Compare actual scores with estimated probabilities in International Friendlies. International friendlies are especially sensitive to rotation, expanded squads and preparation goals, so probabilities need to be read with extra caution. The goal is to separate a merely likely scenario from a historically robust one.
Data updated on
International friendlies are especially sensitive to rotation, expanded squads and preparation goals, so probabilities need to be read with extra caution.
This page tracks AI prediction results in International Friendlies by comparing published probabilities with actual football scores. The value lies in showing how a probabilistic reading survives contact with real match outcomes: success rate, league context, open scenarios and solid favorites. A high percentage only becomes useful when it stays coherent over a large set of comparable fixtures.