Foresportia Elo
1501Liga Portugal rank : 3rd
Gil Vicente FC
Foresportia analyses Gil Vicente FC using its match data and proprietary models: Elo level, recent form, probabilities, observed reliability and verifiable market signals.
1X2 entropy
1.45Lower = easier to readPoints volatility
1.36Standard deviation over 5 matchesRecent form
1.40Points per match over 5 matchesModel confidence
70.3%Average over 10 predictions1. How Foresportia evaluates Gil Vicente FC
Summary of indicators actually available in Foresportia data.
2. Next match
Gil Vicente FCElo : 1512
Casa Pia ACElo : 1434
1X2 probabilities (Foresportia model)
Gil Vicente FC 47%Draw 31%Casa Pia AC 21%
3. Prediction reliability for Gil Vicente FC
Data updated on 24 August 2026
Reliability trendCumulative monthly history
91.7%| Cumulative monthly history | Profile | Reliability | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2024-09 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2024-10 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2024-11 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2024-12 | Risk | 36.4% | 11 |
| 2025-01 | Risk | 35.7% | 14 |
| 2025-02 | Risk | 47.1% | 17 |
| 2025-03 | Risk | 47.4% | 19 |
| 2025-04 | Risk | 56.5% | 23 |
| 2025-05 | Risk | 52.0% | 25 |
| 2025-08 | Risk | 50.0% | 28 |
| 2025-09 | Risk | 51.7% | 29 |
| 2025-10 | Risk | 51.6% | 31 |
| 2025-11 | Risk | 50.0% | 32 |
| 2025-12 | Risk | 44.4% | 36 |
| 2026-01 | Risk | 45.9% | 37 |
| 2026-02 | Risk | 45.0% | 40 |
| 2026-03 | Risk | 42.9% | 42 |
| 2026-04 | Risk | 42.2% | 45 |
| 2026-05 | Risk | 40.4% | 47 |
| 2026-08 | Risk | 41.7% | 48 |
| 2024-08 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-09 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2024-10 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2024-11 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2024-12 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2025-01 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2025-02 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2025-03 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2025-04 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2025-05 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2025-08 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2025-09 | Correct and above | 81.8% | 11 |
| 2025-10 | Correct and above | 81.8% | 11 |
| 2025-11 | Correct and above | 76.9% | 13 |
| 2025-12 | Correct and above | 76.9% | 13 |
| 2026-01 | Correct and above | 73.3% | 15 |
| 2026-02 | Correct and above | 73.3% | 15 |
| 2026-03 | Correct and above | 70.6% | 17 |
| 2026-04 | Correct and above | 72.2% | 18 |
| 2026-05 | Correct and above | 73.7% | 19 |
| 2026-08 | Correct and above | 73.7% | 19 |
| 2024-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2024-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2024-11 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2024-12 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-01 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-02 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-03 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2025-04 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2025-05 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2025-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2025-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2025-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2025-11 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2025-12 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2026-01 | Stable and above | 90.0% | 10 |
| 2026-02 | Stable and above | 90.0% | 10 |
| 2026-03 | Stable and above | 90.0% | 10 |
| 2026-04 | Stable and above | 90.9% | 11 |
| 2026-05 | Stable and above | 91.7% | 12 |
| 2026-08 | Stable and above | 91.7% | 12 |
| 2024-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2024-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2024-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2024-12 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-01 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-02 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-03 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-12 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2026-01 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2026-02 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2026-03 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2026-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2026-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2026-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 7 |
4. Predictive profile for Gil Vicente FC
ContextObserved measureReading
Home performance1.47 pts/matchHigher observed return
Away performance0.94 pts/matchLower observed return
5. Statistical markers for Gil Vicente FC
Team values from Foresportia sources, without a reconstructed league average.
History: 67 verified matches
6. Market signals for Gil Vicente FC
MarketAverage probabilityReliabilityVolumeReading
Double chance 1X72.2%78.6%14Robust signal
Double chance 1272.1%75.0%16Major, well-documented signal
Home draw no bet69.2%60.0%10Success below the average probability
7. Model dynamics & analysis
Foresportia Elo trendTracks the team’s relative level as matches are played.
Gil Vicente FC
Average model confidenceShows how the model’s average certainty changes across matches.
Gil Vicente FC
xG differential trendCompares expected goals created and conceded to track the balance of chances.
PositiveNegative
Model calibrationCompares published probabilities with the rates actually observed.
Observed ratePerfect
League-position trendTracks the team’s league position throughout the season.
Gil Vicente FC
Goals scored / concededCompares goals scored and conceded using a five-match rolling average.
Goals scored / match (5)Goals conceded / match (5)
Points per matchTracks points earned per match using a five-match rolling average.
Gil Vicente FC
8. Foresportia analysis
For Foresportia, Gil Vicente FC mainly draws value from its home edge. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
Gil Vicente FC still needs to be read through recent form, Elo and its advanced production indicators.
The next detected match is Gil Vicente FC vs Casa Pia AC on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Home win” around 47%.
92/100
AI verdictHigh predictive reliability
Stable and above: 91.7% success across 12 verified 1X2 predictions.
Verify the complete history →Continue exploring
Upcoming matches, competition, other teams and verifiable history.
9. Gil Vicente FC FAQ
What is the next match for Gil Vicente FC on Foresportia?
This page shows Gil Vicente FC's confirmed next match with the enriched prediction probabilities that are currently available.
How should you read Gil Vicente FC's ranking and Elo?
This page includes dedicated charts for Gil Vicente FC's ranking and Elo trends, with season separators to make the evolution easier to read.
What does the strongest picks block mean for Gil Vicente FC?
It highlights the markets that performed best in the available history for Gil Vicente FC, together with sample size, hit rate and average probability.
Gil Vicente FC: AI analysis, predictions and Foresportia signals
For Foresportia, Gil Vicente FC mainly draws value from its home edge. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
Gil Vicente FC still needs to be read through recent form, Elo and its advanced production indicators.
The next detected match is Gil Vicente FC vs Casa Pia AC on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Home win” around 47%.