Foresportia Elo
1498Ligue 1 rank : 17th
Estac Troyes
Foresportia analyses Estac Troyes using its match data and proprietary models: Elo level, recent form, probabilities, observed reliability and verifiable market signals.
1X2 entropy
1.53Lower = easier to readPoints volatility
1.47Standard deviation over 5 matchesRecent form
1.80Points per match over 5 matchesModel confidence
51.9%Average over 10 predictionsCurrent analysis: Estac Troyes
Estac Troyes have taken 0 points from one match in Ligue 1. The team have scored 1 goal and conceded 3. One match is not enough to judge their form, attack or defense.
Ligue 1 · 2026-2027 · 1 match analyzed
View analyzed match details
| Date | Goals scored | Goals conceded | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 0 |
1. How Foresportia evaluates Estac Troyes
Summary of indicators actually available in Foresportia data.
2. Next match
Toulouse FCElo : 1576
Estac TroyesElo : 1480
1X2 probabilities (Foresportia model)
Toulouse FC 36%Draw 31%Estac Troyes 33%
3. Prediction reliability for Estac Troyes
Data updated on 21 October 2026
Reliability trendCumulative monthly history
Insufficient sample| Cumulative monthly history | Profile | Reliability | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2024-09 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2024-10 | Risk | 63.6% | 11 |
| 2024-11 | Risk | 53.8% | 13 |
| 2024-12 | Risk | 60.0% | 15 |
| 2025-01 | Risk | 52.6% | 19 |
| 2025-02 | Risk | 60.9% | 23 |
| 2025-03 | Risk | 61.5% | 26 |
| 2025-04 | Risk | 60.0% | 30 |
| 2025-05 | Risk | 59.4% | 32 |
| 2025-08 | Risk | 61.1% | 36 |
| 2025-09 | Risk | 64.1% | 39 |
| 2025-10 | Risk | 61.9% | 42 |
| 2025-11 | Risk | 60.0% | 45 |
| 2025-12 | Risk | 60.9% | 46 |
| 2026-01 | Risk | 60.0% | 50 |
| 2026-02 | Risk | 58.5% | 53 |
| 2026-03 | Risk | 58.9% | 56 |
| 2026-04 | Risk | 56.7% | 60 |
| 2026-05 | Risk | 56.5% | 62 |
| 2026-10 | Risk | 57.1% | 63 |
| 2024-08 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-09 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-10 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-11 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-12 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-01 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-02 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-03 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-04 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-05 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-08 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-09 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-10 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-11 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-12 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2026-01 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2026-02 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2026-03 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2026-04 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2026-05 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2026-10 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2024-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-11 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-12 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-01 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-02 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-03 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-04 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-05 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-11 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-12 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2026-01 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2026-02 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2026-03 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2026-04 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2026-05 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2026-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2024-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-12 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-01 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-02 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-03 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-12 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-01 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-02 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-03 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
4. Predictive profile for Estac Troyes
ContextObserved measureReading
Home performance1.94 pts/matchHigher observed return
Away performance1.26 pts/matchLower observed return
5. Statistical markers for Estac Troyes
Team values from Foresportia sources, without a reconstructed league average.
History: 69 verified matches
6. Market signals for Estac Troyes
MarketAverage probabilityReliabilityVolumeReading
Double chance 1270.4%85.7%21Major, well-documented signal
Double chance 1X67.7%60.0%20Recurring signal
Double chance X263.8%55.0%20Success below the average probability
Over 2.552.0%66.7%6Promising signal, limited sample
7. Model dynamics & analysis
Foresportia Elo trendTracks the team’s relative level as matches are played.
Estac Troyes
Average model confidenceShows how the model’s average certainty changes across matches.
Estac Troyes
xG differential trendCompares expected goals created and conceded to track the balance of chances.
PositiveNegative
Model calibrationCompares published probabilities with the rates actually observed.
Observed ratePerfect
League-position trendTracks the team’s league position throughout the season.
Estac Troyes
Goals scored / concededCompares goals scored and conceded using a five-match rolling average.
Goals scored / match (5)Goals conceded / match (5)
Points per matchTracks points earned per match using a five-match rolling average.
Estac Troyes
8. Foresportia analysis
For Foresportia, Estac Troyes mainly relies on a more reliable defensive base. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
Estac Troyes currently relies on a more reliable defensive base, conceding only 0.80 goals per match recently.
The next detected match is Toulouse FC vs Estac Troyes on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Home win” around 36%.
Continue exploring
Upcoming matches, competition, other teams and verifiable history.
9. Estac Troyes FAQ
What is the next match for Estac Troyes on Foresportia?
This page shows Estac Troyes's confirmed next match with the enriched prediction probabilities that are currently available.
How should you read Estac Troyes's ranking and Elo?
This page includes dedicated charts for Estac Troyes's ranking and Elo trends, with season separators to make the evolution easier to read.
What does the strongest picks block mean for Estac Troyes?
It highlights the markets that performed best in the available history for Estac Troyes, together with sample size, hit rate and average probability.
Estac Troyes: AI analysis, predictions and Foresportia signals
For Foresportia, Estac Troyes mainly relies on a more reliable defensive base. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
Estac Troyes currently relies on a more reliable defensive base, conceding only 0.80 goals per match recently.
The next detected match is Toulouse FC vs Estac Troyes on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Home win” around 36%.