Logo AS Monaco

AS Monaco

Monaco

FranceLigue 12026-2027

Foresportia analyses AS Monaco using its match data and proprietary models: Elo level, recent form, probabilities, observed reliability and verifiable market signals.

Foresportia Elo
1639Ligue 1 rank : 7th
1X2 entropy
1.52Lower = easier to read
Points volatility
0.49Standard deviation over 5 matches
Recent form
0.60Points per match over 5 matches
Model confidence
53.7%Average over 10 predictions

Current analysis: AS Monaco

AS Monaco are going through a difficult run, taking 3 points from the last five recorded matches in Ligue 1. Their defense needs attention: 8 goals conceded against 5 scored. More matches this season are needed to confirm this trend.

Ligue 1 · 2026-2027 · 10 matches analyzed

View analyzed match details
Matches analyzed (up to 5)
DateGoals scoredGoals concededPoints
221
010
111
130
111

1. How Foresportia evaluates AS Monaco

Summary of indicators actually available in Foresportia data.

1639Foresportia EloLigue 1 rank : 7th
1.521X2 entropyLower = easier to read
0.49Points volatilityStandard deviation over 5 matches
0.60Recent formpoints / match
53.7%Model confidenceAverage over 10 predictions

2. Next match

Ligue 1

AS MonacoElo : 1585
VS
AJ AuxerreElo : 1460
1X2 probabilities (Foresportia model)
58%25%17%
AS Monaco 58%Draw 25%AJ Auxerre 17%
Main signalHome win · 58%
Model confidence62.6%
StabilityCorrect and above
View match details →

3. Prediction reliability for AS Monaco

Data updated on 14 November 2026

Reliability trendCumulative monthly history
Insufficient sample
Cumulative monthly historyProfileReliabilityVolume
2024-08RiskInsufficient sample1
2024-09RiskInsufficient sample4
2024-10RiskInsufficient sample7
2024-11RiskInsufficient sample9
2024-12Risk58.3%12
2025-01Risk53.3%15
2025-02Risk56.2%16
2025-03Risk55.6%18
2025-04Risk50.0%22
2025-05Risk50.0%24
2025-08Risk50.0%26
2025-09Risk50.0%28
2025-10Risk46.7%30
2025-11Risk48.4%31
2025-12Risk46.9%32
2026-01Risk47.2%36
2026-02Risk44.7%38
2026-03Risk46.2%39
2026-04Risk45.2%42
2026-05Risk43.2%44
2026-08Risk45.7%46
2026-09Risk45.8%48
2026-10Risk43.1%51
2026-11Risk41.5%53
2024-08Correct and aboveInsufficient sample1
2024-09Correct and aboveInsufficient sample2
2024-10Correct and aboveInsufficient sample2
2024-11Correct and aboveInsufficient sample3
2024-12Correct and aboveInsufficient sample4
2025-01Correct and aboveInsufficient sample4
2025-02Correct and aboveInsufficient sample8
2025-03Correct and aboveInsufficient sample9
2025-04Correct and aboveInsufficient sample9
2025-05Correct and above90.0%10
2025-08Correct and above90.9%11
2025-09Correct and above91.7%12
2025-10Correct and above92.9%14
2025-11Correct and above82.4%17
2025-12Correct and above83.3%18
2026-01Correct and above83.3%18
2026-02Correct and above85.0%20
2026-03Correct and above81.8%22
2026-04Correct and above78.3%23
2026-05Correct and above79.2%24
2026-08Correct and above79.2%24
2026-09Correct and above76.0%25
2026-10Correct and above76.0%25
2026-11Correct and above76.0%25
2024-08Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2024-09Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2024-10Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2024-11Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2024-12Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2025-01Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2025-02Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2025-03Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2025-04Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2025-05Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2025-08Stable and aboveInsufficient sample1
2025-09Stable and aboveInsufficient sample1
2025-10Stable and aboveInsufficient sample2
2025-11Stable and aboveInsufficient sample3
2025-12Stable and aboveInsufficient sample3
2026-01Stable and aboveInsufficient sample3
2026-02Stable and aboveInsufficient sample3
2026-03Stable and aboveInsufficient sample3
2026-04Stable and aboveInsufficient sample3
2026-05Stable and aboveInsufficient sample3
2026-08Stable and aboveInsufficient sample3
2026-09Stable and aboveInsufficient sample3
2026-10Stable and aboveInsufficient sample3
2026-11Stable and aboveInsufficient sample3
2024-08Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2024-09Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2024-10Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2024-11Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2024-12Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2025-01Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2025-02Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2025-03Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2025-04Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2025-05Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2025-08Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2025-09Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2025-10Ultra stableInsufficient sample2
2025-11Ultra stableInsufficient sample3
2025-12Ultra stableInsufficient sample3
2026-01Ultra stableInsufficient sample3
2026-02Ultra stableInsufficient sample3
2026-03Ultra stableInsufficient sample3
2026-04Ultra stableInsufficient sample3
2026-05Ultra stableInsufficient sample3
2026-08Ultra stableInsufficient sample3
2026-09Ultra stableInsufficient sample3
2026-10Ultra stableInsufficient sample3
2026-11Ultra stableInsufficient sample3

