
Aston Villa
Standing#2
Elo rating1570
Form index46.7%
Expected goals1.46

Nottingham Forest
Standing#19
Elo rating1549
Form index53.3%
Expected goals1.06
Quick read
- Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for Aston Villa at 44.9%, so caution is advised.
- Confidence levelRisk
- Cautious marketDouble chance 1X · 74.1%
- Likely score1 - 1 (12.31%)
- BTTSYes · 54.7%
- Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5 · 50.5%
First AI projection
This early estimate is published ahead of the match. Probabilities may change with recent form, injuries, line-ups, scheduling and newly available data.
Main pickAston Villa44.9%
Confidence59%
StabilityRisk
Expected goals and trends
Over 49.5% Under 50.5%
Yes 54.7% No 45.3%
Double chance
Available markets
Top 5 likely scores
- Likely score 1 - 1 — 12.3%
- Likely score 2 - 1 — 11.5%
- Likely score 1 - 0 — 10.9%
- Likely score 0 - 0 — 10.6%
- Likely score 1 - 2 — 8%
Advanced scenarios
Clean sheet
Draw no bet
Win to nil
Win by 2+ goals
Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest early projection FAQ
What does the first AI projection say about Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest?
The early estimate gives Aston Villa a slight edge at 44.9%. This probability may change before the match.
Why can this estimate change?
Recent form, injuries, line-ups, fixture congestion and newly available data will be included in later updates.
Is an early likely score available?
The first calculated scenario is 1 - 1 (12.31%), but this is an early estimate that may change.
More football tools and analysis
Check today's matches and updated results, compare standings and team form, then explore more fixtures and AI analysis from this league.
Premier League
What the data says about Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest
This Premier League fixture belongs to a high-tempo competition where squad depth, current form and efficiency in both boxes carry significant weight.
Before kick-off, Aston Villa sits 2nd and Nottingham Forest 19th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1570 for Aston Villa and 1549 for Nottingham Forest.
Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 46.7% for Aston Villa and 53.3% for Nottingham Forest. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.
The 1X2 projection gives Aston Villa 44.9%, the draw 29.2% and Nottingham Forest 25.9%. The expected-goals model projects 1.46 xG against 1.06, for a combined 2.52.