Ligue 1 · Scheduled

First AI projection for AJ Auxerre vs OGC Nice

First AI projection for this Ligue 1 fixture. This early estimate may change closer to kick-off.

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AJ Auxerre

Standing#1

Elo rating1526

Form index66.7%

Last 5 matches
WWWLD

Expected goals1.08

ScheduledVS

OGC Nice

Standing#9

Elo rating1507

Form index40%

Last 5 matches
WDDLD

Expected goals1.23

Match context to watch
Draw closeLine-ups to watchBusy scheduleRanking / model conflict

Quick read

  • Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for OGC Nice at 37.5%, so caution is advised.
  • Confidence levelRisk
  • Cautious marketDouble chance X2 · 69.8%
  • Likely score1 - 1 (13.51%)
  • BTTSYes · 52%
  • Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5 · 55.9%

First AI projection

This early estimate is published ahead of the match. Probabilities may change with recent form, injuries, line-ups, scheduling and newly available data.

AJ Auxerre30.1%
Draw32.4%
OGC Nice37.5%

Main pickOGC Nice37.5%

Confidence32.1%

StabilityRisk

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Expected goals and trends

AJ Auxerre1.08
Expected total2.31
OGC Nice1.23
44.1%Over 2.5

Over 44.1% Under 55.9%

52%BTTS

Yes 52% No 48%

Double chance

Available markets

1X62.5%
X269.8%
1267.6%

Top 5 likely scores

  1. Likely score 1 - 113.5%
  2. Likely score 0 - 012.9%
  3. Likely score 0 - 111%
  4. Likely score 1 - 210.4%
  5. Likely score 1 - 09.5%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

AJ Auxerre 28.4%OGC Nice 32.5%

Draw no bet

AJ Auxerre 44.6%OGC Nice 55.4%

Win to nil

AJ Auxerre 15.5%OGC Nice 19.6%

Win by 2+ goals

AJ Auxerre 10.1%OGC Nice 14.4%

AJ Auxerre vs OGC Nice early projection FAQ

What does the first AI projection say about AJ Auxerre vs OGC Nice?

The early estimate gives OGC Nice a slight edge at 37.5%. This probability may change before the match.

Why can this estimate change?

Recent form, injuries, line-ups, fixture congestion and newly available data will be included in later updates.

Is an early likely score available?

The first calculated scenario is 1 - 1 (13.51%), but this is an early estimate that may change.

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Ligue 1

What the data says about AJ Auxerre vs OGC Nice

This fixture is part of the French top flight, where league position, recent momentum and chance conversion help frame the balance of power.

Before kick-off, AJ Auxerre sits 1st and OGC Nice 9th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1526 for AJ Auxerre and 1507 for OGC Nice.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 66.7% for AJ Auxerre and 40% for OGC Nice. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives AJ Auxerre 30.1%, the draw 32.4% and OGC Nice 37.5%. The expected-goals model projects 1.08 xG against 1.23, for a combined 2.31.