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Olympique de Marseille

OM

FranceLigue 12026-2027

Foresportia analyses Olympique de Marseille using its match data and proprietary models: Elo level, recent form, probabilities, observed reliability and verifiable market signals.

Foresportia Elo
1573Ligue 1 rank : 17th
1X2 entropy
1.53Lower = easier to read
Points volatility
1.20Standard deviation over 5 matches
Recent form
0.60Points per match over 5 matches
Model confidence
54.3%Average over 10 predictions

Current analysis: Olympique de Marseille

Olympique de Marseille have taken 3 points from five matches in Ligue 1. The team have scored 7 goals and conceded 8. It is still too early to judge their form, attack or defense from so few matches.

Ligue 1 · 2026-2027 · 5 matches analyzed

View analyzed match details
Matches analyzed (up to 5)
DateGoals scoredGoals concededPoints
403
020
230
010
120

1. How Foresportia evaluates Olympique de Marseille

Summary of indicators actually available in Foresportia data.

1573Foresportia EloLigue 1 rank : 17th
1.531X2 entropyLower = easier to read
1.20Points volatilityStandard deviation over 5 matches
0.60Recent formpoints / match
54.3%Model confidenceAverage over 10 predictions

2. Next match

Ligue 1

Estac TroyesElo : Not available
VS
Olympique de MarseilleElo : Not available
Main signal—
Model confidenceNot available
StabilityRisk
View match details →

3. Prediction reliability for Olympique de Marseille

Data updated on 22 September 2026

Reliability trendCumulative monthly history
Insufficient sample
Cumulative monthly historyProfileReliabilityVolume
2024-08RiskInsufficient sample2
2024-09RiskInsufficient sample5
2024-10RiskInsufficient sample5
2024-11RiskInsufficient sample7
2024-12RiskInsufficient sample9
2025-01Risk38.5%13
2025-02Risk40.0%15
2025-03Risk35.3%17
2025-04Risk42.1%19
2025-05Risk42.9%21
2025-08Risk43.5%23
2025-09Risk44.0%25
2025-10Risk44.4%27
2025-11Risk46.4%28
2025-12Risk48.3%29
2026-01Risk45.2%31
2026-02Risk42.4%33
2026-03Risk44.4%36
2026-04Risk43.6%39
2026-05Risk45.2%42
2026-08Risk47.7%44
2026-09Risk48.9%47
2024-08Correct and aboveInsufficient sample1
2024-09Correct and aboveInsufficient sample1
2024-10Correct and aboveInsufficient sample4
2024-11Correct and aboveInsufficient sample5
2024-12Correct and aboveInsufficient sample6
2025-01Correct and aboveInsufficient sample6
2025-02Correct and aboveInsufficient sample8
2025-03Correct and above90.0%10
2025-04Correct and above91.7%12
2025-05Correct and above92.3%13
2025-08Correct and above92.9%14
2025-09Correct and above93.3%15
2025-10Correct and above88.2%17
2025-11Correct and above85.0%20
2025-12Correct and above85.7%21
2026-01Correct and above82.6%23
2026-02Correct and above83.3%24
2026-03Correct and above84.0%25
2026-04Correct and above84.6%26
2026-05Correct and above84.6%26
2026-08Correct and above84.6%26
2026-09Correct and above84.6%26
2024-08Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2024-09Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2024-10Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2024-11Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2024-12Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2025-01Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2025-02Stable and aboveInsufficient sample1
2025-03Stable and aboveInsufficient sample1
2025-04Stable and aboveInsufficient sample1
2025-05Stable and aboveInsufficient sample1
2025-08Stable and aboveInsufficient sample1
2025-09Stable and aboveInsufficient sample2
2025-10Stable and aboveInsufficient sample3
2025-11Stable and aboveInsufficient sample5
2025-12Stable and aboveInsufficient sample5
2026-01Stable and aboveInsufficient sample6
2026-02Stable and aboveInsufficient sample6
2026-03Stable and aboveInsufficient sample6
2026-04Stable and aboveInsufficient sample7
2026-05Stable and aboveInsufficient sample7
2026-08Stable and aboveInsufficient sample7
2026-09Stable and aboveInsufficient sample7
2024-08Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2024-09Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2024-10Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2024-11Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2024-12Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2025-01Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2025-02Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2025-03Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2025-04Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2025-05Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2025-08Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2025-09Ultra stableInsufficient sample2
2025-10Ultra stableInsufficient sample3
2025-11Ultra stableInsufficient sample5
2025-12Ultra stableInsufficient sample5
2026-01Ultra stableInsufficient sample6
2026-02Ultra stableInsufficient sample6
2026-03Ultra stableInsufficient sample6
2026-04Ultra stableInsufficient sample6
2026-05Ultra stableInsufficient sample6
2026-08Ultra stableInsufficient sample6
2026-09Ultra stableInsufficient sample6

4. Predictive profile for Olympique de Marseille

ContextObserved measureReading
Home performance2.00 pts/matchHigher observed return
Away performance1.47 pts/matchLower observed return

5. Statistical markers for Olympique de Marseille

Team values from Foresportia sources, without a reconstructed league average.

Expected goals created at home1.40
Expected goals conceded at home0.94
Expected goals created away1.10
Expected goals conceded away0.85
Goals scored / match (5)1.40
Goals conceded / match (5)1.60

History: 73 verified matches

6. Market signals for Olympique de Marseille

MarketAverage probabilityReliabilityVolumeReading
Double chance 1274.0%85.0%20Major, well-documented signal
Double chance 1X69.8%76.5%17Major, well-documented signal
Home draw no bet65.6%69.2%13Confirmed signal
Home win59.2%80.0%5Promising signal, limited sample

7. Model dynamics & analysis

Foresportia Elo trendTracks the team’s relative level as matches are played.
Olympique de Marseille
Average model confidenceShows how the model’s average certainty changes across matches.
Olympique de Marseille
xG differential trendCompares expected goals created and conceded to track the balance of chances.
PositiveNegative
Model calibrationCompares published probabilities with the rates actually observed.
Observed ratePerfect

8. Foresportia analysis

For Foresportia, Olympique de Marseille mainly draws value from its home edge. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.

Olympique de Marseille still needs to be read through recent form, Elo and its advanced production indicators.

The next confirmed match is Estac Troyes vs Olympique de Marseille on . Probabilities will appear when an enriched prediction is available.

AI verdictHigh predictive reliability

Correct and above: 84.6% success across 26 verified 1X2 predictions.

Verify the complete history →

Continue exploring

Upcoming matches, competition, other teams and verifiable history.

9. Olympique de Marseille FAQ

What is the next match for Olympique de Marseille on Foresportia?

This page shows Olympique de Marseille's confirmed next match. The enriched prediction and its probabilities are not available yet.

How should you read Olympique de Marseille's ranking and Elo?

This page includes dedicated charts for Olympique de Marseille's ranking and Elo trends, with season separators to make the evolution easier to read.

What does the strongest picks block mean for Olympique de Marseille?

It highlights the markets that performed best in the available history for Olympique de Marseille, together with sample size, hit rate and average probability.

Olympique de Marseille: AI analysis, predictions and Foresportia signals

For Foresportia, Olympique de Marseille mainly draws value from its home edge. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.

Olympique de Marseille still needs to be read through recent form, Elo and its advanced production indicators.

The next confirmed match is Estac Troyes vs Olympique de Marseille on . Probabilities will appear when an enriched prediction is available.