4. Predictive profile for AS Monaco

ContextObserved measureReading
Home performance2.08 pts/matchHigher observed return
Away performance1.30 pts/matchLower observed return

5. Statistical markers for AS Monaco

Team values from Foresportia sources, without a reconstructed league average.

Expected goals created at home1.30
Expected goals conceded at home0.85
Expected goals created away1.21
Expected goals conceded away0.93
Goals scored / match (5)1.00
Goals conceded / match (5)1.60

History: 78 verified matches

6. Market signals for AS Monaco

MarketAverage probabilityReliabilityVolumeReading
Double chance 1X70.2%76.2%21Major, well-documented signal
Double chance 1273.7%72.0%25Robust signal
Both teams to score56.8%72.2%18Success above the average probability
Double chance X268.5%58.8%17Success below the average probability
Over 2.556.0%58.8%17Recurring signal

7. Model dynamics & analysis

Foresportia Elo trendTracks the team’s relative level as matches are played.
AS Monaco
Average model confidenceShows how the model’s average certainty changes across matches.
AS Monaco
xG differential trendCompares expected goals created and conceded to track the balance of chances.
PositiveNegative
Model calibrationCompares published probabilities with the rates actually observed.
Observed ratePerfect

8. Foresportia analysis

For Foresportia, AS Monaco mainly draws value from its home edge. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.

AS Monaco still needs to be read through recent form, Elo and its advanced production indicators.

The next detected match is AS Monaco vs AJ Auxerre on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Home win” around 58%.

AI verdictHigh predictive reliability

Correct and above: 76.0% success across 25 verified 1X2 predictions.

Verify the complete history →

Continue exploring

Upcoming matches, competition, other teams and verifiable history.

View upcoming matchesBrowse upcoming fixtures and AI analysis.→Explore Ligue 1League calendar, standings and predictions.→Explore teamsBrowse analysis and profiles for other clubs.→Verify our performanceReview Foresportia’s verifiable prediction history.→

9. AS Monaco FAQ

What is the next match for AS Monaco on Foresportia?

This page shows AS Monaco's confirmed next match with the enriched prediction probabilities that are currently available.

How should you read AS Monaco's ranking and Elo?

This page includes dedicated charts for AS Monaco's ranking and Elo trends, with season separators to make the evolution easier to read.

What does the strongest picks block mean for AS Monaco?

It highlights the markets that performed best in the available history for AS Monaco, together with sample size, hit rate and average probability.

AS Monaco: AI analysis, predictions and Foresportia signals

For Foresportia, AS Monaco mainly draws value from its home edge. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.

AS Monaco still needs to be read through recent form, Elo and its advanced production indicators.

The next detected match is AS Monaco vs AJ Auxerre on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Home win” around 58%.