Premier League · Scheduled

Prediction for Manchester City vs AFC Bournemouth

Premier League AI analysis, 1X2 probabilities and likely score.

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Manchester City

Standing#7

Elo rating1675

Form index53.3%

Last 5 matches
LDWWD

Expected goals1.86

ScheduledVS

AFC Bournemouth

Standing#16

Elo rating1596

Form index60%

Last 5 matches
DDWWD

Expected goals0.80

Quick read

  • Main predictionEdge for Manchester City at 62.3%, with no guarantee of the outcome.
  • Confidence levelStable
  • Cautious marketDouble chance 1X · 86.3%
  • Likely score2 - 1 (13.06%)
  • BTTSYes · 51.8%
  • Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 53.1%

1X2 probabilities

AI prediction updated with the latest available data.

Manchester City62.3%
Draw24%
AFC Bournemouth13.7%

Main pickManchester City62.3%

Confidence78.7%

StabilityStable

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Expected goals and trends

Manchester City1.86
Expected total2.66
AFC Bournemouth0.80
53.1%Over 2.5

Over 53.1% Under 46.9%

51.8%BTTS

Yes 51.8% No 48.2%

Double chance

Available markets

1X86.3%
X237.7%
1276%

Top 5 likely scores

  1. Likely score 2 - 113.1%
  2. Likely score 1 - 012.3%
  3. Likely score 1 - 111%
  4. Likely score 2 - 09.2%
  5. Likely score 0 - 08.6%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

Manchester City 42%AFC Bournemouth 14.8%

Draw no bet

Manchester City 82%AFC Bournemouth 18%

Win to nil

Manchester City 33.4%AFC Bournemouth 6.2%

Win by 2+ goals

Manchester City 34.7%AFC Bournemouth 3%

Manchester City vs AFC Bournemouth prediction FAQ

What is the prediction for Manchester City vs AFC Bournemouth?

The model gives Manchester City the edge at 62.3%, with no certainty about the final result.

What is the likely score?

The model's first score scenario is 2 - 1 (13.06%). An exact score remains one scenario among several.

Is BTTS likely?

The model estimates BTTS Yes at 51.8% and BTTS No at 48.2%.

Which market is the most cautious according to the model?

Double chance 1X stands at 86.3%, without being certain.

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Premier League

What the data says about Manchester City vs AFC Bournemouth

This Premier League fixture belongs to a high-tempo competition where squad depth, current form and efficiency in both boxes carry significant weight.

Before kick-off, Manchester City sits 7th and AFC Bournemouth 16th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1675 for Manchester City and 1596 for AFC Bournemouth.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 53.3% for Manchester City and 60% for AFC Bournemouth. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives Manchester City 62.3%, the draw 24% and AFC Bournemouth 13.7%. The expected-goals model projects 1.86 xG against 0.80, for a combined 2.66.