Relative strengthAdvantage Gil Vicente FC
Prediction for Gil Vicente FC vs Casa Pia AC
Gil Vicente FCView team →WLLDW47.3%Gil Vicente FC
31.3%Draw
21.4%Casa Pia AC
Casa Pia ACView team →LLWDDVERDICTGil Vicente FC favourite
The models give Gil Vicente FC a clear edge in the 1X2 reading. The stability level still calls for a cautious reading. The more protective signal remains double chance 1X at 78.5%, rather than the straight 1X2 pick.
1X2 STABILITYRisk
Model confidence 54%
ROBUST ALTERNATIVEDouble chance 1X · 78.5%A more protective scenario than the straight 1X2 pick.
Why the model sees it this way
Recent formSlight edge for Gil Vicente FC
Goal profileRather low-scoring
Signal stabilityLow
Model confidenceModerate
Probabilities & verdict
Gil Vicente FC47.3%Draw31.3%
Casa Pia AC21.4%Main pickGil Vicente FC
1X2 STABILITYRisk
Model confidence54%
1X2 alternatives
MarketPickProbabilityReading
Double chance1X78.5%Most robust signal
Draw no betGil Vicente FC68.8%Solid
Total goalsUnder 2.554.8%Neutral
Both teams to scoreYes50.1%Neutral
Total goalsUnder 3.579.5%Solid
How the match could unfold
Expected goals (xG)1.43Gil Vicente FC
Total xG2.33
Expected goals (xG)0.90Casa Pia AC
Under 2.5 probability54.8%
BTTS No probability49.9%
Top 5 likely scores
1 - 012.9%1 - 112.5%0 - 012.3%2 - 112.1%0 - 17.5%
Advanced scenarios
Gil Vicente FCCasa Pia AC38.9%
Clean sheet23.4%
26.5%
Win to nil11%
21.7%
Win by 2 goals or more5.8%
Team comparison
8thCurrent position18th
1512Elo1434
WLLDWForm (last 5)LLWDD
0.8Goals scored / match (5)0.6
1.4Goals conceded / match (5)1.8
40.0Clean sheets (5)40.0
Prediction reliability
This match carries more uncertainty than average. Our models therefore reduce confidence slightly.
HISTORICAL PERFORMANCERisk profile
43%
43% correct predictions
over 377 verified matches
HISTORICAL SUCCESS RATE
Quick FAQ
What is the prediction for Gil Vicente FC vs Casa Pia AC?
The model sees an open match and gives Gil Vicente FC a slight edge at 47.3%; caution is appropriate.
What is the likely score?
The model's first score scenario is 1 - 0 (12.90%). An exact score remains one scenario among several.
Is BTTS likely?
The model estimates BTTS Yes at 50.1% and BTTS No at 49.9%.
Which market is the most cautious according to the model?
Double chance 1X stands at 78.5%, without being certain.
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Our commitment
◇ Predictions archived before kick-off
◇ No invented data
What the data says about Gil Vicente FC vs Casa Pia AC
This Liga Portugal fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.
Before kick-off, Gil Vicente FC sits 8th and Casa Pia AC 18th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1512 for Gil Vicente FC and 1434 for Casa Pia AC.
Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 46.7% for Gil Vicente FC and 33.3% for Casa Pia AC. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.
The 1X2 projection gives Gil Vicente FC 47.3%, the draw 31.3% and Casa Pia AC 21.4%. The expected-goals model projects 1.43 xG against 0.90, for a combined 2.33.