Ligue 1 · AI predictions

Ligue 1 predictions

Explore the next Ligue 1 predictions: 1X2 probabilities, double chance, BTTS, Over/Under, likely score and verified reliability.

See the predictions Ligue 1 results and analysis

Data updated:

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Match calendar

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August 2026

Fixture onlyPrediction availableResult available
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Calendar updated

Show the full match list
  1. Olympique de Marseille – RC Strasbourg Alsace (Prediction available)
  2. RC Lens – AJ Auxerre (Prediction available)
  3. OGC Nice – FC Lorient (Prediction available)
  4. Toulouse FC – Olympique Lyonnais (Prediction available)
  5. Angers SCO – LOSC Lille (Prediction available)
  6. Le Havre AC – AS Monaco (Prediction available)
  7. Paris Saint-Germain – Stade Rennais FC (Prediction available)
  8. LOSC Lille – Paris Saint-Germain (Fixture only)
  9. RC Strasbourg Alsace – RC Lens (Fixture only)
  10. AJ Auxerre – Angers SCO (Fixture only)
  11. Stade Brestois 29 – Toulouse FC (Fixture only)
  12. Olympique Lyonnais – Le Havre AC (Fixture only)
  13. Paris FC – OGC Nice (Fixture only)
  14. AS Monaco – Olympique de Marseille (Fixture only)
  15. Toulouse FC – LOSC Lille (Fixture only)
  16. Olympique Lyonnais – AJ Auxerre (Fixture only)
  17. Paris Saint-Germain – AS Monaco (Fixture only)
  18. RC Lens – FC Lorient (Fixture only)
  19. Le Havre AC – Stade Brestois 29 (Fixture only)
  20. Angers SCO – Stade Rennais FC (Fixture only)
  21. Olympique de Marseille – Paris FC (Fixture only)
  22. Stade Rennais FC – Olympique de Marseille (Fixture only)
  23. RC Strasbourg Alsace – AS Monaco (Fixture only)
  24. AJ Auxerre – OGC Nice (Fixture only)
  25. Le Havre AC – Angers SCO (Fixture only)
  26. FC Lorient – Toulouse FC (Fixture only)
  27. Paris FC – Olympique Lyonnais (Fixture only)
  28. Stade Brestois 29 – Paris Saint-Germain (Fixture only)

Upcoming Ligue 1 matches analysed

Upcoming fixtures with date, AI reading, quick insights and direct access to the full analysis.

21 August 2026
Olympique de Marseille RC Strasbourg Alsace
AI prediction Olympique de Marseille win Risk Prob. 47%
View analysis
Quick insights
1X2 probabilities
1Olympique de Marseille47%
XDraw28%
2RC Strasbourg Alsace25%
Key markets
Double Chance1X · 75%
DNBOlympique de Marseille · 65%
Likely score1-1
BTTS56%
Over 2.552%
Under 2.548%
22 August 2026
RC Lens AJ Auxerre
AI prediction RC Lens win Risk Prob. 49%
View analysis
Quick insights
1X2 probabilities
1RC Lens49%
XDraw31%
2AJ Auxerre20%
Key markets
Double Chance1X · 80%
DNBRC Lens · 71%
Likely score1-0
BTTS50%
Over 2.544%
Under 2.556%
22 August 2026
OGC Nice FC Lorient
AI prediction OGC Nice win Risk Prob. 48%
View analysis
Quick insights
1X2 probabilities
1OGC Nice48%
XDraw29%
2FC Lorient23%
Key markets
Double Chance1X · 77%
DNBOGC Nice · 68%
Likely score1-1
BTTS54%
Over 2.549%
Under 2.551%
22 August 2026
Toulouse FC Olympique Lyonnais
AI prediction Olympique Lyonnais win Risk Prob. 37%
View analysis
Quick insights
1X2 probabilities
1Toulouse FC33%
XDraw30%
2Olympique Lyonnais37%
Key markets
Double Chance12 · 70%
DNBOlympique Lyonnais · 53%
Likely score1-1
BTTS56%
Over 2.551%
Under 2.549%

+ 3 more Ligue 1 matches to explore →

80.6%Observed reliabilityVery stable badge · 36 matches · 2025/26
82%Double chanceUltra high performance mode · 89 matches
308Matches verifiedpredictions checked

Figures are recomputed from public history. Match-by-match detail remains verifiable on past results.

Latest verified results

Predictions are archived before kick-off, then checked against the real score.

