Ligue 1 · Scheduled

First AI projection for AS Monaco vs Olympique de Marseille

First AI projection for this Ligue 1 fixture. This early estimate may change closer to kick-off.

Follow AS Monaco vs Olympique de Marseille and today's matchesAll Ligue 1 predictions
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AS Monaco

Standing#3

Elo rating1588

Form index33.3%

Last 5 matches
LLWDD

Expected goals1.48

ScheduledVS

Quick read

  • Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for AS Monaco at 40.5%, so caution is advised.
  • Confidence levelRisk
  • Cautious marketDouble chance 1X · 67.9%
  • Likely score1 - 1 (11.07%)
  • BTTSYes · 59.4%
  • Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 55.7%

First AI projection

This early estimate is published ahead of the match. Probabilities may change with recent form, injuries, line-ups, scheduling and newly available data.

AS Monaco40.5%
Draw27.4%
Olympique de Marseille32.1%

Main pickAS Monaco40.5%

Confidence57.7%

StabilityRisk

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Expected goals and trends

AS Monaco1.48
Expected total2.78
Olympique de Marseille1.30
55.7%Over 2.5

Over 55.7% Under 44.3%

59.4%BTTS

Yes 59.4% No 40.6%

Double chance

Available markets

1X67.9%
X259.5%
1272.6%

Top 5 likely scores

  1. Likely score 1 - 1 — 11.1%
  2. Likely score 2 - 1 — 10.8%
  3. Likely score 1 - 2 — 9.3%
  4. Likely score 1 - 0 — 8.7%
  5. Likely score 0 - 0 — 8.5%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

AS Monaco 26.7%Olympique de Marseille 22.4%

Draw no bet

AS Monaco 55.8%Olympique de Marseille 44.2%

Win to nil

AS Monaco 18.2%Olympique de Marseille 13.9%

Win by 2+ goals

AS Monaco 18.1%Olympique de Marseille 12.5%

AS Monaco vs Olympique de Marseille early projection FAQ

What does the first AI projection say about AS Monaco vs Olympique de Marseille?

The early estimate gives AS Monaco a slight edge at 40.5%. This probability may change before the match.

Why can this estimate change?

Recent form, injuries, line-ups, fixture congestion and newly available data will be included in later updates.

Is an early likely score available?

The first calculated scenario is 1 - 1 (11.07%), but this is an early estimate that may change.

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More football tools and analysis

Check today's matches and updated results, compare standings and team form, then explore more fixtures and AI analysis from this league.

Ligue 1

What the data says about AS Monaco vs Olympique de Marseille

This fixture is part of the French top flight, where league position, recent momentum and chance conversion help frame the balance of power.

Before kick-off, AS Monaco sits 3rd and Olympique de Marseille 11th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1588 for AS Monaco and 1549 for Olympique de Marseille.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 33.3% for AS Monaco and 46.7% for Olympique de Marseille. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives AS Monaco 40.5%, the draw 27.4% and Olympique de Marseille 32.1%. The expected-goals model projects 1.48 xG against 1.30, for a combined 2.78.