Besta deild · AI predictions
Besta deild predictions: AI tips and probabilities for every match
Every Besta deild match, made simple: AI prediction, 1X2 probabilities, double chance, BTTS, Over/Under 2.5 and the most likely correct score — with reliability measured on real results.
Data last updated:
Figures recomputed automatically from public history; displayed market stats keep the best available mode with enough volume. Match-by-match detail remains verifiable on past results.
Upcoming Besta deild matches analysed
For each fixture: the AI prediction, 1X2 probabilities, the likely score and goal trends (BTTS, Over/Under 2.5).
Thor Akureyri – IBV Vestmannaeyjar
IBV Vestmannaeyjar win
47%
Likely score 1-1BTTS 49%Over 2.5 43%Under 2.5 57%
Keflavik – FH hafnarfjordur
Keflavik win
36%
Likely score 1-1BTTS 58%Over 2.5 53%Under 2.5 47%
KA Akureyri – Fram Reykjavik
Fram Reykjavik win
34%
Likely score 1-1BTTS 53%Over 2.5 46%Under 2.5 54%
IA Akranes – Valur Reykjavik
Valur Reykjavik win
49%
Likely score 1-2BTTS 61%Over 2.5 60%Under 2.5 40%
Stjarnan – Breidablik
Breidablik win
45%
Likely score 1-2BTTS 61%Over 2.5 59%Under 2.5 41%
Vikingur Reykjavik – KR Reykjavik
Vikingur Reykjavik win
71%
Likely score 5-1BTTS 57%Over 2.5 67%Under 2.5 33%
Reliability, badge by badge
Each prediction gets a stability badge before kick-off, then is checked against the real score. Here is the win rate of the highlighted profiles this season — the figure to look at before following a prediction.
Clear favourite, clean context: the model's most reliable prediction profile.
Clear favourite with a comfortable margin over the other outcomes.
Solid lean, best cross-checked with the match probabilities.
The breakdown of every profile, including matches rated at risk, stays fully transparent on past results.
Beyond 1X2: BTTS, Over/Under and correct score
The model also covers Besta deild goal markets. For each market, this page keeps the best available mode among Performance, High performance and Ultra high performance over the 2026 season, with a minimum volume guard.
Cover two outcomes out of three (1X, X2 or 12): the model's safest call.
More or fewer than 2.5 goals: the model decides from its goal simulations.
Both teams to score: an estimated probability for every fixture.
The 5 most likely scores are simulated; the top one lands 7.1% of the time.
Reading a Besta deild prediction in 3 steps
1The badge first
From Very stable to Correct, the badge sums up the model's confidence. Its real win rate per profile is shown above: that's the main cue.
2Then the probability
A 55% favourite still loses almost one match in two. Probabilities quantify uncertainty, they don't remove it.
3The right market last
Tight match? Double chance or BTTS are often more relevant than a plain 1X2. The likely score shows the dominant scenario.
The full methodology (Elo, goal simulations, calibration, context) is explained on the AI football prediction page.
Go further
Besta deild results & predictionsThe full interactive page: rounds, markets, filters. →Top AI picksThe day's selection across all competitions. →Verified past resultsThe full 1X2 history to check reliability. →AI & football predictionThe model's methodology, step by step. →Matches by dateExplore every match on a given day. →Free AI football predictionsThe entry hub: which tool for which need. →
FAQ – Besta deild AI predictions
Where can I find reliable, free Besta deild predictions?
This page gathers the AI Besta deild predictions from Foresportia (the Icelandic top flight): 1X2 probabilities, likely score, goal markets (BTTS, Over/Under) and a stability badge for every match, no sign-up. The full history is verifiable on the past results page.
How good is a “Very stable” prediction in Besta deild?
The stability badge rates each prediction on how clear the favourite is and how clean the context (stakes, rotation, derby). The more stable the badge, the more often the prediction lands. Over the 2026 season, Very stable predictions reached 100% accuracy across 2 matches.
Are there BTTS and Over/Under predictions for Besta deild too?
Yes. For every match the model estimates the probability that both teams score (BTTS) and that the game goes over or under 2.5 goals, on top of 1X2 and double chance. Over the 2026 season, the model's Over/Under 2.5 side in High performance mode landed 74.3% of the time and its favourite double chance in Ultra high performance mode landed 82.7% of the time.
How is the most likely correct score computed?
The model simulates each team's goal distribution (calibrated Poisson/lambda) and derives the five most likely scores of the match. Over the 2026 season, the final score was in that top 5 for 32.1% of Besta deild matches.
What do the 1X2 probabilities mean?
For each match three probabilities are estimated: home win (1), draw (X) and away win (2). They sum to 100%. A 60% probability means that, over many similar matches, the outcome would occur about 6 times out of 10.
Can an AI predict a Besta deild match with certainty?
No. Football is a low-scoring sport where randomness is structural. A serious AI quantifies that uncertainty instead of hiding it: that's the whole point of probabilities and the stability badge.
Besta deild AI predictions: probabilities, goal markets and verifiable reliability
For every Besta deild match Foresportia publishes a free AI prediction: 1X2 probabilities, double chance, BTTS, Over/Under 2.5, most likely correct score and a stability badge. Each prediction is archived then checked against the real score, so you can freely verify the model's reliability, season after season, with no sign-up.