Foresportia Elo
1510Liga Portugal rank : 12th
Moreirense FC
Foresportia analyses Moreirense FC using its match data and proprietary models: Elo level, recent form, probabilities, observed reliability and verifiable market signals.
1X2 entropy
1.41Lower = easier to readPoints volatility
1.20Standard deviation over 5 matchesRecent form
0.60Points per match over 5 matchesModel confidence
64.2%Average over 10 predictionsCurrent analysis: Moreirense FC
Moreirense FC are going through a difficult run, taking 3 points from the last five recorded matches in Liga Portugal. The team are struggling to score and their defense needs attention: 2 goals scored and 11 conceded. More matches this season are needed to confirm this trend.
Liga Portugal · 2026-2027 · 6 matches analyzed
View analyzed match details
| Date | Goals scored | Goals conceded | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 3 | |
| 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| 0 | 4 | 0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 0 |
1. How Foresportia evaluates Moreirense FC
Summary of indicators actually available in Foresportia data.
2. Next match
GD Estoril PraiaElo : 1445
Moreirense FCElo : 1493
1X2 probabilities (Foresportia model)
GD Estoril Praia 39%Draw 30%Moreirense FC 31%
3. Prediction reliability for Moreirense FC
Data updated on 20 October 2026
Reliability trendCumulative monthly history
100.0%| Cumulative monthly history | Profile | Reliability | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2024-09 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2024-10 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2024-11 | Risk | 63.6% | 11 |
| 2024-12 | Risk | 53.8% | 13 |
| 2025-01 | Risk | 50.0% | 16 |
| 2025-02 | Risk | 50.0% | 18 |
| 2025-03 | Risk | 42.9% | 21 |
| 2025-04 | Risk | 41.7% | 24 |
| 2025-05 | Risk | 42.3% | 26 |
| 2025-08 | Risk | 46.7% | 30 |
| 2025-09 | Risk | 48.4% | 31 |
| 2025-10 | Risk | 46.9% | 32 |
| 2025-11 | Risk | 47.1% | 34 |
| 2025-12 | Risk | 44.4% | 36 |
| 2026-01 | Risk | 50.0% | 40 |
| 2026-02 | Risk | 50.0% | 42 |
| 2026-03 | Risk | 46.7% | 45 |
| 2026-04 | Risk | 47.9% | 48 |
| 2026-05 | Risk | 48.0% | 50 |
| 2026-08 | Risk | 49.1% | 53 |
| 2026-09 | Risk | 49.1% | 53 |
| 2026-10 | Risk | 50.0% | 54 |
| 2024-08 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-09 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-10 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-11 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-12 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-01 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-02 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2025-03 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2025-04 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2025-05 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2025-08 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2025-09 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2025-10 | Correct and above | 90.0% | 10 |
| 2025-11 | Correct and above | 90.9% | 11 |
| 2025-12 | Correct and above | 91.7% | 12 |
| 2026-01 | Correct and above | 91.7% | 12 |
| 2026-02 | Correct and above | 92.3% | 13 |
| 2026-03 | Correct and above | 92.9% | 14 |
| 2026-04 | Correct and above | 93.3% | 15 |
| 2026-05 | Correct and above | 87.5% | 16 |
| 2026-08 | Correct and above | 87.5% | 16 |
| 2026-09 | Correct and above | 88.9% | 18 |
| 2026-10 | Correct and above | 88.9% | 18 |
| 2024-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-11 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-12 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-01 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-02 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-03 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-04 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-05 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-11 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2025-12 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2026-01 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2026-02 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2026-03 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2026-04 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2026-05 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2026-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2026-09 | Stable and above | 100.0% | 10 |
| 2026-10 | Stable and above | 100.0% | 10 |
| 2024-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-12 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-01 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-02 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-03 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-12 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2026-01 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2026-02 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2026-03 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2026-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2026-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2026-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2026-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2026-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 8 |
4. Predictive profile for Moreirense FC
ContextObserved measureReading
Home performance1.42 pts/matchHigher observed return
Away performance0.92 pts/matchLower observed return
5. Statistical markers for Moreirense FC
Team values from Foresportia sources, without a reconstructed league average.
History: 72 verified matches
6. Market signals for Moreirense FC
MarketAverage probabilityReliabilityVolumeReading
Double chance 1271.6%73.9%23Robust signal
Double chance 1X73.5%73.7%19Robust signal
Double chance X268.1%66.7%18Confirmed signal
Away draw no bet66.8%66.7%9Promising signal, limited sample
Under 2.560.5%61.1%18Recurring signal
7. Model dynamics & analysis
Foresportia Elo trendTracks the team’s relative level as matches are played.
Moreirense FC
Average model confidenceShows how the model’s average certainty changes across matches.
Moreirense FC
xG differential trendCompares expected goals created and conceded to track the balance of chances.
PositiveNegative
Model calibrationCompares published probabilities with the rates actually observed.
Observed ratePerfect
League-position trendTracks the team’s league position throughout the season.
Moreirense FC
Goals scored / concededCompares goals scored and conceded using a five-match rolling average.
Goals scored / match (5)Goals conceded / match (5)
Points per matchTracks points earned per match using a five-match rolling average.
Moreirense FC
8. Foresportia analysis
For Foresportia, Moreirense FC mainly draws value from its home edge. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
Moreirense FC still needs to be read through recent form, Elo and its advanced production indicators.
The next detected match is GD Estoril Praia vs Moreirense FC on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Home win” around 39%.
AI verdictHigh predictive reliability
Stable and above: 100.0% success across 10 verified 1X2 predictions.
Verify the complete history →Continue exploring
Upcoming matches, competition, other teams and verifiable history.
9. Moreirense FC FAQ
What is the next match for Moreirense FC on Foresportia?
This page shows Moreirense FC's confirmed next match with the enriched prediction probabilities that are currently available.
How should you read Moreirense FC's ranking and Elo?
This page includes dedicated charts for Moreirense FC's ranking and Elo trends, with season separators to make the evolution easier to read.
What does the strongest picks block mean for Moreirense FC?
It highlights the markets that performed best in the available history for Moreirense FC, together with sample size, hit rate and average probability.
Moreirense FC: AI analysis, predictions and Foresportia signals
For Foresportia, Moreirense FC mainly draws value from its home edge. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
Moreirense FC still needs to be read through recent form, Elo and its advanced production indicators.
The next detected match is GD Estoril Praia vs Moreirense FC on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Home win” around 39%.