Foresportia model)
FC Alverca 16%Draw 25%SC Braga 59%
3. Prediction reliability for FC Alverca
Data updated on 04 September 2026
Reliability trendCumulative monthly history
Insufficient sample| Cumulative monthly history | Profile | Reliability | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2024-09 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2024-10 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2024-11 | Risk | 41.7% | 12 |
| 2024-12 | Risk | 53.3% | 15 |
| 2025-01 | Risk | 52.6% | 19 |
| 2025-02 | Risk | 52.2% | 23 |
| 2025-03 | Risk | 53.8% | 26 |
| 2025-04 | Risk | 48.3% | 29 |
| 2025-05 | Risk | 51.6% | 31 |
| 2025-08 | Risk | 52.9% | 34 |
| 2025-09 | Risk | 54.1% | 37 |
| 2025-10 | Risk | 53.8% | 39 |
| 2025-11 | Risk | 52.5% | 40 |
| 2025-12 | Risk | 52.3% | 44 |
| 2026-01 | Risk | 51.1% | 47 |
| 2026-02 | Risk | 49.0% | 49 |
| 2026-03 | Risk | 49.0% | 49 |
| 2026-04 | Risk | 49.1% | 53 |
| 2026-05 | Risk | 49.1% | 55 |
| 2026-08 | Risk | 47.4% | 57 |
| 2024-08 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-09 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-10 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-11 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-12 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-01 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-02 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-03 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-04 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-05 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-08 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-09 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-10 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2025-11 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2025-12 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2026-01 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2026-02 | Correct and above | 90.0% | 10 |
| 2026-03 | Correct and above | 76.9% | 13 |
| 2026-04 | Correct and above | 76.9% | 13 |
| 2026-05 | Correct and above | 78.6% | 14 |
| 2026-08 | Correct and above | 81.2% | 16 |
| 2024-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-11 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-12 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-01 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-02 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-03 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-04 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-05 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-11 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-12 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2026-01 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2026-02 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2026-03 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2026-04 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2026-05 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2026-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2024-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-12 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-01 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-02 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-03 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-12 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2026-01 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2026-02 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2026-03 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2026-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2026-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2026-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 7 |
4. Predictive profile for FC Alverca
ContextObserved measureReading
Home performance1.78 pts/matchHigher observed return
Away performance1.08 pts/matchLower observed return
5. Statistical markers for FC Alverca
Team values from Foresportia sources, without a reconstructed league average.
History: 73 verified matches
6. Market signals for FC Alverca
MarketAverage probabilityReliabilityVolumeReading
Double chance 1X76.6%94.4%18Major, well-documented signal
Double chance X266.6%70.0%10Robust signal
Under 2.559.5%57.1%14Recurring signal
Home win63.5%55.6%9Promising signal, limited sample
Both teams to score54.2%66.7%6Promising signal, limited sample
7. Model dynamics & analysis
Foresportia Elo trendTracks the team’s relative level as matches are played.
FC Alverca
Average model confidenceShows how the model’s average certainty changes across matches.
FC Alverca
xG differential trendCompares expected goals created and conceded to track the balance of chances.
PositiveNegative
Model calibrationCompares published probabilities with the rates actually observed.
Observed ratePerfect
League-position trendTracks the team’s league position throughout the season.
FC Alverca
Goals scored / concededCompares goals scored and conceded using a five-match rolling average.
Goals scored / match (5)Goals conceded / match (5)
Points per matchTracks points earned per match using a five-match rolling average.
FC Alverca
8. Foresportia analysis
For Foresportia, FC Alverca mainly draws value from its home edge. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
FC Alverca still needs to be read through recent form, Elo and its advanced production indicators.
The next detected match is FC Alverca vs SC Braga on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Away win” around 59%.
AI verdictHigh predictive reliability
Correct and above: 81.2% success across 16 verified 1X2 predictions.
Verify the complete history →Continue exploring
Upcoming matches, competition, other teams and verifiable history.
9. FC Alverca FAQ
What is the next match for FC Alverca on Foresportia?
This page shows FC Alverca's confirmed next match with the enriched prediction probabilities that are currently available.
How should you read FC Alverca's ranking and Elo?
This page includes dedicated charts for FC Alverca's ranking and Elo trends, with season separators to make the evolution easier to read.
What does the strongest picks block mean for FC Alverca?
It highlights the markets that performed best in the available history for FC Alverca, together with sample size, hit rate and average probability.
FC Alverca: AI analysis, predictions and Foresportia signals
For Foresportia, FC Alverca mainly draws value from its home edge. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
FC Alverca still needs to be read through recent form, Elo and its advanced production indicators.
The next detected match is FC Alverca vs SC Braga on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Away win” around 59%.