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Foresportia Blog: AI & data to analyze football

Educational and rigorous articles to understand football prediction: probabilities (1X2, over/under, BTTS), xG, Poisson models, calibration, drift, form and match context. Foresportia is a decision-support tool: no promises, only probabilistic scenarios.

Start here

3 pages to quickly understand the vocabulary and the method, then navigate to more specialized articles.

Probabilities & scenario reading

Understanding 1X2, double chance, over/under, BTTS, exact score: probabilistic scenarios, not certainties.

Reliability: calibration, drift, thresholds

What makes a probability meaningful: reliability curves, Brier/LogLoss, drift, coverage vs precision trade-offs.

Match context: form, streaks, home advantage

Football reading: dynamics, fatigue, travel, streaks, hidden factors. Context that reshapes distributions.

Inside Foresportia & updates

Algorithm journal, updates, handling unpredictability: what happens “inside the engine”.