Logo Olympique de Marseille

Olympique de Marseille

OM

FranceLigue 12026-2027

Foresportia analyses Olympique de Marseille using its match data and proprietary models: Elo level, recent form, probabilities, observed reliability and verifiable market signals.

Foresportia Elo
1608Ligue 1 rank : 6th
1X2 entropy
1.52Lower = easier to read
Points volatility
1.20Standard deviation over 5 matches
Recent form
2.40Points per match over 5 matches
Model confidence
53.1%Average over 10 predictions

Current analysis: Olympique de Marseille

Olympique de Marseille are scoring freely, but their defense is vulnerable: 14 goals scored and 8 conceded across the last five recorded matches in Ligue 1. Results have been positive over these matches, with 12 points taken from a possible 15. More matches this season are needed to confirm this trend.

Ligue 1 · 2026-2027 · 9 matches analyzed

View analyzed match details
Matches analyzed (up to 5)
DateGoals scoredGoals concededPoints
120
523
433
203
213

1. How Foresportia evaluates Olympique de Marseille

Summary of indicators actually available in Foresportia data.

1608Foresportia EloLigue 1 rank : 6th
1.521X2 entropyLower = easier to read
1.20Points volatilityStandard deviation over 5 matches
2.40Recent formpoints / match
53.1%Model confidenceAverage over 10 predictions

2. Next match

Ligue 1

Olympique de MarseilleElo : 1618
VS
Le Mans FCElo : 1508
1X2 probabilities (Foresportia model)
57%25%18%
Olympique de Marseille 57%Draw 25%Le Mans FC 18%
Main signalHome win · 57%
Model confidence63.6%
StabilityCorrect and above
View match details →

3. Prediction reliability for Olympique de Marseille

Data updated on 13 November 2026

Reliability trendCumulative monthly history
Insufficient sample
Cumulative monthly historyProfileReliabilityVolume
2024-08RiskInsufficient sample2
2024-09RiskInsufficient sample5
2024-10RiskInsufficient sample5
2024-11RiskInsufficient sample7
2024-12RiskInsufficient sample9
2025-01Risk38.5%13
2025-02Risk40.0%15
2025-03Risk35.3%17
2025-04Risk42.1%19
2025-05Risk42.9%21
2025-08Risk43.5%23
2025-09Risk44.0%25
2025-10Risk44.4%27
2025-11Risk46.4%28
2025-12Risk48.3%29
2026-01Risk45.2%31
2026-02Risk42.4%33
2026-03Risk44.4%36
2026-04Risk43.6%39
2026-05Risk45.2%42
2026-08Risk47.7%44
2026-09Risk48.9%47
2026-10Risk50.0%48
2026-11Risk50.0%50
2024-08Correct and aboveInsufficient sample1
2024-09Correct and aboveInsufficient sample1
2024-10Correct and aboveInsufficient sample4
2024-11Correct and aboveInsufficient sample5
2024-12Correct and aboveInsufficient sample6
2025-01Correct and aboveInsufficient sample6
2025-02Correct and aboveInsufficient sample8
2025-03Correct and above90.0%10
2025-04Correct and above91.7%12
2025-05Correct and above92.3%13
2025-08Correct and above92.9%14
2025-09Correct and above93.3%15
2025-10Correct and above88.2%17
2025-11Correct and above85.0%20
2025-12Correct and above85.7%21
2026-01Correct and above82.6%23
2026-02Correct and above83.3%24
2026-03Correct and above84.0%25
2026-04Correct and above84.6%26
2026-05Correct and above84.6%26
2026-08Correct and above84.6%26
2026-09Correct and above84.6%26
2026-10Correct and above85.2%27
2026-11Correct and above85.2%27
2024-08Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2024-09Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2024-10Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2024-11Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2024-12Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2025-01Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2025-02Stable and aboveInsufficient sample1
2025-03Stable and aboveInsufficient sample1
2025-04Stable and aboveInsufficient sample1
2025-05Stable and aboveInsufficient sample1
2025-08Stable and aboveInsufficient sample1
2025-09Stable and aboveInsufficient sample2
2025-10Stable and aboveInsufficient sample3
2025-11Stable and aboveInsufficient sample5
2025-12Stable and aboveInsufficient sample5
2026-01Stable and aboveInsufficient sample6
2026-02Stable and aboveInsufficient sample6
2026-03Stable and aboveInsufficient sample6
2026-04Stable and aboveInsufficient sample7
2026-05Stable and aboveInsufficient sample7
2026-08Stable and aboveInsufficient sample7
2026-09Stable and aboveInsufficient sample7
2026-10Stable and aboveInsufficient sample7
2026-11Stable and aboveInsufficient sample7
2024-08Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2024-09Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2024-10Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2024-11Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2024-12Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2025-01Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2025-02Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2025-03Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2025-04Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2025-05Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2025-08Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2025-09Ultra stableInsufficient sample2
2025-10Ultra stableInsufficient sample3
2025-11Ultra stableInsufficient sample5
2025-12Ultra stableInsufficient sample5
2026-01Ultra stableInsufficient sample6
2026-02Ultra stableInsufficient sample6
2026-03Ultra stableInsufficient sample6
2026-04Ultra stableInsufficient sample6
2026-05Ultra stableInsufficient sample6
2026-08Ultra stableInsufficient sample6
2026-09Ultra stableInsufficient sample6
2026-10Ultra stableInsufficient sample6
2026-11Ultra stableInsufficient sample6

