Premier League · Scheduled

Prediction for Newcastle United vs FC Liverpool

Premier League AI analysis, 1X2 probabilities and likely score.

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Newcastle United

Standing#9

Elo rating1532

Form index46.7%

Last 5 matches
LWDWL

Expected goals1.24

ScheduledVS

FC Liverpool

Standing#6

Elo rating1564

Form index33.3%

Last 5 matches
DLDLW

Expected goals1.55

Quick read

  • Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for FC Liverpool at 43%, so caution is advised.
  • Confidence levelRisk
  • Cautious marketDouble chance X2 · 70.7%
  • Likely score1 - 2 (10.89%)
  • BTTSYes · 58.9%
  • Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 55.5%

1X2 probabilities

AI prediction updated with the latest available data.

Newcastle United29.3%
Draw27.7%
FC Liverpool43%

Main pickFC Liverpool43%

Confidence39.8%

StabilityRisk

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Expected goals and trends

Newcastle United1.24
Expected total2.79
FC Liverpool1.55
55.5%Over 2.5

Over 55.5% Under 44.5%

58.9%BTTS

Yes 58.9% No 41.1%

Double chance

Available markets

1X57%
X270.7%
1272.3%

Top 5 likely scores

  1. Likely score 1 - 210.9%
  2. Likely score 1 - 110.8%
  3. Likely score 0 - 19.1%
  4. Likely score 0 - 08.9%
  5. Likely score 2 - 18.5%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

Newcastle United 21.6%FC Liverpool 28.4%

Draw no bet

Newcastle United 40.5%FC Liverpool 59.5%

Win to nil

Newcastle United 12.6%FC Liverpool 19.5%

Win by 2+ goals

Newcastle United 10.9%FC Liverpool 20.1%

Newcastle United vs FC Liverpool prediction FAQ

What is the prediction for Newcastle United vs FC Liverpool?

The model sees an open match and gives FC Liverpool a slight edge at 43%; caution is appropriate.

What is the likely score?

The model's first score scenario is 1 - 2 (10.89%). An exact score remains one scenario among several.

Is BTTS likely?

The model estimates BTTS Yes at 58.9% and BTTS No at 41.1%.

Which market is the most cautious according to the model?

Double chance X2 stands at 70.7%, without being certain.

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Premier League

What the data says about Newcastle United vs FC Liverpool

This Premier League fixture belongs to a high-tempo competition where squad depth, current form and efficiency in both boxes carry significant weight.

Before kick-off, Newcastle United sits 9th and FC Liverpool 6th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1532 for Newcastle United and 1564 for FC Liverpool.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 46.7% for Newcastle United and 33.3% for FC Liverpool. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives Newcastle United 29.3%, the draw 27.7% and FC Liverpool 43%. The expected-goals model projects 1.24 xG against 1.55, for a combined 2.79.