Relative strengthSlight edge for IA Akranes
First AI projection for IA Akranes vs Keflavik
IA AkranesView team →WDDWW44.8%IA Akranes
26.1%Draw
29.1%Keflavik
KeflavikView team →LLWWLVERDICTIA Akranes slight favourite
Foresportia's analysis estimates that IA Akranes has the advantage based on the 1X2 probabilities. The models give IA Akranes a slight edge, but the gap is not large enough to form a strong signal. The stability level still calls for a cautious reading. The more protective signal remains double chance 1X at 70.9%, rather than the straight 1X2 pick. Confidence reflects how clear the signal is for this match; stability reflects its historical robustness.
1X2 STABILITYRisk The stability badge measures the historical robustness of the 1X2 signal.Model confidence 43%
ROBUST ALTERNATIVEDouble chance 1X · 70.9%A more protective scenario than the straight 1X2 pick.
Why the model sees it this way
Recent formAdvantage IA Akranes
Goal profileIntermediate goal profile
Signal stabilityLow
Model confidenceLow
Probabilities & verdict
IA Akranes44.8%Draw26.1%
Keflavik29.1%Main pickIA Akranes
1X2 STABILITYRisk
Model confidence43%
1X2 alternatives
| Market | Pick | Probability | Reading |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 12 | 73.9% | Most robust signal |
| Draw no bet | IA Akranes | 60.7% | Interesting |
| Total goals | Over 2.5 | 59.8% | Interesting |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.9% | Interesting |
| Total goals | Over 1.5 | 76.9% | Solid |
This early estimate is published ahead of the match. Probabilities may change with recent form, injuries, line-ups, scheduling and newly available data.
How the match could unfold
Expected goals (xG)1.57IA Akranes
Total xG2.80
Expected goals (xG)1.23Keflavik
Under 2.5 probability40.2%
BTTS No probability38.1%
Top 5 likely scores
2 - 113.6%1 - 210.2%1 - 110%0 - 08.4%1 - 08.4%
Advanced scenarios
IA AkranesKeflavik27.1%
Clean sheet19.5%
18.6%
Win to nil11.1%
20.1%
Win by 2 goals or more9.8%
Team comparison
5thCurrent position6th
1523Elo1474
WDDWWForm (last 5)LLWWL
2.2Goals scored / match (5)1.0
1.0Goals conceded / match (5)1.0
20.0Clean sheets (5)40.0
Prediction reliability
This match carries more uncertainty than average. Our models therefore reduce confidence slightly.
HISTORICAL PERFORMANCERisk profile
44.3%
44.3% correct predictions
over 106 verified matches
HISTORICAL SUCCESS RATE
Quick FAQ
What does the first AI projection say about IA Akranes vs Keflavik?
The Foresportia model gives IA Akranes a slight edge at 44.8%. This probability may change before the match.
Why can this estimate change?
Recent form, injuries, line-ups, fixture congestion and newly available data will be included in later updates.
Is an early likely score available?
The first calculated scenario is 2 - 1 (13.58%), but this is an early estimate that may change.
Explore more on Foresportia
Our commitment
◇ Predictions archived before kick-off
◇ No invented data
What the data says about IA Akranes vs Keflavik
This Úrvalsdeild fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.
Before kick-off, IA Akranes sits 5th and Keflavik 6th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1523 for IA Akranes and 1474 for Keflavik.
Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 73.3% for IA Akranes and 40% for Keflavik. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.
According to probabilities calculated by Foresportia, the 1X2 projection gives IA Akranes 44.8%, the draw 26.1% and Keflavik 29.1%. The expected-goals model projects 1.57 xG against 1.23, for a combined 2.80. The most likely score according to Foresportia is 2–1 at 13.6%.