Foresportia Elo
1522Liga Portugal rank : 8th
FC Alverca
Foresportia analyses FC Alverca using its match data and proprietary models: Elo level, recent form, probabilities, observed reliability and verifiable market signals.
1X2 entropy
1.43Lower = easier to readPoints volatility
1.26Standard deviation over 5 matchesRecent form
2.00Points per match over 5 matchesModel confidence
58.7%Average over 10 predictionsCurrent analysis: FC Alverca
FC Alverca are enjoying a positive run, taking 10 points from the last five recorded matches in Liga Portugal. Their attack is productive, with 10 goals scored against 5 conceded. More matches this season are needed to confirm this trend.
Liga Portugal · 2026-2027 · 8 matches analyzed
View analyzed match details
| Date | Goals scored | Goals conceded | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| 3 | 1 | 3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 3 | |
| 4 | 1 | 3 |
1. How Foresportia evaluates FC Alverca
Summary of indicators actually available in Foresportia data.
2. Next match
FC AlvercaElo : 1559
FC AroucaElo : 1594
1X2 probabilities (Foresportia model)
FC Alverca 36%Draw 30%FC Arouca 34%
3. Prediction reliability for FC Alverca
Data updated on 21 October 2026
Reliability trendCumulative monthly history
Insufficient sample| Cumulative monthly history | Profile | Reliability | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2024-09 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2024-10 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2024-11 | Risk | 41.7% | 12 |
| 2024-12 | Risk | 53.3% | 15 |
| 2025-01 | Risk | 52.6% | 19 |
| 2025-02 | Risk | 52.2% | 23 |
| 2025-03 | Risk | 53.8% | 26 |
| 2025-04 | Risk | 48.3% | 29 |
| 2025-05 | Risk | 51.6% | 31 |
| 2025-08 | Risk | 52.9% | 34 |
| 2025-09 | Risk | 54.1% | 37 |
| 2025-10 | Risk | 53.8% | 39 |
| 2025-11 | Risk | 52.5% | 40 |
| 2025-12 | Risk | 52.3% | 44 |
| 2026-01 | Risk | 51.1% | 47 |
| 2026-02 | Risk | 49.0% | 49 |
| 2026-03 | Risk | 49.0% | 49 |
| 2026-04 | Risk | 49.1% | 53 |
| 2026-05 | Risk | 49.1% | 55 |
| 2026-08 | Risk | 47.4% | 57 |
| 2026-09 | Risk | 48.3% | 60 |
| 2026-10 | Risk | 47.5% | 61 |
| 2024-08 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-09 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-10 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-11 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-12 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-01 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-02 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-03 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-04 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-05 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-08 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-09 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-10 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2025-11 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2025-12 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2026-01 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2026-02 | Correct and above | 90.0% | 10 |
| 2026-03 | Correct and above | 76.9% | 13 |
| 2026-04 | Correct and above | 76.9% | 13 |
| 2026-05 | Correct and above | 78.6% | 14 |
| 2026-08 | Correct and above | 81.2% | 16 |
| 2026-09 | Correct and above | 81.2% | 16 |
| 2026-10 | Correct and above | 81.2% | 16 |
| 2024-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-11 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-12 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-01 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-02 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-03 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-04 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-05 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-11 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-12 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2026-01 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2026-02 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2026-03 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2026-04 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2026-05 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2026-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2026-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2026-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2024-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-12 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-01 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-02 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-03 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-12 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2026-01 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2026-02 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2026-03 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2026-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2026-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2026-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2026-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2026-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 7 |
4. Predictive profile for FC Alverca
ContextObserved measureReading
Home performance1.76 pts/matchHigher observed return
Away performance1.18 pts/matchLower observed return
5. Statistical markers for FC Alverca
Team values from Foresportia sources, without a reconstructed league average.
History: 77 verified matches
6. Market signals for FC Alverca
MarketAverage probabilityReliabilityVolumeReading
Double chance 1X76.2%85.7%21Major, well-documented signal
Double chance X265.9%71.4%14Robust signal
Both teams to score53.7%70.0%10Success above the average probability
Double chance 1273.2%60.9%23Success below the average probability
Home win63.5%55.6%9Promising signal, limited sample
7. Model dynamics & analysis
Foresportia Elo trendTracks the team’s relative level as matches are played.
FC Alverca
Average model confidenceShows how the model’s average certainty changes across matches.
FC Alverca
xG differential trendCompares expected goals created and conceded to track the balance of chances.
PositiveNegative
Model calibrationCompares published probabilities with the rates actually observed.
Observed ratePerfect
League-position trendTracks the team’s league position throughout the season.
FC Alverca
Goals scored / concededCompares goals scored and conceded using a five-match rolling average.
Goals scored / match (5)Goals conceded / match (5)
Points per matchTracks points earned per match using a five-match rolling average.
FC Alverca
8. Foresportia analysis
For Foresportia, FC Alverca mainly combines stronger recent control and a more reliable defensive base. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
FC Alverca is going through a strong control sequence, with 2.00 points per match over the last five matches and an average xG delta of -0.19.
The next detected match is FC Alverca vs FC Arouca on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Home win” around 36%.
AI verdictHigh predictive reliability
Correct and above: 81.2% success across 16 verified 1X2 predictions.
Verify the complete history →Continue exploring
Upcoming matches, competition, other teams and verifiable history.
9. FC Alverca FAQ
What is the next match for FC Alverca on Foresportia?
This page shows FC Alverca's confirmed next match with the enriched prediction probabilities that are currently available.
How should you read FC Alverca's ranking and Elo?
This page includes dedicated charts for FC Alverca's ranking and Elo trends, with season separators to make the evolution easier to read.
What does the strongest picks block mean for FC Alverca?
It highlights the markets that performed best in the available history for FC Alverca, together with sample size, hit rate and average probability.
FC Alverca: AI analysis, predictions and Foresportia signals
For Foresportia, FC Alverca mainly combines stronger recent control and a more reliable defensive base. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
FC Alverca is going through a strong control sequence, with 2.00 points per match over the last five matches and an average xG delta of -0.19.
The next detected match is FC Alverca vs FC Arouca on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Home win” around 36%.