Relative strengthAdvantage SL Benfica
Prediction for SL Benfica vs Gil Vicente FC
SL BenficaView team →WWWWD67.3%SL Benfica
22.4%Draw
10.2%Gil Vicente FC
Gil Vicente FCView team →LDWWLVERDICTClear edge for SL Benfica
Foresportia's analysis estimates that SL Benfica has the advantage based on the 1X2 probabilities. The models give SL Benfica a clear edge in the 1X2 reading. The more protective signal remains double chance 1X at 89.8%, rather than the straight 1X2 pick. Confidence reflects how clear the signal is for this match; stability reflects its historical robustness.
1X2 STABILITYStable The stability badge measures the historical robustness of the 1X2 signal.Model confidence 69.1%
ROBUST ALTERNATIVEDouble chance 1X · 89.8%A more protective scenario than the straight 1X2 pick.
Why the model sees it this way
Recent formAdvantage SL Benfica
Goal profileIntermediate goal profile
Signal stabilityHigh
Model confidenceHigh
Probabilities & verdict
SL Benfica67.3%Draw22.4%
Gil Vicente FC10.2%Main pickSL Benfica
1X2 STABILITYStable
Model confidence69.1%
1X2 alternatives
| Market | Pick | Probability | Reading |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 89.8% | Most robust signal |
| Draw no bet | SL Benfica | 86.8% | Solid |
| Total goals | Over 2.5 | 54.4% | Neutral |
| Both teams to score | No | 51.7% | Neutral |
| Total goals | Over 1.5 | 75.3% | Solid |
How the match could unfold
Expected goals (xG)1.99SL Benfica
Total xG2.69
Expected goals (xG)0.69Gil Vicente FC
Under 2.5 probability45.6%
BTTS No probability51.7%
Top 5 likely scores
2 - 113.1%1 - 012.8%2 - 010.4%1 - 19.7%3 - 09.3%
Advanced scenarios
SL BenficaGil Vicente FC46.9%
Clean sheet13%
38.7%
Win to nil4.8%
40.4%
Win by 2 goals or more1.9%
Team comparison
2ndCurrent position7th
1806Elo1541
WWWWDForm (last 5)LDWWL
3.6Goals scored / match (5)0.6
0.6Goals conceded / match (5)0.8
60.0Clean sheets (5)60.0
Prediction reliability
The signal belongs to a historically stable profile, without guaranteeing the outcome.
HISTORICAL PERFORMANCEStable profile
86.7%
86.7% correct predictions
over 165 verified matches
HISTORICAL SUCCESS RATE
Quick FAQ
What is the prediction for SL Benfica vs Gil Vicente FC?
The Foresportia model gives SL Benfica a clear edge at 67.3%. This estimate does not guarantee the final result.
What is the likely score?
The model's first score scenario is 2 - 1 (13.10%). An exact score remains one scenario among several.
Is BTTS likely?
The model estimates BTTS Yes at 48.3% and BTTS No at 51.7%.
Which market is the most cautious according to the model?
Double chance 1X stands at 89.8%, without being certain.
Explore more on Foresportia
Our commitment
◇ Predictions archived before kick-off
◇ No invented data
What the data says about SL Benfica vs Gil Vicente FC
This Liga Portugal fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.
Before kick-off, SL Benfica sits 2nd and Gil Vicente FC 7th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1806 for SL Benfica and 1541 for Gil Vicente FC.
Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 86.7% for SL Benfica and 46.7% for Gil Vicente FC. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.
According to probabilities calculated by Foresportia, the 1X2 projection gives SL Benfica 67.3%, the draw 22.4% and Gil Vicente FC 10.2%. The expected-goals model projects 1.99 xG against 0.69, for a combined 2.69. The most likely score according to Foresportia is 2–1 at 13.1%.