10 May 2026
Paris Saint-Germain1 – 0Stade Brestois 29
AI predictionParis Saint-Germain win · 72%✓ Correct
2 May 2026
Paris Saint-Germain2 – 2FC Lorient
AI predictionParis Saint-Germain win · 79%✗ Missed
25 April 2026
Angers SCO0 – 3Paris Saint-Germain
AI predictionParis Saint-Germain win · 72%✓ Correct
22 April 2026
Paris Saint-Germain3 – 0FC Nantes
AI predictionParis Saint-Germain win · 77%✓ Correct
10 April 2026
Olympique de Marseille3 – 1FC Metz
AI predictionOlympique de Marseille win · 69%✓ Correct

See verified AI results for Ligue 1

Reliability, badge by badge

Each prediction is archived before kick-off, then checked against the final score. Unplayed matches are excluded from these rates.

ProfileAccuracyVolumeScope
Very stable 80.6% 29 predictions landed out of 36 matches Very stable badge
Stable and better 82.1% 32 predictions landed out of 39 matches Stable and Very stable badges
Correct and better 73.9% 85 predictions landed out of 115 matches Correct, Stable and Very stable badges

The breakdown of every profile, including matches rated at risk, stays fully transparent on past results.

Beyond 1X2: BTTS, Over/Under and correct score

The model also covers Ligue 1 goal markets. For each market, this page keeps the best available mode among Performance, High performance and Ultra high performance over the 2025/26 season, with a minimum volume guard.

Double chance82%Ultra high performance mode · 89 matches

Cover two outcomes out of three (1X, X2 or 12): the model's safest call.

Over / Under 2.580%Ultra high performance mode · 10 matches

More or fewer than 2.5 goals: the model decides from its goal simulations.

BTTS59.3%High performance mode · 27 matches

Both teams to score: an estimated probability for every fixture.

Correct score48.1%final score in the top 5 · 308 matches

The 5 most likely scores are simulated; the top one lands 13% of the time.

Reading a Ligue 1 prediction in 3 steps
  1. The badge first From Very stable to Correct, the badge sums up the model's confidence. Its real win rate per profile is shown above: that's the main cue.
  2. Then the probability A 55% favourite still loses almost one match in two. Probabilities quantify uncertainty, they don't remove it.
  3. The right market last Tight match? Double chance or BTTS are often more relevant than a plain 1X2. The likely score shows the dominant scenario.

The full methodology (Elo, goal simulations, calibration, context) is explained on the AI football prediction page.

Go further

Ligue 1 results & predictionsThe full interactive page: rounds, markets, filters. →Ligue 1 statisticsStandings, ELO and competition context. →Team pagesForm, ELO and upcoming fixtures for tracked teams. →All league predictionsBack to the predictions hub for every covered competition. →Top AI picksThe day's selection across all competitions. →Verified past resultsThe full 1X2 history to check reliability. →AI & football predictionThe model's methodology, step by step. →Matches by dateExplore every match on a given day. →Free AI football predictionsThe entry hub: which tool for which need. →

FAQ – Ligue 1 AI predictions

Where can I find today's reliable, free Ligue 1 predictions?

This page gathers the AI Ligue 1 predictions from Foresportia: 1X2 probabilities, likely score, goal markets (BTTS, Over/Under) and a stability badge for every match, no sign-up. The full history is verifiable on the past results page.

How good is a “Very stable” prediction in Ligue 1?

The stability badge rates each prediction on how clear the favourite is and how clean the context (stakes, rotation, derby). The more stable the badge, the more often the prediction lands. Over the 2025/26 season, Very stable predictions reached 80.6% accuracy across 36 matches.

Are there BTTS and Over/Under predictions for Ligue 1 too?

Yes. For every match the model estimates the probability that both teams score (BTTS) and that the game goes over or under 2.5 goals, on top of 1X2 and double chance. Over the 2025/26 season, the model's Over/Under 2.5 side in Ultra high performance mode landed 80% of the time and its favourite double chance in Ultra high performance mode landed 82% of the time.

How is the most likely correct score computed?

The model simulates each team's goal distribution (calibrated Poisson/lambda) and derives the five most likely scores of the match. Over the 2025/26 season, the final score was in that top 5 for 48.1% of Ligue 1 matches.

What do the 1X2 probabilities mean?

For each match three probabilities are estimated: home win (1), draw (X) and away win (2). They sum to 100%. A 60% probability means that, over many similar matches, the outcome would occur about 6 times out of 10.

Can an AI predict a Ligue 1 match with certainty?

No. Football is a low-scoring sport where randomness is structural. A serious AI quantifies that uncertainty instead of hiding it: that's the whole point of probabilities and the stability badge.

Ligue 1 AI predictions: probabilities, goal markets and verifiable reliability

For every Ligue 1 match Foresportia publishes a free AI prediction: 1X2 probabilities, double chance, BTTS, Over/Under 2.5, most likely correct score and a stability badge. Each prediction is archived then checked against the real score, so you can freely verify the model's reliability, season after season, with no sign-up.