Foresportia Elo
1651Ligue 1 rank : 1st
AS Monaco
Monaco
Foresportia analyses AS Monaco using its match data and proprietary models: Elo level, recent form, probabilities, observed reliability and verifiable market signals.
1X2 entropy
1.50Lower = easier to readPoints volatility
0.80Standard deviation over 5 matchesRecent form
2.60Points per match over 5 matchesModel confidence
56.0%Average over 10 predictionsCurrent analysis: AS Monaco
AS Monaco have taken 13 points from five matches in Ligue 1. The team have scored 8 goals and conceded 3. It is still too early to judge their form, attack or defense from so few matches.
Ligue 1 · 2026-2027 · 5 matches analyzed
View analyzed match details
| Date | Goals scored | Goals conceded | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 3 | |
| 2 | 0 | 3 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 |
1. How Foresportia evaluates AS Monaco
Summary of indicators actually available in Foresportia data.
2. Next match
AS MonacoElo : Not available
Toulouse FCElo : Not available
3. Prediction reliability for AS Monaco
Data updated on 26 September 2026
Reliability trendCumulative monthly history
Insufficient sample| Cumulative monthly history | Profile | Reliability | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-09 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2024-10 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2024-11 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2024-12 | Risk | 58.3% | 12 |
| 2025-01 | Risk | 53.3% | 15 |
| 2025-02 | Risk | 56.2% | 16 |
| 2025-03 | Risk | 55.6% | 18 |
| 2025-04 | Risk | 50.0% | 22 |
| 2025-05 | Risk | 50.0% | 24 |
| 2025-08 | Risk | 50.0% | 26 |
| 2025-09 | Risk | 50.0% | 28 |
| 2025-10 | Risk | 46.7% | 30 |
| 2025-11 | Risk | 48.4% | 31 |
| 2025-12 | Risk | 46.9% | 32 |
| 2026-01 | Risk | 47.2% | 36 |
| 2026-02 | Risk | 44.7% | 38 |
| 2026-03 | Risk | 46.2% | 39 |
| 2026-04 | Risk | 45.2% | 42 |
| 2026-05 | Risk | 43.2% | 44 |
| 2026-08 | Risk | 45.7% | 46 |
| 2026-09 | Risk | 45.8% | 48 |
| 2024-08 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-09 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2024-10 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2024-11 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2024-12 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-01 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-02 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2025-03 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2025-04 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2025-05 | Correct and above | 90.0% | 10 |
| 2025-08 | Correct and above | 90.9% | 11 |
| 2025-09 | Correct and above | 91.7% | 12 |
| 2025-10 | Correct and above | 92.9% | 14 |
| 2025-11 | Correct and above | 82.4% | 17 |
| 2025-12 | Correct and above | 83.3% | 18 |
| 2026-01 | Correct and above | 83.3% | 18 |
| 2026-02 | Correct and above | 85.0% | 20 |
| 2026-03 | Correct and above | 81.8% | 22 |
| 2026-04 | Correct and above | 78.3% | 23 |
| 2026-05 | Correct and above | 79.2% | 24 |
| 2026-08 | Correct and above | 79.2% | 24 |
| 2026-09 | Correct and above | 76.0% | 25 |
| 2024-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-11 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-12 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-01 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-02 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-03 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-04 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-05 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-11 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-12 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2026-01 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2026-02 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2026-03 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2026-04 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2026-05 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2026-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2026-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2024-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-12 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-01 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-02 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-03 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-12 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2026-01 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2026-02 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2026-03 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2026-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2026-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2026-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2026-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
4. Predictive profile for AS Monaco
ContextObserved measureReading
Home performance2.14 pts/matchHigher observed return
Away performance1.38 pts/matchLower observed return
5. Statistical markers for AS Monaco
Team values from Foresportia sources, without a reconstructed league average.
History: 73 verified matches
6. Market signals for AS Monaco
MarketAverage probabilityReliabilityVolumeReading
Double chance 1274.1%80.0%20Major, well-documented signal
Double chance 1X71.8%70.6%17Robust signal
Both teams to score57.0%69.2%13Success above the average probability
Double chance X267.5%61.5%13Recurring signal
Over 2.555.9%61.5%13Recurring signal
7. Model dynamics & analysis
Foresportia Elo trendTracks the team’s relative level as matches are played.
AS Monaco
Average model confidenceShows how the model’s average certainty changes across matches.
AS Monaco
xG differential trendCompares expected goals created and conceded to track the balance of chances.
PositiveNegative
Model calibrationCompares published probabilities with the rates actually observed.
Observed ratePerfect
League-position trendTracks the team’s league position throughout the season.
AS Monaco
Goals scored / concededCompares goals scored and conceded using a five-match rolling average.
Goals scored / match (5)Goals conceded / match (5)
Points per matchTracks points earned per match using a five-match rolling average.
AS Monaco
8. Foresportia analysis
For Foresportia, AS Monaco mainly combines stronger recent control and a more reliable defensive base. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
AS Monaco is going through a strong control sequence, with 2.60 points per match over the last five matches and an average xG delta of 0.14.
The next confirmed match is AS Monaco vs Toulouse FC on . Probabilities will appear when an enriched prediction is available.
AI verdictHigh predictive reliability
Correct and above: 76.0% success across 25 verified 1X2 predictions.
Verify the complete history →Continue exploring
Upcoming matches, competition, other teams and verifiable history.
9. AS Monaco FAQ
What is the next match for AS Monaco on Foresportia?
This page shows AS Monaco's confirmed next match. The enriched prediction and its probabilities are not available yet.
How should you read AS Monaco's ranking and Elo?
This page includes dedicated charts for AS Monaco's ranking and Elo trends, with season separators to make the evolution easier to read.
What does the strongest picks block mean for AS Monaco?
It highlights the markets that performed best in the available history for AS Monaco, together with sample size, hit rate and average probability.
AS Monaco: AI analysis, predictions and Foresportia signals
For Foresportia, AS Monaco mainly combines stronger recent control and a more reliable defensive base. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
AS Monaco is going through a strong control sequence, with 2.60 points per match over the last five matches and an average xG delta of 0.14.
The next confirmed match is AS Monaco vs Toulouse FC on . Probabilities will appear when an enriched prediction is available.