Logo FC Lorient

FC Lorient

FranceLigue 12026-2027

Foresportia analyses FC Lorient using its match data and proprietary models: Elo level, recent form, probabilities, observed reliability and verifiable market signals.

Foresportia Elo
1566Ligue 1 rank : 9th
1X2 entropy
1.46Lower = easier to read
Points volatility
1.20Standard deviation over 5 matches
Recent form
1.60Points per match over 5 matches
Model confidence
59.4%Average over 10 predictions

Current analysis: FC Lorient

FC Lorient have taken 5 points from three matches in Ligue 1. The team have scored 3 goals and conceded 2. It is still too early to judge their form, attack or defense from so few matches.

Ligue 1 · 2026-2027 · 3 matches analyzed

View analyzed match details
Matches analyzed (up to 5)
DateGoals scoredGoals concededPoints
001
103
221

1. How Foresportia evaluates FC Lorient

Summary of indicators actually available in Foresportia data.

1566Foresportia EloLigue 1 rank : 9th
1.461X2 entropyLower = easier to read
1.20Points volatilityStandard deviation over 5 matches
1.60Recent formpoints / match
59.4%Model confidenceAverage over 10 predictions

2. Next match

Ligue 1

FC LorientElo : Not available
VS
Paris FCElo : Not available
Main signal—
Model confidenceNot available
StabilityRisk
View match details →

3. Prediction reliability for FC Lorient

Data updated on 23 September 2026

Reliability trendCumulative monthly history
84.6%
Cumulative monthly historyProfileReliabilityVolume
2024-08RiskInsufficient sample2
2024-09RiskInsufficient sample4
2024-10RiskInsufficient sample5
2024-11RiskInsufficient sample7
2024-12RiskInsufficient sample9
2025-01Risk46.2%13
2025-02Risk46.7%15
2025-03Risk50.0%18
2025-04Risk50.0%20
2025-05Risk47.6%21
2025-08Risk52.2%23
2025-09Risk48.0%25
2025-10Risk48.1%27
2025-11Risk43.3%30
2025-12Risk41.9%31
2026-01Risk42.4%33
2026-02Risk44.4%36
2026-03Risk42.5%40
2026-04Risk41.9%43
2026-05Risk42.2%45
2026-08Risk41.3%46
2026-09Risk40.4%47
2024-08Correct and aboveInsufficient sample1
2024-09Correct and aboveInsufficient sample3
2024-10Correct and aboveInsufficient sample6
2024-11Correct and aboveInsufficient sample7
2024-12Correct and aboveInsufficient sample7
2025-01Correct and aboveInsufficient sample7
2025-02Correct and aboveInsufficient sample9
2025-03Correct and above90.0%10
2025-04Correct and above91.7%12
2025-05Correct and above92.3%13
2025-08Correct and above92.9%14
2025-09Correct and above93.3%15
2025-10Correct and above88.2%17
2025-11Correct and above88.9%18
2025-12Correct and above84.2%19
2026-01Correct and above76.2%21
2026-02Correct and above76.2%21
2026-03Correct and above76.2%21
2026-04Correct and above77.3%22
2026-05Correct and above73.9%23
2026-08Correct and above73.9%23
2026-09Correct and above70.8%24
2024-08Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2024-09Stable and aboveInsufficient sample1
2024-10Stable and aboveInsufficient sample2
2024-11Stable and aboveInsufficient sample3
2024-12Stable and aboveInsufficient sample3
2025-01Stable and aboveInsufficient sample3
2025-02Stable and aboveInsufficient sample5
2025-03Stable and aboveInsufficient sample6
2025-04Stable and aboveInsufficient sample8
2025-05Stable and aboveInsufficient sample9
2025-08Stable and aboveInsufficient sample9
2025-09Stable and above100.0%10
2025-10Stable and above90.9%11
2025-11Stable and above91.7%12
2025-12Stable and above91.7%12
2026-01Stable and above91.7%12
2026-02Stable and above91.7%12
2026-03Stable and above91.7%12
2026-04Stable and above91.7%12
2026-05Stable and above84.6%13
2026-08Stable and above84.6%13
2026-09Stable and above84.6%13
2024-08Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2024-09Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2024-10Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2024-11Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2024-12Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2025-01Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2025-02Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2025-03Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2025-04Ultra stableInsufficient sample2
2025-05Ultra stableInsufficient sample2
2025-08Ultra stableInsufficient sample2
2025-09Ultra stableInsufficient sample3
2025-10Ultra stableInsufficient sample4
2025-11Ultra stableInsufficient sample5
2025-12Ultra stableInsufficient sample5
2026-01Ultra stableInsufficient sample5
2026-02Ultra stableInsufficient sample5
2026-03Ultra stableInsufficient sample5
2026-04Ultra stableInsufficient sample5
2026-05Ultra stableInsufficient sample6
2026-08Ultra stableInsufficient sample6
2026-09Ultra stableInsufficient sample6

4. Predictive profile for FC Lorient

ContextObserved measureReading
Home performance2.20 pts/matchHigher observed return
Away performance1.22 pts/matchLower observed return

5. Statistical markers for FC Lorient

Team values from Foresportia sources, without a reconstructed league average.

Expected goals created at home1.02
Expected goals conceded at home1.13
Expected goals created away0.76
Expected goals conceded away1.04
Goals scored / match (5)1.40
Goals conceded / match (5)0.80

History: 71 verified matches

6. Market signals for FC Lorient

MarketAverage probabilityReliabilityVolumeReading
Double chance 1X71.7%73.7%19Robust signal
Double chance 1272.9%65.0%20Confirmed signal
Double chance X261.7%60.0%15Recurring signal
Under 2.563.2%55.6%9Promising signal, limited sample

7. Model dynamics & analysis

Foresportia Elo trendTracks the team’s relative level as matches are played.
FC Lorient
Average model confidenceShows how the model’s average certainty changes across matches.
FC Lorient
xG differential trendCompares expected goals created and conceded to track the balance of chances.
PositiveNegative
Model calibrationCompares published probabilities with the rates actually observed.
Observed ratePerfect

8. Foresportia analysis

For Foresportia, FC Lorient mainly relies on a more reliable defensive base. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.

FC Lorient currently relies on a more reliable defensive base, conceding only 0.80 goals per match recently.

The next confirmed match is FC Lorient vs Paris FC on . Probabilities will appear when an enriched prediction is available.

AI verdictHigh predictive reliability

Stable and above: 84.6% success across 13 verified 1X2 predictions.

Verify the complete history →

Continue exploring

Upcoming matches, competition, other teams and verifiable history.

View upcoming matchesBrowse upcoming fixtures and AI analysis.→Explore Ligue 1League calendar, standings and predictions.→Explore teamsBrowse analysis and profiles for other clubs.→Verify our performanceReview Foresportia’s verifiable prediction history.→

9. FC Lorient FAQ

What is the next match for FC Lorient on Foresportia?

This page shows FC Lorient's confirmed next match. The enriched prediction and its probabilities are not available yet.

How should you read FC Lorient's ranking and Elo?

This page includes dedicated charts for FC Lorient's ranking and Elo trends, with season separators to make the evolution easier to read.

What does the strongest picks block mean for FC Lorient?

It highlights the markets that performed best in the available history for FC Lorient, together with sample size, hit rate and average probability.

FC Lorient: AI analysis, predictions and Foresportia signals

For Foresportia, FC Lorient mainly relies on a more reliable defensive base. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.

FC Lorient currently relies on a more reliable defensive base, conceding only 0.80 goals per match recently.

The next confirmed match is FC Lorient vs Paris FC on . Probabilities will appear when an enriched prediction is available.