Premier League · Scheduled

First AI projection for Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest

First AI projection for this Premier League fixture. This early estimate may change closer to kick-off.

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Aston Villa

Standing#2

Elo rating1570

Form index46.7%

Last 5 matches
WWDLL

Expected goals1.46

ScheduledVS

Nottingham Forest

Standing#19

Elo rating1549

Form index53.3%

Last 5 matches
DLDWW

Expected goals1.06

Match context to watch
Line-ups to watchBusy schedule

Quick read

  • Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for Aston Villa at 44.9%, so caution is advised.
  • Confidence levelRisk
  • Cautious marketDouble chance 1X · 74.1%
  • Likely score1 - 1 (12.31%)
  • BTTSYes · 54.7%
  • Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5 · 50.5%

First AI projection

This early estimate is published ahead of the match. Probabilities may change with recent form, injuries, line-ups, scheduling and newly available data.

Aston Villa44.9%
Draw29.2%
Nottingham Forest25.9%

Main pickAston Villa44.9%

Confidence59%

StabilityRisk

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Expected goals and trends

Aston Villa1.46
Expected total2.52
Nottingham Forest1.06
49.5%Over 2.5

Over 49.5% Under 50.5%

54.7%BTTS

Yes 54.7% No 45.3%

Double chance

Available markets

1X74.1%
X255.1%
1270.8%

Top 5 likely scores

  1. Likely score 1 - 112.3%
  2. Likely score 2 - 111.5%
  3. Likely score 1 - 010.9%
  4. Likely score 0 - 010.6%
  5. Likely score 1 - 28%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

Aston Villa 33.1%Nottingham Forest 22.8%

Draw no bet

Aston Villa 63.4%Nottingham Forest 36.6%

Win to nil

Aston Villa 22.4%Nottingham Forest 12.2%

Win by 2+ goals

Aston Villa 20.1%Nottingham Forest 8.3%

Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest early projection FAQ

What does the first AI projection say about Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest?

The early estimate gives Aston Villa a slight edge at 44.9%. This probability may change before the match.

Why can this estimate change?

Recent form, injuries, line-ups, fixture congestion and newly available data will be included in later updates.

Is an early likely score available?

The first calculated scenario is 1 - 1 (12.31%), but this is an early estimate that may change.

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Premier League

What the data says about Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest

This Premier League fixture belongs to a high-tempo competition where squad depth, current form and efficiency in both boxes carry significant weight.

Before kick-off, Aston Villa sits 2nd and Nottingham Forest 19th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1570 for Aston Villa and 1549 for Nottingham Forest.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 46.7% for Aston Villa and 53.3% for Nottingham Forest. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives Aston Villa 44.9%, the draw 29.2% and Nottingham Forest 25.9%. The expected-goals model projects 1.46 xG against 1.06, for a combined 2.52.