4. Predictive profile for Olympique de Marseille

ContextObserved measureReading
Home performance2.05 pts/matchHigher observed return
Away performance1.55 pts/matchLower observed return

5. Statistical markers for Olympique de Marseille

Team values from Foresportia sources, without a reconstructed league average.

Expected goals created at home1.43
Expected goals conceded at home0.94
Expected goals created away1.23
Expected goals conceded away0.83
Goals scored / match (5)2.80
Goals conceded / match (5)1.60

History: 77 verified matches

6. Market signals for Olympique de Marseille

MarketAverage probabilityReliabilityVolumeReading
Double chance 1273.7%88.0%25Major, well-documented signal
Double chance 1X70.4%71.4%21Robust signal
Home draw no bet65.8%68.8%16Confirmed signal
Home win59.5%83.3%6Promising signal, limited sample
Over 2.554.8%55.6%18Recurring signal

7. Model dynamics & analysis

Foresportia Elo trendTracks the team’s relative level as matches are played.
Olympique de Marseille
Average model confidenceShows how the model’s average certainty changes across matches.
Olympique de Marseille
xG differential trendCompares expected goals created and conceded to track the balance of chances.
PositiveNegative
Model calibrationCompares published probabilities with the rates actually observed.
Observed ratePerfect

8. Foresportia analysis

For Foresportia, Olympique de Marseille mainly combines stronger recent control and a more reliable defensive base. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.

Olympique de Marseille is going through a strong control sequence, with 2.40 points per match over the last five matches and an average xG delta of 0.40.

The next detected match is Olympique de Marseille vs Le Mans FC on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Home win” around 57%.

AI verdictHigh predictive reliability

Correct and above: 85.2% success across 27 verified 1X2 predictions.

Verify the complete history →

Continue exploring

Upcoming matches, competition, other teams and verifiable history.

View upcoming matchesBrowse upcoming fixtures and AI analysis.→Explore Ligue 1League calendar, standings and predictions.→Explore teamsBrowse analysis and profiles for other clubs.→Verify our performanceReview Foresportia’s verifiable prediction history.→

9. Olympique de Marseille FAQ

What is the next match for Olympique de Marseille on Foresportia?

This page shows Olympique de Marseille's confirmed next match with the enriched prediction probabilities that are currently available.

How should you read Olympique de Marseille's ranking and Elo?

This page includes dedicated charts for Olympique de Marseille's ranking and Elo trends, with season separators to make the evolution easier to read.

What does the strongest picks block mean for Olympique de Marseille?

It highlights the markets that performed best in the available history for Olympique de Marseille, together with sample size, hit rate and average probability.

Olympique de Marseille: AI analysis, predictions and Foresportia signals

For Foresportia, Olympique de Marseille mainly combines stronger recent control and a more reliable defensive base. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.

Olympique de Marseille is going through a strong control sequence, with 2.40 points per match over the last five matches and an average xG delta of 0.40.

The next detected match is Olympique de Marseille vs Le Mans FC on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Home win” around 57%.