Foresportia Elo
1525Ligue 1 rank : 13th
Toulouse FC
Foresportia analyses Toulouse FC using its match data and proprietary models: Elo level, recent form, probabilities, observed reliability and verifiable market signals.
1X2 entropy
1.54Lower = easier to readPoints volatility
1.10Standard deviation over 5 matchesRecent form
1.00Points per match over 5 matchesModel confidence
53.1%Average over 10 predictionsCurrent analysis: Toulouse FC
Toulouse FC have taken 5 points from five matches in Ligue 1. The team have scored 7 goals and conceded 9. It is still too early to judge their form, attack or defense from so few matches.
Ligue 1 · 2026-2027 · 5 matches analyzed
View analyzed match details
| Date | Goals scored | Goals conceded | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| 2 | 2 | 1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| 2 | 2 | 1 | |
| 3 | 2 | 3 |
1. How Foresportia evaluates Toulouse FC
Summary of indicators actually available in Foresportia data.
2. Next match
AS MonacoElo : Not available
Toulouse FCElo : Not available
3. Prediction reliability for Toulouse FC
Data updated on 28 September 2026
Reliability trendCumulative monthly history
Insufficient sample| Cumulative monthly history | Profile | Reliability | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2024-09 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2024-10 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2024-11 | Risk | 60.0% | 10 |
| 2024-12 | Risk | 66.7% | 12 |
| 2025-01 | Risk | 62.5% | 16 |
| 2025-02 | Risk | 63.2% | 19 |
| 2025-03 | Risk | 59.1% | 22 |
| 2025-04 | Risk | 65.4% | 26 |
| 2025-05 | Risk | 62.1% | 29 |
| 2025-08 | Risk | 61.3% | 31 |
| 2025-09 | Risk | 58.8% | 34 |
| 2025-10 | Risk | 56.8% | 37 |
| 2025-11 | Risk | 52.5% | 40 |
| 2025-12 | Risk | 52.4% | 42 |
| 2026-01 | Risk | 54.5% | 44 |
| 2026-02 | Risk | 51.0% | 49 |
| 2026-03 | Risk | 53.8% | 52 |
| 2026-04 | Risk | 53.7% | 54 |
| 2026-05 | Risk | 51.8% | 56 |
| 2026-08 | Risk | 51.7% | 58 |
| 2026-09 | Risk | 52.5% | 61 |
| 2024-08 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-09 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-10 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-11 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2024-12 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-01 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-02 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-03 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2025-04 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2025-05 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2025-08 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2025-09 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2025-10 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2025-11 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2025-12 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2026-01 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2026-02 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2026-03 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2026-04 | Correct and above | 90.9% | 11 |
| 2026-05 | Correct and above | 90.9% | 11 |
| 2026-08 | Correct and above | 90.9% | 11 |
| 2026-09 | Correct and above | 90.9% | 11 |
| 2024-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-11 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-12 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-01 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-02 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-03 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-04 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-05 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-11 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-12 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2026-01 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2026-02 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2026-03 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2026-04 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2026-05 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2026-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2026-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2024-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-12 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-01 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-02 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-03 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-12 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2026-01 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2026-02 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2026-03 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2026-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2026-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2026-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2026-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 5 |
4. Predictive profile for Toulouse FC
ContextObserved measureReading
Home performance1.27 pts/matchComparable return
Away performance1.26 pts/matchComparable return
5. Statistical markers for Toulouse FC
Team values from Foresportia sources, without a reconstructed league average.
History: 72 verified matches
6. Market signals for Toulouse FC
MarketAverage probabilityReliabilityVolumeReading
Double chance 1271.4%73.7%19Robust signal
Double chance 1X66.5%72.2%18Robust signal
Both teams to score54.3%72.7%11Success above the average probability
Over 2.552.3%85.7%7Promising signal, limited sample
Double chance X266.5%64.7%17Recurring signal
7. Model dynamics & analysis
Foresportia Elo trendTracks the team’s relative level as matches are played.
Toulouse FC
Average model confidenceShows how the model’s average certainty changes across matches.
Toulouse FC
xG differential trendCompares expected goals created and conceded to track the balance of chances.
PositiveNegative
Model calibrationCompares published probabilities with the rates actually observed.
Observed ratePerfect
League-position trendTracks the team’s league position throughout the season.
Toulouse FC
Goals scored / concededCompares goals scored and conceded using a five-match rolling average.
Goals scored / match (5)Goals conceded / match (5)
Points per matchTracks points earned per match using a five-match rolling average.
Toulouse FC
8. Foresportia analysis
For Foresportia, Toulouse FC still requires a more cautious read tied to recent form and match context. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
Toulouse FC still needs to be read through recent form, Elo and its advanced production indicators.
The next confirmed match is AS Monaco vs Toulouse FC on . Probabilities will appear when an enriched prediction is available.
AI verdictHigh predictive reliability
Correct and above: 90.9% success across 11 verified 1X2 predictions.
Verify the complete history →Continue exploring
Upcoming matches, competition, other teams and verifiable history.
9. Toulouse FC FAQ
What is the next match for Toulouse FC on Foresportia?
This page shows Toulouse FC's confirmed next match. The enriched prediction and its probabilities are not available yet.
How should you read Toulouse FC's ranking and Elo?
This page includes dedicated charts for Toulouse FC's ranking and Elo trends, with season separators to make the evolution easier to read.
What does the strongest picks block mean for Toulouse FC?
It highlights the markets that performed best in the available history for Toulouse FC, together with sample size, hit rate and average probability.
Toulouse FC: AI analysis, predictions and Foresportia signals
For Foresportia, Toulouse FC still requires a more cautious read tied to recent form and match context. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
Toulouse FC still needs to be read through recent form, Elo and its advanced production indicators.
The next confirmed match is AS Monaco vs Toulouse FC on . Probabilities will appear when an enriched prediction is available.