Logo FC Lorient

FC Lorient

FranceLigue 12026-2027

Foresportia analyses FC Lorient using its match data and proprietary models: Elo level, recent form, probabilities, observed reliability and verifiable market signals.

Foresportia Elo
1581Ligue 1 rank : 12th
1X2 entropy
1.54Lower = easier to read
Points volatility
1.26Standard deviation over 5 matches
Recent form
2.00Points per match over 5 matches
Model confidence
51.4%Average over 10 predictions

Current analysis: FC Lorient

FC Lorient are enjoying a positive run, taking 10 points from the last five recorded matches in Ligue 1. Their defense has held firm, conceding 2 goals, but the team are struggling to score, with 4 goals. More matches this season are needed to confirm this trend.

Ligue 1 · 2026-2027 · 8 matches analyzed

View analyzed match details
Matches analyzed (up to 5)
DateGoals scoredGoals concededPoints
103
103
001
020
203

1. How Foresportia evaluates FC Lorient

Summary of indicators actually available in Foresportia data.

1581Foresportia EloLigue 1 rank : 12th
1.541X2 entropyLower = easier to read
1.26Points volatilityStandard deviation over 5 matches
2.00Recent formpoints / match
51.4%Model confidenceAverage over 10 predictions

2. Next match

Ligue 1

FC LorientElo : 1542
VS
Stade Rennais FCElo : 1569
1X2 probabilities (Foresportia model)
29%29%43%
FC Lorient 29%Draw 29%Stade Rennais FC 43%
Main signalAway win · 43%
Model confidence48.5%
StabilityRisk
View match details →

3. Prediction reliability for FC Lorient

Data updated on 13 November 2026

Reliability trendCumulative monthly history
84.6%
Cumulative monthly historyProfileReliabilityVolume
2024-08RiskInsufficient sample2
2024-09RiskInsufficient sample4
2024-10RiskInsufficient sample5
2024-11RiskInsufficient sample7
2024-12RiskInsufficient sample9
2025-01Risk46.2%13
2025-02Risk46.7%15
2025-03Risk50.0%18
2025-04Risk50.0%20
2025-05Risk47.6%21
2025-08Risk52.2%23
2025-09Risk48.0%25
2025-10Risk48.1%27
2025-11Risk43.3%30
2025-12Risk41.9%31
2026-01Risk42.4%33
2026-02Risk44.4%36
2026-03Risk42.5%40
2026-04Risk41.9%43
2026-05Risk42.2%45
2026-08Risk41.3%46
2026-09Risk40.4%47
2026-10Risk38.0%50
2026-11Risk38.5%52
2024-08Correct and aboveInsufficient sample1
2024-09Correct and aboveInsufficient sample3
2024-10Correct and aboveInsufficient sample6
2024-11Correct and aboveInsufficient sample7
2024-12Correct and aboveInsufficient sample7
2025-01Correct and aboveInsufficient sample7
2025-02Correct and aboveInsufficient sample9
2025-03Correct and above90.0%10
2025-04Correct and above91.7%12
2025-05Correct and above92.3%13
2025-08Correct and above92.9%14
2025-09Correct and above93.3%15
2025-10Correct and above88.2%17
2025-11Correct and above88.9%18
2025-12Correct and above84.2%19
2026-01Correct and above76.2%21
2026-02Correct and above76.2%21
2026-03Correct and above76.2%21
2026-04Correct and above77.3%22
2026-05Correct and above73.9%23
2026-08Correct and above73.9%23
2026-09Correct and above70.8%24
2026-10Correct and above70.8%24
2026-11Correct and above70.8%24
2024-08Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2024-09Stable and aboveInsufficient sample1
2024-10Stable and aboveInsufficient sample2
2024-11Stable and aboveInsufficient sample3
2024-12Stable and aboveInsufficient sample3
2025-01Stable and aboveInsufficient sample3
2025-02Stable and aboveInsufficient sample5
2025-03Stable and aboveInsufficient sample6
2025-04Stable and aboveInsufficient sample8
2025-05Stable and aboveInsufficient sample9
2025-08Stable and aboveInsufficient sample9
2025-09Stable and above100.0%10
2025-10Stable and above90.9%11
2025-11Stable and above91.7%12
2025-12Stable and above91.7%12
2026-01Stable and above91.7%12
2026-02Stable and above91.7%12
2026-03Stable and above91.7%12
2026-04Stable and above91.7%12
2026-05Stable and above84.6%13
2026-08Stable and above84.6%13
2026-09Stable and above84.6%13
2026-10Stable and above84.6%13
2026-11Stable and above84.6%13
2024-08Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2024-09Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2024-10Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2024-11Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2024-12Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2025-01Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2025-02Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2025-03Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2025-04Ultra stableInsufficient sample2
2025-05Ultra stableInsufficient sample2
2025-08Ultra stableInsufficient sample2
2025-09Ultra stableInsufficient sample3
2025-10Ultra stableInsufficient sample4
2025-11Ultra stableInsufficient sample5
2025-12Ultra stableInsufficient sample5
2026-01Ultra stableInsufficient sample5
2026-02Ultra stableInsufficient sample5
2026-03Ultra stableInsufficient sample5
2026-04Ultra stableInsufficient sample5
2026-05Ultra stableInsufficient sample6
2026-08Ultra stableInsufficient sample6
2026-09Ultra stableInsufficient sample6
2026-10Ultra stableInsufficient sample6
2026-11Ultra stableInsufficient sample6

