Foresportia Elo
1576Ligue 1 rank : 12th
Toulouse FC
Foresportia analyses Toulouse FC using its match data and proprietary models: Elo level, recent form, probabilities, observed reliability and verifiable market signals.
1X2 entropy
1.56Lower = easier to readPoints volatility
1.20Standard deviation over 5 matchesRecent form
1.60Points per match over 5 matchesModel confidence
50.5%Average over 10 predictionsCurrent analysis: Toulouse FC
Toulouse FC have taken 8 points from a possible 15 across the last five recorded matches in Ligue 1. The team have scored 8 goals and conceded 5. More matches this season are needed to confirm this trend.
Ligue 1 · 2026-2027 · 10 matches analyzed
View analyzed match details
| Date | Goals scored | Goals conceded | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | 1 | |
| 3 | 0 | 3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| 3 | 1 | 3 |
1. How Foresportia evaluates Toulouse FC
Summary of indicators actually available in Foresportia data.
2. Next match
RC LensElo : 1602
Toulouse FCElo : 1545
1X2 probabilities (Foresportia model)
RC Lens 48%Draw 28%Toulouse FC 24%
3. Prediction reliability for Toulouse FC
Data updated on 14 November 2026
Reliability trendCumulative monthly history
Insufficient sample| Cumulative monthly history | Profile | Reliability | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2024-09 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2024-10 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2024-11 | Risk | 60.0% | 10 |
| 2024-12 | Risk | 66.7% | 12 |
| 2025-01 | Risk | 62.5% | 16 |
| 2025-02 | Risk | 63.2% | 19 |
| 2025-03 | Risk | 59.1% | 22 |
| 2025-04 | Risk | 65.4% | 26 |
| 2025-05 | Risk | 62.1% | 29 |
| 2025-08 | Risk | 61.3% | 31 |
| 2025-09 | Risk | 58.8% | 34 |
| 2025-10 | Risk | 56.8% | 37 |
| 2025-11 | Risk | 52.5% | 40 |
| 2025-12 | Risk | 52.4% | 42 |
| 2026-01 | Risk | 54.5% | 44 |
| 2026-02 | Risk | 51.0% | 49 |
| 2026-03 | Risk | 53.8% | 52 |
| 2026-04 | Risk | 53.7% | 54 |
| 2026-05 | Risk | 51.8% | 56 |
| 2026-08 | Risk | 51.7% | 58 |
| 2026-09 | Risk | 52.5% | 61 |
| 2026-10 | Risk | 50.0% | 64 |
| 2026-11 | Risk | 51.5% | 66 |
| 2024-08 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-09 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-10 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-11 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2024-12 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-01 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-02 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-03 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2025-04 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2025-05 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2025-08 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2025-09 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2025-10 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2025-11 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2025-12 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2026-01 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2026-02 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2026-03 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2026-04 | Correct and above | 90.9% | 11 |
| 2026-05 | Correct and above | 90.9% | 11 |
| 2026-08 | Correct and above | 90.9% | 11 |
| 2026-09 | Correct and above | 90.9% | 11 |
| 2026-10 | Correct and above | 90.9% | 11 |
| 2026-11 | Correct and above | 90.9% | 11 |
| 2024-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-11 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-12 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-01 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-02 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-03 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-04 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-05 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-11 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-12 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2026-01 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2026-02 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2026-03 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2026-04 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2026-05 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2026-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2026-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2026-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2026-11 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2024-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-12 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-01 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-02 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-03 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-12 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2026-01 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2026-02 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2026-03 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2026-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2026-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2026-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2026-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2026-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2026-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 5 |
4. Predictive profile for Toulouse FC
ContextObserved measureReading
Home performance1.31 pts/matchComparable return
Away performance1.26 pts/matchComparable return
5. Statistical markers for Toulouse FC
Team values from Foresportia sources, without a reconstructed league average.
History: 77 verified matches
6. Market signals for Toulouse FC
MarketAverage probabilityReliabilityVolumeReading
Over 2.553.5%75.0%12Success above the average probability
Double chance 1X67.4%73.9%23Robust signal
Double chance 1271.5%70.8%24Robust signal
Double chance X265.2%61.9%21Recurring signal
Both teams to score55.2%62.5%16Recurring signal
7. Model dynamics & analysis
Foresportia Elo trendTracks the team’s relative level as matches are played.
Toulouse FC
Average model confidenceShows how the model’s average certainty changes across matches.
Toulouse FC
xG differential trendCompares expected goals created and conceded to track the balance of chances.
PositiveNegative
Model calibrationCompares published probabilities with the rates actually observed.
Observed ratePerfect
League-position trendTracks the team’s league position throughout the season.
Toulouse FC
Goals scored / concededCompares goals scored and conceded using a five-match rolling average.
Goals scored / match (5)Goals conceded / match (5)
Points per matchTracks points earned per match using a five-match rolling average.
Toulouse FC
8. Foresportia analysis
For Foresportia, Toulouse FC still requires a more cautious read tied to recent form and match context. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
Toulouse FC still needs to be read through recent form, Elo and its advanced production indicators.
The next detected match is RC Lens vs Toulouse FC on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Home win” around 48%.
AI verdictHigh predictive reliability
Correct and above: 90.9% success across 11 verified 1X2 predictions.
Verify the complete history →Continue exploring
Upcoming matches, competition, other teams and verifiable history.
9. Toulouse FC FAQ
What is the next match for Toulouse FC on Foresportia?
This page shows Toulouse FC's confirmed next match with the enriched prediction probabilities that are currently available.
How should you read Toulouse FC's ranking and Elo?
This page includes dedicated charts for Toulouse FC's ranking and Elo trends, with season separators to make the evolution easier to read.
What does the strongest picks block mean for Toulouse FC?
It highlights the markets that performed best in the available history for Toulouse FC, together with sample size, hit rate and average probability.
Toulouse FC: AI analysis, predictions and Foresportia signals
For Foresportia, Toulouse FC still requires a more cautious read tied to recent form and match context. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
Toulouse FC still needs to be read through recent form, Elo and its advanced production indicators.
The next detected match is RC Lens vs Toulouse FC on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Home win” around 48%.