Besta deild · AI predictions

Besta deild predictions

Explore the next Besta deild predictions: 1X2 probabilities, double chance, BTTS, Over/Under, likely score and verified reliability.

See the predictions Besta deild results and analysis

Data updated:

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Match calendar

Choose a day to view its fixtures, results and available predictions.

August 2026

Fixture onlyPrediction availableResult available
MTWTFSS
12
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11121314
1819202122
2526272829

Calendar updated

Show the full match list
  1. Fram Reykjavik – KR Reykjavik (Result available)
  2. Thor Akureyri – Keflavik (Result available)
  3. FH hafnarfjordur – Vikingur Reykjavik (Prediction available)
  4. KR Reykjavik – Breidablik (Prediction available)
  5. IBV Vestmannaeyjar – IA Akranes (Prediction available)
  6. Valur Reykjavik – KA Akureyri (Prediction available)
  7. Fram Reykjavik – Stjarnan (Prediction available)
  8. IA Akranes – FH hafnarfjordur (Prediction available)
  9. KA Akureyri – KR Reykjavik (Prediction available)
  10. Keflavik – IBV Vestmannaeyjar (Prediction available)
  11. Stjarnan – Thor Akureyri (Prediction available)
  12. Breidablik – Fram Reykjavik (Fixture only)
  13. IBV Vestmannaeyjar – Thor Akureyri (Fixture only)
  14. Fram Reykjavik – KA Akureyri (Fixture only)
  15. FH hafnarfjordur – Keflavik (Fixture only)
  16. KR Reykjavik – Vikingur Reykjavik (Fixture only)
  17. Valur Reykjavik – IA Akranes (Fixture only)
  18. Breidablik – Stjarnan (Fixture only)
  19. Vikingur Reykjavik – Valur Reykjavik (Fixture only)
  20. IA Akranes – KR Reykjavik (Fixture only)
  21. KA Akureyri – Breidablik (Fixture only)
  22. Keflavik – Valur Reykjavik (Fixture only)
  23. Stjarnan – IBV Vestmannaeyjar (Fixture only)
  24. Thor Akureyri – FH hafnarfjordur (Fixture only)
  25. Vikingur Reykjavik – Fram Reykjavik (Fixture only)

Upcoming Besta deild matches analysed

Upcoming fixtures with date, AI reading, quick insights and direct access to the full analysis.

16 August 2026
FH hafnarfjordur Vikingur Reykjavik
AI prediction Vikingur Reykjavik win Risk Prob. 53%
View analysis
Quick insights
1X2 probabilities
1FH hafnarfjordur20%
XDraw27%
2Vikingur Reykjavik53%
Key markets
Double ChanceX2 · 80%
DNBVikingur Reykjavik · 72%
Likely score1-2
BTTS61%
Over 2.560%
Under 2.540%
16 August 2026
IBV Vestmannaeyjar IA Akranes
AI prediction IBV Vestmannaeyjar win Risk Prob. 38%
View analysis
Quick insights
1X2 probabilities
1IBV Vestmannaeyjar38%
XDraw31%
2IA Akranes32%
Key markets
Double Chance12 · 69%
DNBIBV Vestmannaeyjar · 54%
Likely score2-1
BTTS62%
Over 2.558%
Under 2.542%
16 August 2026
KR Reykjavik Breidablik
AI prediction Breidablik win Risk Prob. 39%
View analysis
Quick insights
1X2 probabilities
1KR Reykjavik35%
XDraw26%
2Breidablik39%
Key markets
Double Chance12 · 74%
DNBBreidablik · 53%
Likely score1-2
BTTS65%
Over 2.568%
Under 2.532%
17 August 2026
Valur Reykjavik KA Akureyri
AI prediction Valur Reykjavik win Risk Prob. 48%
View analysis
Quick insights
1X2 probabilities
1Valur Reykjavik48%
XDraw28%
2KA Akureyri23%
Key markets
Double Chance1X · 77%
DNBValur Reykjavik · 68%
Likely score2-1
BTTS62%
Over 2.560%
Under 2.540%

+ 5 more Besta deild matches to explore →

70%Observed reliabilityStable and Very stable badges · 10 matches · 2026
87%Double chanceUltra high performance mode · 46 matches
96Matches verifiedpredictions checked

Figures are recomputed from public history. Match-by-match detail remains verifiable on past results.

Latest verified results

Predictions are archived before kick-off, then checked against the real score.