4. Predictive profile for FC Lorient

ContextObserved measureReading
Home performance2.18 pts/matchHigher observed return
Away performance1.26 pts/matchLower observed return

5. Statistical markers for FC Lorient

Team values from Foresportia sources, without a reconstructed league average.

Expected goals created at home0.96
Expected goals conceded at home1.05
Expected goals created away0.77
Expected goals conceded away0.98
Goals scored / match (5)0.80
Goals conceded / match (5)0.40

History: 76 verified matches

6. Market signals for FC Lorient

MarketAverage probabilityReliabilityVolumeReading
Double chance 1X69.7%69.6%23Confirmed signal
Double chance 1272.3%68.0%25Confirmed signal
Under 2.561.1%63.6%11Recurring signal
Double chance X264.3%60.0%20Recurring signal

7. Model dynamics & analysis

Foresportia Elo trendTracks the team’s relative level as matches are played.
FC Lorient
Average model confidenceShows how the model’s average certainty changes across matches.
FC Lorient
xG differential trendCompares expected goals created and conceded to track the balance of chances.
PositiveNegative
Model calibrationCompares published probabilities with the rates actually observed.
Observed ratePerfect

8. Foresportia analysis

For Foresportia, FC Lorient mainly combines stronger recent control and a more reliable defensive base. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.

FC Lorient is going through a strong control sequence, with 2.00 points per match over the last five matches and an average xG delta of 0.29.

The next detected match is FC Lorient vs Stade Rennais FC on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Away win” around 43%.

AI verdictHigh predictive reliability

Stable and above: 84.6% success across 13 verified 1X2 predictions.

Verify the complete history →

Continue exploring

Upcoming matches, competition, other teams and verifiable history.

View upcoming matchesBrowse upcoming fixtures and AI analysis.→Explore Ligue 1League calendar, standings and predictions.→Explore teamsBrowse analysis and profiles for other clubs.→Verify our performanceReview Foresportia’s verifiable prediction history.→

9. FC Lorient FAQ

What is the next match for FC Lorient on Foresportia?

This page shows FC Lorient's confirmed next match with the enriched prediction probabilities that are currently available.

How should you read FC Lorient's ranking and Elo?

This page includes dedicated charts for FC Lorient's ranking and Elo trends, with season separators to make the evolution easier to read.

What does the strongest picks block mean for FC Lorient?

It highlights the markets that performed best in the available history for FC Lorient, together with sample size, hit rate and average probability.

FC Lorient: AI analysis, predictions and Foresportia signals

For Foresportia, FC Lorient mainly combines stronger recent control and a more reliable defensive base. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.

FC Lorient is going through a strong control sequence, with 2.00 points per match over the last five matches and an average xG delta of 0.29.

The next detected match is FC Lorient vs Stade Rennais FC on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Away win” around 43%.