Foresportia Elo
1502Ligue 1 rank : 10th
AJ Auxerre
Foresportia analyses AJ Auxerre using its match data and proprietary models: Elo level, recent form, probabilities, observed reliability and verifiable market signals.
1X2 entropy
1.50Lower = easier to readPoints volatility
1.47Standard deviation over 5 matchesRecent form
1.20Points per match over 5 matchesModel confidence
60.6%Average over 10 predictionsCurrent analysis: AJ Auxerre
AJ Auxerre have taken 6 points from five matches in Ligue 1. The team have scored 7 goals and conceded 12. It is still too early to judge their form, attack or defense from so few matches.
Ligue 1 · 2026-2027 · 5 matches analyzed
View analyzed match details
| Date | Goals scored | Goals conceded | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 5 | 0 | |
| 1 | 3 | 0 | |
| 1 | 3 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 3 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 |
1. How Foresportia evaluates AJ Auxerre
Summary of indicators actually available in Foresportia data.
2. Next match
Stade Rennais FCElo : Not available
AJ AuxerreElo : Not available
3. Prediction reliability for AJ Auxerre
Data updated on 22 September 2026
Reliability trendCumulative monthly history
Insufficient sample| Cumulative monthly history | Profile | Reliability | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2024-09 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2024-10 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2024-11 | Risk | 54.5% | 11 |
| 2024-12 | Risk | 50.0% | 14 |
| 2025-01 | Risk | 50.0% | 18 |
| 2025-02 | Risk | 47.6% | 21 |
| 2025-03 | Risk | 52.0% | 25 |
| 2025-04 | Risk | 50.0% | 28 |
| 2025-05 | Risk | 50.0% | 30 |
| 2025-08 | Risk | 50.0% | 32 |
| 2025-09 | Risk | 50.0% | 34 |
| 2025-10 | Risk | 50.0% | 36 |
| 2025-11 | Risk | 50.0% | 38 |
| 2025-12 | Risk | 52.5% | 40 |
| 2026-01 | Risk | 52.5% | 40 |
| 2026-02 | Risk | 52.3% | 44 |
| 2026-03 | Risk | 48.9% | 47 |
| 2026-04 | Risk | 46.9% | 49 |
| 2026-05 | Risk | 47.1% | 51 |
| 2026-08 | Risk | 47.2% | 53 |
| 2026-09 | Risk | 45.5% | 55 |
| 2024-08 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-09 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-10 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-11 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-12 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-01 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-02 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-03 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-04 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-05 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-08 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2025-09 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2025-10 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2025-11 | Correct and above | 80.0% | 10 |
| 2025-12 | Correct and above | 80.0% | 10 |
| 2026-01 | Correct and above | 84.6% | 13 |
| 2026-02 | Correct and above | 84.6% | 13 |
| 2026-03 | Correct and above | 85.7% | 14 |
| 2026-04 | Correct and above | 81.2% | 16 |
| 2026-05 | Correct and above | 76.5% | 17 |
| 2026-08 | Correct and above | 76.5% | 17 |
| 2026-09 | Correct and above | 77.8% | 18 |
| 2024-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-11 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-12 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-01 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-02 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-03 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-04 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-05 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-11 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-12 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-01 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2026-02 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2026-03 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2026-04 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2026-05 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2026-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2026-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2024-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-12 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-01 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-02 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-03 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-12 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-01 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-02 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-03 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
4. Predictive profile for AJ Auxerre
ContextObserved measureReading
Home performance1.49 pts/matchHigher observed return
Away performance0.75 pts/matchLower observed return
5. Statistical markers for AJ Auxerre
Team values from Foresportia sources, without a reconstructed league average.
History: 73 verified matches
6. Market signals for AJ Auxerre
MarketAverage probabilityReliabilityVolumeReading
Double chance 1X70.1%80.0%20Major, well-documented signal
Double chance 1270.6%65.0%20Confirmed signal
Double chance X264.9%60.0%15Recurring signal
Over 2.552.4%80.0%5Promising signal, limited sample
Both teams to score52.8%71.4%7Promising signal, limited sample
7. Model dynamics & analysis
Foresportia Elo trendTracks the team’s relative level as matches are played.
AJ Auxerre
Average model confidenceShows how the model’s average certainty changes across matches.
AJ Auxerre
xG differential trendCompares expected goals created and conceded to track the balance of chances.
PositiveNegative
Model calibrationCompares published probabilities with the rates actually observed.
Observed ratePerfect
League-position trendTracks the team’s league position throughout the season.
AJ Auxerre
Goals scored / concededCompares goals scored and conceded using a five-match rolling average.
Goals scored / match (5)Goals conceded / match (5)
Points per matchTracks points earned per match using a five-match rolling average.
AJ Auxerre
8. Foresportia analysis
For Foresportia, AJ Auxerre mainly draws value from its home edge. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
AJ Auxerre still needs to be read through recent form, Elo and its advanced production indicators.
The next confirmed match is Stade Rennais FC vs AJ Auxerre on . Probabilities will appear when an enriched prediction is available.
AI verdictHigh predictive reliability
Correct and above: 77.8% success across 18 verified 1X2 predictions.
Verify the complete history →Continue exploring
Upcoming matches, competition, other teams and verifiable history.
9. AJ Auxerre FAQ
What is the next match for AJ Auxerre on Foresportia?
This page shows AJ Auxerre's confirmed next match. The enriched prediction and its probabilities are not available yet.
How should you read AJ Auxerre's ranking and Elo?
This page includes dedicated charts for AJ Auxerre's ranking and Elo trends, with season separators to make the evolution easier to read.
What does the strongest picks block mean for AJ Auxerre?
It highlights the markets that performed best in the available history for AJ Auxerre, together with sample size, hit rate and average probability.
AJ Auxerre: AI analysis, predictions and Foresportia signals
For Foresportia, AJ Auxerre mainly draws value from its home edge. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
AJ Auxerre still needs to be read through recent form, Elo and its advanced production indicators.
The next confirmed match is Stade Rennais FC vs AJ Auxerre on . Probabilities will appear when an enriched prediction is available.