Foresportia Elo
1486Liga Portugal rank : 11th
Moreirense FC
Foresportia analyses Moreirense FC using its match data and proprietary models: Elo level, recent form, probabilities, observed reliability and verifiable market signals.
1X2 entropy
1.47Lower = easier to readPoints volatility
1.10Standard deviation over 5 matchesRecent form
1.00Points per match over 5 matchesModel confidence
66.5%Average over 10 predictions1. How Foresportia evaluates Moreirense FC
Summary of indicators actually available in Foresportia data.
2. Next match
FC PortoElo : 1788
Moreirense FCElo : 1502
1X2 probabilities (Foresportia model)
FC Porto 70%Draw 22%Moreirense FC 8%
3. Prediction reliability for Moreirense FC
Data updated on 03 September 2026
Reliability trendCumulative monthly history
Insufficient sample| Cumulative monthly history | Profile | Reliability | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2024-09 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2024-10 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2024-11 | Risk | 63.6% | 11 |
| 2024-12 | Risk | 53.8% | 13 |
| 2025-01 | Risk | 50.0% | 16 |
| 2025-02 | Risk | 50.0% | 18 |
| 2025-03 | Risk | 42.9% | 21 |
| 2025-04 | Risk | 41.7% | 24 |
| 2025-05 | Risk | 42.3% | 26 |
| 2025-08 | Risk | 46.7% | 30 |
| 2025-09 | Risk | 48.4% | 31 |
| 2025-10 | Risk | 46.9% | 32 |
| 2025-11 | Risk | 47.1% | 34 |
| 2025-12 | Risk | 44.4% | 36 |
| 2026-01 | Risk | 50.0% | 40 |
| 2026-02 | Risk | 50.0% | 42 |
| 2026-03 | Risk | 46.7% | 45 |
| 2026-04 | Risk | 47.9% | 48 |
| 2026-05 | Risk | 48.0% | 50 |
| 2026-08 | Risk | 49.1% | 53 |
| 2024-08 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-09 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-10 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-11 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-12 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-01 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-02 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2025-03 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2025-04 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2025-05 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2025-08 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2025-09 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2025-10 | Correct and above | 90.0% | 10 |
| 2025-11 | Correct and above | 90.9% | 11 |
| 2025-12 | Correct and above | 91.7% | 12 |
| 2026-01 | Correct and above | 91.7% | 12 |
| 2026-02 | Correct and above | 92.3% | 13 |
| 2026-03 | Correct and above | 92.9% | 14 |
| 2026-04 | Correct and above | 93.3% | 15 |
| 2026-05 | Correct and above | 87.5% | 16 |
| 2026-08 | Correct and above | 87.5% | 16 |
| 2024-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-11 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-12 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-01 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-02 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-03 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-04 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-05 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-11 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2025-12 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2026-01 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2026-02 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2026-03 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2026-04 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2026-05 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2026-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2024-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-12 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-01 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-02 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-03 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-12 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2026-01 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2026-02 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2026-03 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2026-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2026-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2026-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 6 |
4. Predictive profile for Moreirense FC
ContextObserved measureReading
Home performance1.50 pts/matchHigher observed return
Away performance0.94 pts/matchLower observed return
5. Statistical markers for Moreirense FC
Team values from Foresportia sources, without a reconstructed league average.
History: 69 verified matches
6. Market signals for Moreirense FC
MarketAverage probabilityReliabilityVolumeReading
Double chance 1X73.1%73.3%15Robust signal
Double chance 1271.3%72.2%18Robust signal
Double chance X267.5%64.3%14Recurring signal
Under 2.561.8%60.0%15Recurring signal
Away draw no bet65.9%57.1%7Promising signal, limited sample
7. Model dynamics & analysis
Foresportia Elo trendTracks the team’s relative level as matches are played.
Moreirense FC
Average model confidenceShows how the model’s average certainty changes across matches.
Moreirense FC
xG differential trendCompares expected goals created and conceded to track the balance of chances.
PositiveNegative
Model calibrationCompares published probabilities with the rates actually observed.
Observed ratePerfect
League-position trendTracks the team’s league position throughout the season.
Moreirense FC
Goals scored / concededCompares goals scored and conceded using a five-match rolling average.
Goals scored / match (5)Goals conceded / match (5)
Points per matchTracks points earned per match using a five-match rolling average.
Moreirense FC
8. Foresportia analysis
For Foresportia, Moreirense FC mainly draws value from its home edge. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
Moreirense FC still needs to be read through recent form, Elo and its advanced production indicators.
The next detected match is FC Porto vs Moreirense FC on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Home win” around 70%.
AI verdictHigh predictive reliability
Correct and above: 87.5% success across 16 verified 1X2 predictions.
Verify the complete history →Continue exploring
Upcoming matches, competition, other teams and verifiable history.
9. Moreirense FC FAQ
What is the next match for Moreirense FC on Foresportia?
This page shows Moreirense FC's confirmed next match with the enriched prediction probabilities that are currently available.
How should you read Moreirense FC's ranking and Elo?
This page includes dedicated charts for Moreirense FC's ranking and Elo trends, with season separators to make the evolution easier to read.
What does the strongest picks block mean for Moreirense FC?
It highlights the markets that performed best in the available history for Moreirense FC, together with sample size, hit rate and average probability.
Moreirense FC: AI analysis, predictions and Foresportia signals
For Foresportia, Moreirense FC mainly draws value from its home edge. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
Moreirense FC still needs to be read through recent form, Elo and its advanced production indicators.
The next detected match is FC Porto vs Moreirense FC on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Home win” around 70%.