27 July 2026
KA Akureyri0 – 0Thor Akureyri
AI predictionKA Akureyri win · 61%✗ Missed
24 July 2026
Vikingur Reykjavik5 – 1Keflavik
AI predictionVikingur Reykjavik win · 69%✓ Correct
18 July 2026
Thor Akureyri2 – 1Vikingur Reykjavik
AI predictionVikingur Reykjavik win · 85%✗ Missed
12 July 2026
Fram Reykjavik6 – 1Thor Akureyri
AI predictionFram Reykjavik win · 67%✓ Correct
2 July 2026
Vikingur Reykjavik3 – 2KA Akureyri
AI predictionVikingur Reykjavik win · 69%✓ Correct

See verified AI results for Besta deild

Reliability, badge by badge

Each prediction is archived before kick-off, then checked against the final score. Unplayed matches are excluded from these rates.

ProfileAccuracyVolumeScope
Very stable Insufficient volume 3 matches verified Very stable badge
Stable and better 70% 7 predictions landed out of 10 matches Stable and Very stable badges
Correct and better 75% 15 predictions landed out of 20 matches Correct, Stable and Very stable badges

The breakdown of every profile, including matches rated at risk, stays fully transparent on past results.

Beyond 1X2: BTTS, Over/Under and correct score

The model also covers Besta deild goal markets. For each market, this page keeps the best available mode among Performance, High performance and Ultra high performance over the 2026 season, with a minimum volume guard.

Double chance87%Ultra high performance mode · 46 matches

Cover two outcomes out of three (1X, X2 or 12): the model's safest call.

Over / Under 2.570%High performance mode · 80 matches

More or fewer than 2.5 goals: the model decides from its goal simulations.

BTTS70.9%High performance mode · 79 matches

Both teams to score: an estimated probability for every fixture.

Correct score26%final score in the top 5 · 96 matches

The 5 most likely scores are simulated; the top one lands 7.3% of the time.

Reading a Besta deild prediction in 3 steps
  1. The badge first From Very stable to Correct, the badge sums up the model's confidence. Its real win rate per profile is shown above: that's the main cue.
  2. Then the probability A 55% favourite still loses almost one match in two. Probabilities quantify uncertainty, they don't remove it.
  3. The right market last Tight match? Double chance or BTTS are often more relevant than a plain 1X2. The likely score shows the dominant scenario.

The full methodology (Elo, goal simulations, calibration, context) is explained on the AI football prediction page.

Go further

Besta deild results & predictionsThe full interactive page: rounds, markets, filters. →Besta deild statisticsStandings, ELO and competition context. →Team pagesForm, ELO and upcoming fixtures for tracked teams. →All league predictionsBack to the predictions hub for every covered competition. →Top AI picksThe day's selection across all competitions. →Verified past resultsThe full 1X2 history to check reliability. →AI & football predictionThe model's methodology, step by step. →Matches by dateExplore every match on a given day. →Free AI football predictionsThe entry hub: which tool for which need. →

FAQ – Besta deild AI predictions

Where can I find today's reliable, free Besta deild predictions?

This page gathers the AI Besta deild predictions from Foresportia (the Icelandic top flight): 1X2 probabilities, likely score, goal markets (BTTS, Over/Under) and a stability badge for every match, no sign-up. The full history is verifiable on the past results page.

How good is a “Very stable” prediction in Besta deild?

The stability badge rates each prediction on how clear the favourite is and how clean the context (stakes, rotation, derby). The more stable the badge, the more often the prediction lands. The Very stable sample is still too small in this league to publish a robust rate; Foresportia prioritises profiles with enough verified matches.

Are there BTTS and Over/Under predictions for Besta deild too?

Yes. For every match the model estimates the probability that both teams score (BTTS) and that the game goes over or under 2.5 goals, on top of 1X2 and double chance. Over the 2026 season, the model's Over/Under 2.5 side in High performance mode landed 70% of the time and its favourite double chance in Ultra high performance mode landed 87% of the time.

How is the most likely correct score computed?

The model simulates each team's goal distribution (calibrated Poisson/lambda) and derives the five most likely scores of the match. Over the 2026 season, the final score was in that top 5 for 26% of Besta deild matches.

What do the 1X2 probabilities mean?

For each match three probabilities are estimated: home win (1), draw (X) and away win (2). They sum to 100%. A 60% probability means that, over many similar matches, the outcome would occur about 6 times out of 10.

Can an AI predict a Besta deild match with certainty?

No. Football is a low-scoring sport where randomness is structural. A serious AI quantifies that uncertainty instead of hiding it: that's the whole point of probabilities and the stability badge.

Besta deild AI predictions: probabilities, goal markets and verifiable reliability

For every Besta deild match Foresportia publishes a free AI prediction: 1X2 probabilities, double chance, BTTS, Over/Under 2.5, most likely correct score and a stability badge. Each prediction is archived then checked against the real score, so you can freely verify the model's reliability, season after season, with no sign-up.