Ligue 1 · Scheduled

First AI projection for FC Lorient vs Toulouse FC

First AI projection for this Ligue 1 fixture. This early estimate may change closer to kick-off.

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FC Lorient

Standing#5

Elo rating1555

Form index46.7%

Last 5 matches
LWDLW

Expected goals1.23

ScheduledVS

Toulouse FC

Standing#17

Elo rating1540

Form index46.7%

Last 5 matches
WWDLL

Expected goals1.29

Match context to watch
Draw closeRanking / model conflict

Quick read

  • Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for Toulouse FC at 36.3%, so caution is advised.
  • Confidence levelRisk
  • Cautious marketDouble chance X2 · 66.7%
  • Likely score1 - 1 (12.39%)
  • BTTSYes · 55.7%
  • Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5 · 50.3%

First AI projection

This early estimate is published ahead of the match. Probabilities may change with recent form, injuries, line-ups, scheduling and newly available data.

FC Lorient33.3%
Draw30.4%
Toulouse FC36.3%

Main pickToulouse FC36.3%

Confidence33.5%

StabilityRisk

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Expected goals and trends

FC Lorient1.23
Expected total2.52
Toulouse FC1.29
49.7%Over 2.5

Over 49.7% Under 50.3%

55.7%BTTS

Yes 55.7% No 44.3%

Double chance

Available markets

1X63.7%
X266.7%
1269.6%

Top 5 likely scores

  1. Likely score 1 - 1 — 12.4%
  2. Likely score 0 - 0 — 10.6%
  3. Likely score 1 - 2 — 10.3%
  4. Likely score 2 - 1 — 9.7%
  5. Likely score 0 - 1 — 9.5%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

FC Lorient 26.7%Toulouse FC 28.3%

Draw no bet

FC Lorient 47.8%Toulouse FC 52.2%

Win to nil

FC Lorient 16%Toulouse FC 17.7%

Win by 2+ goals

FC Lorient 12.6%Toulouse FC 14.6%

FC Lorient vs Toulouse FC early projection FAQ

What does the first AI projection say about FC Lorient vs Toulouse FC?

The early estimate gives Toulouse FC a slight edge at 36.3%. This probability may change before the match.

Why can this estimate change?

Recent form, injuries, line-ups, fixture congestion and newly available data will be included in later updates.

Is an early likely score available?

The first calculated scenario is 1 - 1 (12.39%), but this is an early estimate that may change.

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More football tools and analysis

Check today's matches and updated results, compare standings and team form, then explore more fixtures and AI analysis from this league.

Ligue 1

What the data says about FC Lorient vs Toulouse FC

This fixture is part of the French top flight, where league position, recent momentum and chance conversion help frame the balance of power.

Before kick-off, FC Lorient sits 5th and Toulouse FC 17th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1555 for FC Lorient and 1540 for Toulouse FC.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 46.7% for FC Lorient and 46.7% for Toulouse FC. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives FC Lorient 33.3%, the draw 30.4% and Toulouse FC 36.3%. The expected-goals model projects 1.23 xG against 1.29, for a combined 2.52.