Newcastle United
Standing#9
Elo rating1532
Form index46.7%
Expected goals1.51
AFC Bournemouth
Standing#16
Elo rating1596
Form index60%
Expected goals1.12
Quick read
- Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for Newcastle United at 45%, so caution is advised.
- Confidence levelRisk
- Cautious marketDouble chance 1X · 73.3%
- Likely score1 - 1 (11.76%)
- BTTSYes · 56.5%
- Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 52.1%
First AI projection
This early estimate is published ahead of the match. Probabilities may change with recent form, injuries, line-ups, scheduling and newly available data.
Main pickNewcastle United45%
Confidence57.5%
StabilityRisk
Expected goals and trends
Over 52.1% Under 47.9%
Yes 56.5% No 43.5%
Double chance
Available markets
Top 5 likely scores
- Likely score 1 - 1 — 11.8%
- Likely score 2 - 1 — 11.5%
- Likely score 1 - 0 — 10.3%
- Likely score 0 - 0 — 9.7%
- Likely score 1 - 2 — 8.2%
Advanced scenarios
Clean sheet
Draw no bet
Win to nil
Win by 2+ goals
Newcastle United vs AFC Bournemouth early projection FAQ
What does the first AI projection say about Newcastle United vs AFC Bournemouth?
The early estimate gives Newcastle United a slight edge at 45%. This probability may change before the match.
Why can this estimate change?
Recent form, injuries, line-ups, fixture congestion and newly available data will be included in later updates.
Is an early likely score available?
The first calculated scenario is 1 - 1 (11.76%), but this is an early estimate that may change.
More football tools and analysis
Check today's matches and updated results, compare standings and team form, then explore more fixtures and AI analysis from this league.
Premier League
What the data says about Newcastle United vs AFC Bournemouth
This Premier League fixture belongs to a high-tempo competition where squad depth, current form and efficiency in both boxes carry significant weight.
Before kick-off, Newcastle United sits 9th and AFC Bournemouth 16th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1532 for Newcastle United and 1596 for AFC Bournemouth.
Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 46.7% for Newcastle United and 60% for AFC Bournemouth. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.
The 1X2 projection gives Newcastle United 45%, the draw 28.3% and AFC Bournemouth 26.6%. The expected-goals model projects 1.51 xG against 1.12, for a combined 2.63.